Dodgers vs. Braves Prediction: NL Playoff Implications

by | Last updated Sep 13, 2024 | mlb

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
Date: Friday, September 13th, 7:20 ET
Location: Truist Park
TV: APLTV
Money Line: LAD -109/Atl -110
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Atlanta Braves and the Dodgers on Friday, September 13th at Truist Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
LAD -109 -1.5 O 8.5 (-111)
ATL -110 +1.5 U 8.5 (-109)

The money line odds for Friday’s Dodgers vs. Braves matchup have the Dodgers at -109 compared to the Braves at -110. This one is getting started at 7:20 PM ET from Truist Park in Atlanta, and the forecast calls for light rain and temperatures in the mid to upper 70s.

APLTV is carrying this one on TV, and the Dodgers are 1st in the NL West with an overall record of 87-59. The Braves are 3rd in the NL East and have a record of 79-67.

Note: It’s in your best interest to make sure you’re betting at a sportsbook who offers MLB dime lines!

Dodgers vs. Braves Projected Lineup

Player Batting Order Position
Shohei Ohtani 1 DH
Mookie Betts 2 RF
Freddie Freeman 3 1B
Teoscar Hernández 4 LF
Gavin Lux 5 2B
Will Smith 6 C
Max Muncy 7 3B
Tommy Edman 8 SS
Kevin Kiermaier 9 CF
Landon Knack SP

 

Player Batting Order Position
Michael Harris II 1 CF
Jorge Soler 2 RF
Marcell Ozuna 3 DH
Matt Olson 4 1B
Sean Murphy 5 C
Jarred Kelenic 6 LF
Orlando Arcia 7 SS
Gio Urshela 8 3B
Cavan Biggio 9 2B
Spencer Schwellenbach SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Los Angeles Dodgers: 87-59 SU / OU 79-64 / Runline 73-73
Atlanta Braves: 79-67 SU / OU 53-88 / Runline 69-77

Dodgers Records & Recent Play

The Dodgers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Cubs, closing out their series with a 10-8 win. After allowing two runs to the Cubs in the top of the first, the Dodgers responded with five runs of their own. Los Angeles went on to add another five runs in the 3rd inning.

Starting for the Dodgers was Bobby Miller, who picked up the win. He only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up six earned runs on five hits. Tommy Edman had a big game at the, going 2/5 with two homers and four RBIs.

Los Angeles heads into today’s game vs. the Braves with an overall record of 87-59, which has them leading the NL West by 5.0 games over the Diamondbacks. The Dodgers will be on the road today, and they are 39-32 as the road team this year. At home, the Dodgers have gone 48-27.

So far this year, the Dodgers have gone 24-19 against the NL West. As the favorite, Los Angeles is 82-48 this year, and they are 35-21 as the favorite on the road. The Dodgers’ overall series record is 28-18-3 this year.

When betting the run line, the Dodgers have been a .500 team both overall and on the road, where they have a +0.7 run differential per game. They have been a favorite in 130 of their 146 games and have gone 66-64 on the run line in those games. Their average run differential in wins is +3.6 runs per game.

The Los Angeles Dodgers are on the road today against the Atlanta Braves, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Dodgers have a combined run average of 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 79-64. Their average over/under line for the season is 9 runs per game, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 32-24. They have played 46 games this season with over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 31.5% of their games.

Braves Records & Recent Play

The Braves will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Nationals with a 5-1 loss. Atlanta was the heavy favorite going into the game but fell behind early, as the Nationals scored two runs in the 3rd. The Braves’s offense scored their only run in the 6th.

Max Fried got the start for the Braves and took the loss. He only lasted six innings, giving up four earned runs on 11 hits. Jorge Soler was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a double and a run scored. The Braves also had Michael Harris II, who was 2/4 with a run scored.

With an overall record of 79-67, the Braves are 3rd in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by nine games. Atlanta is 24-22 against other teams in the NL East. Today, they host the Dodgers with an overall record of 40-31 at home compared to 39-36 on the road.

As the underdog, the Braves have dropped two straight, and they are 12-16 as the underdog overall. Atlanta has been good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 67-51 this season. So far this year, their series record is 26-17-6.

The Braves have been a solid run-line bet on the road this season, going 40-35, compared to 29-42 at home. Atlanta’s average run differential is +0.5 runs per game, and they have a run-line record of 69-77 overall. They have been the favorite in most of their games, going 52-66 against the run line in those contests.

The Atlanta Braves are at home today against the Los Angeles Dodgers. The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is higher than their season average of 8.0 runs per game. The Braves have gone over the total in 53 of their 88 games this season, and their average over/under line is 8 runs per game. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over the total 13 times and under 24 times. Overall, 30.1% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.

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Pitching Matchup

Right-hander Landon Knack is getting the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Braves on the road. Through 11 appearances and nine starts, Knack has a record of 2-3 and an ERA of 3.00. His WHIP for the season is .96, and opponents are batting .191 this year. Knack’s most recent outing came on September 6th, where he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had picked up the win in back-to-back outings. Knack has made two quality starts this year.

Right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Dodgers at home. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 5-7 with a 3.78 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Schwellenbach has a WHIP of 1.12 and has issued just 1.75 walks per nine innings compared to 9.86 strikeouts. Schwellenbach’s last outing came on September 7th, where he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had put together three straight outings without giving up a homer.

Dodgers vs. Braves Offense Outlook

Shohei Ohtani has been a huge addition to the Dodgers lineup this season, as he is batting .292 with 47 home runs and 104 RBIs, which is 2nd and 3rd in the league, respectively. Ohtani has also been a tough out this season, as his on-base percentage of .375 is 4th on the team. Teoscar Hernandez is also having a strong season for the Dodgers, as he is batting .267 with 28 homers and 87 RBIs.

Tommy Edman has been on fire for the Dodgers, going 9/20 with four homers over his last five games. Not only is he on a five-game hitting streak, but he has also homered in each of his last five games. As a team, the Dodgers are 3rd in runs per game and have the league’s 3rd best home run total.

Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, as he comes into the game with a batting average of .303, and his 98 RBIs are 7th best in the league. Ozuna’s 37 home runs are also the best mark on the team and 5th best in the MLB. Matt Olson is also near the top of the league in home runs, as his 25 homers are 15th best in the league. However, Olson is batting just .237 this season.

As a team, the Braves are 5th in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.3 runs per game. This is a bit of a surprise, as they are batting just .240 as a team, which is 15th in the league. Over his last six games, Olson is hitting .364, and Michael Harris II has also hit two homers in this stretch.

Free Dodgers vs. Braves MLB Pick

Tonight’s Dodgers and Braves matchup has a lot of impact in the National League playoff race, as the Dodgers are looking to take back the top seed in the NL, while the Braves find themselves one game back of the final Wild Card spot. The oddsmakers are suggesting this one could go either way, but at -109, I really like the Dodgers in this spot. My play of the day is to take LA on the money line.

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