Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Game 3 Pick & Predictions

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Date: Wednesday, October 11th, 9:07 ET
Location: Chase Field
TV: TBS
Money Line:  LAD -150/AZ +124 (Did you know you could be betting at reduced odds?)
Total Line: 9.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Dodgers on Wednesday, October 11th at Chase Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Los Angeles Dodgers: 100-62 SU / OU 89-67 / Runline 91-73
Arizona Diamondbacks: 84-78 SU / OU 73-85 / Runline 92-74

Even though the Dodgers are in first place in the NL West, they have gone just 2-3 over their last five games. Los Angeles’ overall record currently sits at 100-62, including going 47-34 on the road and 53-28 at home. Their series record stands at 33-15-2.

• The Dodgers have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 1.2.
• The Dodgers have been favored in 85.4% of their games and have runline records of 42-41 and 49-32 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 57% of the Dodgers’ 162 games at 89-67.

Heading into their game vs. the Dodgers, the Diamondbacks have a record of 84-78 and have dropped four straight games. In the NL West, they are in 2nd place and have an overall series record of 29-20-3. At home, they have gone 43-38 and 41-40 on the road.

• The Diamondbacks have covered the runline in four straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.0.
• The Diamondbacks have been favored in 44.6% of their games and have runline records of 44-37 and 48-37 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Diamondbacks have an over/under record of just 73-85.

Pitching Matchup

Across 32 appearances, Lance Lynn has a slugging percentage allowed of .478 and enters with a WHIP of 1.39. His overall record is 13-11 on an ERA of 5.73. For the season, he has a total of 191 K’s, and is averaging 9.36 strikeouts per nine innings. Lynn’s record on the road is 7-6 and 6-5 at home. This includes an ERA of 6.33 (road) and 6.29 (home), respectively.

The last time Lance Lynn took to the mound, he secured a quality start and a win for his team, who won by a final score of 6-2 against the Giants. Lynn gave up two runs and two hits across six innings.

Entering with a record of 3-9, Brandon Pfaadt is making his 21st appearance of the season. So far, he has an ERA of 5.72 on a batting average allowed of .279. On the road, he is 1-4 with a 6.21 ERA and 2-5 at home on an ERA of 7.99. For the season, teams have a slugging percentage of .528 against him.

Brandon Pfaadt is coming off a short outing, throwing 2 2/3 innings while giving up three runs on seven hits. Pfaadt took a no-decision in the Diamondbacks’ 6-3 win over the Brewers.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Offense Outlook

As of now, the Dodgers are one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball, with a total of 249 home runs (2nd). Their overall performance has been impressive, averaging 5.6 runs per game with a collective batting average of .257. When playing on the road, their slugging percentage is .442 compared to .437 at home.

Los Angeles Dodgers Top Hitters vs. Righties

Los Angeles Dodgers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Currently, Arizona is ranked 14th in the league for runs scored, with an average of 4.6 runs per game. They have hit a total of 166 home runs, which puts them 20th in baseball. The team’s current batting average of .250 is ranked 10th in the league. Their batting average is 16th on the road and 8th at home.

Arizona Diamondbacks Top Hitters vs. Righties

Arizona Diamondbacks Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

The Diamondbacks will be looking to knock the Dodgers out of the post-season today and will get to do so in front of their home fans for the first time all playoffs. However, the Dodgers are still favored to win. The last time the Diamondbacks sent Bradon Pfaadt to the mound, he overcame some early jitters vs. the Brewers. But I don’t see him being up for the challenge of closing out the Dodgers. I like LA to pick up the win in this one.