Dodgers vs. Mets Prediction, Picks & Odds (NCLS Game 3)

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets
Date: Wednesday, October 16th, 8:08 ET
Location: Citi Field
TV: FS1
Money Line: Dodgers -111/Mets -106
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the New York Mets and the Dodgers on Wednesday, October 16th at Citi Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Wednesday’s Dodgers vs. Mets matchup has a first pitch set for 8:08 PM ET from Citi Field in New York, NY. The forecast calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-50s. FS1 is carrying this game on TV.

Los Angeles is currently on a five-game winning streak and is 98-64 overall. The Mets are 2nd in the NL East with a record of 89-73, and they are the slight money line favorite for tonight’s game (-106). The Dodgers are first in the NL West.

Dodgers vs. Mets Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Los Angeles Dodgers: 98-64 SU / OU 95-69 / Runline 86-83
New York Mets: 89-73 SU / OU 88-78 / Runline 89-82

New York picked up a 7-3 road win over the Dodgers in the most recent game of this series. The Mets offense got off to a fast start, scoring five of their seven runs in the 1st and 2nd innings. On the other side, the Dodgers got on the board with one run in the 5th and added their final two runs in the 6th.

Sean Manaea only went five innings for the Mets but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued four walks. Ryan Brasier only lasted one inning for the Dodgers, giving up one hit and one earned run.

At the plate, Mark Vientos and Francisco Lindor each homered for the Mets. Vientos, Lindor, and Starling Marte each had two RBIs. Max Muncy hit a home run for the Dodgers, going 1/2 with three RBIs.

Dodgers Records & Recent Play

As the Dodgers prepare for this playoff matchup against the Mets, they’ll be on the road, where they posted a 46-35 record during the regular season, compared to 52-29 at home. Los Angeles finished the season at 98-64 and currently holds a five-game winning streak. As road favorites, they went 42-23 this year.

Los Angeles went 86-83 against the run line this season, including 43-40 on the road. They’ve covered the run line in their last two road games. The Dodgers’ games have averaged 9.4 total runs this season, while today’s over/under is set at 7.5 runs. Their over/under record is 95-69, and the over has hit in their last two games.

Mets Records & Recent Play

As the Mets prepare to face the Dodgers, they’ll look to build on their 46-35 home record, compared to 43-38 on the road. New York went 60-39 as favorites this season and 35-37 as underdogs. They’ve won four straight at home.

New York’s run line record for the season is 89-82, with a 40-43 mark at home. They’ve also covered the run line in four consecutive home games. The Mets’ over/under record is 88-78, and 69.8% of their games have had higher totals than today’s 7.5 line. The over has hit in their last two games.

Pitching Matchup

Walker Buehler gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 1-6 with an ERA of 5.38. Buehler’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.55. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back at his last three starts, Buehler has given up at least one homer in each outing. The right-hander has allowed a total of 16 home runs this season.

New York is starting right-hander Luis Severino today vs. the Dodgers. He has made 31 starts this season and has a record of 11-7 with a 3.91 ERA. So far, Severino has turned in 14 quality starts, one shutout, and one complete game. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Opponents are batting .232 this season vs. Severino, and his ERA on the road is 5.11 compared to 3.64 at home.

Dodgers vs. Mets Offense Outlook

Shohei Ohtani has been a huge power threat for the Dodgers this season, as his 54 home runs are 2nd in the league and lead the team. Ohtani is also 2nd in the MLB in RBIs, with 130. He has also been a strong contact hitter, coming into the game with a batting average of .310. Teoscar Hernandez is also a big power threat, as he has gone deep 33 times this season, which is 2nd on the team and 11th in the league.

Both Max Muncy and Mookie Betts have been struggling at the plate of late, with Muncy batting just .208 and Betts at .192 over their last seven games. However, both players have two homers during this stretch. Tommy Edman has been swinging a hot bat, going 8/24 in his last seven games.

Heading into today’s game, the Mets are 7th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. As a team, the Mets are batting .246, which is 8th in the league, and they have the 6th most home runs in the MLB this season.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been a nice 1-2 punch in the Mets lineup this season, as they are the team’s top two home run hitters and are 1st and 2nd in RBIs. Lindor is batting .273 for the season, and Alonso comes into the game with a batting average of .240. Over his last six games, Mark Vientos is hitting .440 with three homers.

Free Dodgers vs. Mets MLB Pick

The Mets and Dodgers are all square at 1 in this series, and the Dodgers are just a slight favorite heading into game 3. Walker Buehler was hit hard in his last outing, giving up six runs across five innings vs the Padres. As for the Mets, Luis Severino has given up three earned runs and gone six innings in each of his first two post-season starts. I feel really good about the Mets in this one, as they should get to Buehler early. I’m taking New York on the money line.