Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Betting Picks: Gallen Shines, D-backs Upset LA

by | Last updated Aug 31, 2024 | mlb

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Date: Friday, August 30th, 9:40 ET
Location: Chase Field
TV: SNLA
Money Line: Dodgers -126/Diamondbacks +104
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Dodgers on Friday, August 30th at Chase Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
LAD -126 -1.5 O 8.5 (-118)
ARI +104 +1.5 U 8.5 (-104)

At 9:40 PM ET, the Dodgers and Diamondbacks face off in an NL West matchup. This one is being played at Chase Field in Phoenix, and the Dodgers are the slight money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -126 compared to the Diamondbacks at +104. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.

Clayton Kershaw will be starting for the Dodgers, while the Diamondbacks are going with Zac Gallen. Los Angeles is currently 80-54 and they have won two straight, while the Diamondbacks are 76-58 and are 2nd in the NL West. SNLA will be televising Friday’s game.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Projected Lineup

Player Batting Order Position
Shohei Ohtani 1 DH
Mookie Betts 2 RF
Freddie Freeman 3 1B
Teoscar Hernández 4 LF
Gavin Lux 5 2B
Will Smith 6 C
Max Muncy 7 3B
Miguel Rojas 8 SS
Kevin Kiermaier 9 CF
Clayton Kershaw SP
Player Batting Order Position
Geraldo Perdomo 1 SS
Jake McCarthy 2 CF
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 3 LF
Josh Bell 4 1B
Randal Grichuk 5 DH
Eugenio Suárez 6 3B
Kevin Newman 7 2B
Corbin Carroll 8 RF
Jose Herrera 9 C
Zac Gallen SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Los Angeles Dodgers: 80-54 SU / OU 71-61 / Runline 67-67

Arizona Diamondbacks: 76-58 SU / OU 74-53 / Runline 70-64

Dodgers Records & Recent Play

The Dodgers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Orioles, closing out their series with a 6-3 win. After allowing three runs to the Orioles in the top of the 5th, the Dodgers responded with four runs of their own. Los Angeles went on to add another two runs in the 4th inning.

Bobby Miller put together a good start for the Dodgers, going five innings and giving up just three runs on two hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Los Angeles is 80-54 overall this season, putting them 1st in the NL West. They hold a four-game lead over the Diamondbacks for the top spot in the division, and they are 21-18 in divisional games. The Dodgers have won two straight games and closed out their series with the Orioles with a win.

At home, the Dodgers are 45-24 this year, and they are above .500 on the road, coming in with a mark of 35-30. As the favorite, the Dodgers are 75-44 this year, and they are 31-20 as the favorite on the road. Los Angeles’ overall series record is 25-17-2, and they have won four straight series.

When the Dodgers win, they do so by an average of 3.6 runs, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.1 runs. Their run line record is 67-67, and they are 32-33 on the run line on the road. They are 60-59 on the run line as the favorite and 7-8 as the underdog.

The Dodgers are on the road in Arizona tonight, where the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 9.0 runs, and their over/under record is 71-61. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 31-22. So far this season, 28.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs.

Diamondbacks Records & Recent Play

The Diamondbacks will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mets with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Mets scored one run in the top of the 9th. Arizona was the -123 favorite at home going into the game.

Ryne Nelson put together a good start for the Diamondbacks, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out four. However, the Diamondbacks couldn’t close things out, and Justin Martinez took the loss out of the bullpen. The Diamondbacks also wasted a big game from Randal Grichuk, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 2/3.

Arizona is 2nd in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by four games. Overall, they are 76-58, with a division record of 22-14. The Diamondbacks kick off their series vs. the Dodgers, having lost the series vs. the Mets 2-1. Looking at their overall series record, the Diamondbacks are 24-14-4 and have won two straight series on the road.

At home, the Diamondbacks are 38-28 this season, and they are 38-30 on the road. Arizona has won seven straight games as the underdog, and they are 34-32 as the underdog overall. As for their record when favored, the Diamondbacks are 42-26 this year. Their overall record is backed by a 7-3 mark over their last 10 games.

The Diamondbacks have been a solid run line bet this season, going 70-64 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, where they are 40-28 against the run line. They have also been profitable as an underdog, going 42-24 against the run line in those games. Their average run margin for the season is +0.7 runs per game.

Arizona Diamondbacks games have seen an average of 10.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 74-53. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 28-17. This season, 38.1% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, while 28.4% have had lines set lower than 8.5 runs.

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Pitching Matchup

Clayton Kershaw is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rays, where he gave up five earned runs in five innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two home runs. Kershaw finished with a no-decision in the game. Before that, he had picked up the win in two straight starts. His ERA for the season is 3.72, along with a record of 2-2. Kershaw’s WHIP for the season is 1.41. So far, he has made one quality start and is averaging 7.45 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed a total of seven homers.

Right-hander Zac Gallen gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Dodgers at home. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 10-6 with a 3.65 ERA. Gallen’s WHIP for the season is 1.30, and opponents are batting .240 off him this year. In his last outing, Gallen picked up the win, going six innings and not allowing a run against the Red Sox. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts. Gallen has made 10 quality starts this year and is averaging 8.61 strikeouts per nine innings.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Offense Outlook

Shohei Ohtani has been one of the top power hitters in the league this season, as his 42 home runs are 2nd in the MLB and lead the Dodgers. His 95 RBIs are also good for 5th in the league. Ohtani has also been swinging a hot bat of late, hitting .310 over his last seven games, and he has three homers in that stretch. Teoscar Hernandez has also been a key power threat for the Dodgers, as his 28 homers are 2nd on the team and 9th in the league.

Overall, the Dodgers offense is 4th in the league at 4.9 runs per game. They have been a strong home run hitting team this season, as their 181 homers are 3rd in the league. The Dodgers also come into the game with a team batting average of .252, which is 6th in the league.

Arizona’s offense has been the best in the league this season, averaging 5.3 runs per game. They have also been very consistent, as they are the top scoring team in the league both at home and on the road. The Diamondbacks have the league’s top team batting average at .261 and have the 2nd best on-base percentage and slugging percentage in the league.

Ketel Marte has been the team’s top power threat this season, as his 30 homers are the best on the team and 7th best in the league. He also comes into the game with the team’s top batting average of .298. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/41 (.293) with five homers in his last 10 games.

Free Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks MLB Pick

If the Dodgers are hoping to put even more separation between themselves and the D-Backs, they have a chance to do so this weekend. However, with Zac Gallen on the mound, I see the Diamondbacks picking up the win tonight. With the money line sitting at +104, I’m taking Arizona to win Friday night’s game straight-up.

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