Dodgers vs. Braves Prediction: Can LA Steal a Win in Atlanta?

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
Date: Sunday, September 15th, 7:10 ET
Location: Truist Park
TV: ESPN
Money Line: Dodgers -108/Braves -110
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Atlanta Braves and the Dodgers on Sunday, September 15th at Truist Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Walker Buehler will start for the Dodgers on Sunday, as they are on the road to face the Braves at Truist Park in Atlanta. The Braves are slight favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -110 compared to the Dodgers at -108. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.

First pitch for this one is set for 7:10 PM ET, and ESPN will be carrying the TV coverage. The Dodgers are 1st in the NL West and have an overall record of 87-61, while the Braves are 3rd in the NL East and have won two straight to move to 81-67.

Dodgers vs. Braves Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Los Angeles Dodgers: 87-61 SU / OU 80-65 / Runline 73-75
Atlanta Braves: 81-67 SU / OU 54-89 / Runline 71-77

Atlanta cruised to an easy 10-1 win over the Dodgers in the most recent game of this series. The Braves had a huge 6th inning, scoring six of their ten runs. As for the Dodgers, they scored their only run in the 3rd. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -120.

Chris Sale started for the Braves and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. On the other side, Jack Flaherty got the start for the Dodgers and took the loss, going just three innings and giving up four earned runs.

At the plate, the Braves were led by Whit Merrifield, Matt Olson, and Jorge Soler, who each had two hits and combined for five RBIs. Merrifield and Olson each scored two runs. As for the Dodgers, Miguel Rojas went 2/3 with an RBI.

Dodgers Records & Recent Play

Los Angeles is on the road today, and they are looking to avoid dropping their third straight game. Currently, the Dodgers are 87-61, putting them 1st in the NL West, leading the Padres by 3.5 games. So far, they have gone 24-19 in divisional play.

This season, the Dodgers have been really good as the favorite, going 82-49. As the underdog, they are just 5-12. Los Angeles has been tough to beat on the road when favored, going 35-22 this year. The Dodgers’ overall record at home is 48-27.

When the Dodgers are on the road, they have a run line record of 35-38, and their average run margin is +0.5. Their overall run line record is 73-75, and their average run margin in winning games is +3.6.

Los Angeles is on the road against Atlanta, and the over/under line is set at 9 runs. The Dodgers’ games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 80-65. When the line has been set at 9 runs, their over/under record is 12-9-3. Overall, only 14.9% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 9 runs.

Braves Records & Recent Play

With an overall record of 81-67, the Braves are eight games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. Atlanta has gone 24-22 in divisional games this year. The Braves have picked up two straight wins, and they are 6-4 across their last 10 games.

At home, the Braves are 42-31 this year compared to a 39-36 mark on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 68-51, and they are 13-16 as the underdog. Atlanta’s overall series record is 26-17-6 this year.

When betting the run line, the Braves have been a better bet on the road than at home this season. They are 40-35 against the run line on the road compared to 31-42 at home. Atlanta has a run differential of +1.0 on the road and +0.1 at home. The Braves have covered the run line in two straight games and are 18-11 as an underdog this season.

Today’s over/under line of 9 runs is slightly higher than the Braves’ season average of 8.1 combined runs per game. Atlanta has played 104 games with lower lines than 9 runs, going 54-89 on the over/under for the season. When the line has been set at 9 runs, the Braves are 10-14-3 on the over/under, and only 11.5% of their games have had lines set at 9 runs or higher.

Pitching Matchup

Walker Buehler is looking to rebound from a rough outing vs. the Cubs, where he took the loss. In that start, he gave up five earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back over his last four outings, Buehler has finished with a no-decision in three straight starts. He has made 13 appearances this year and has a record of 1-5 with a 5.95 ERA. Opponents have hit .297 this year off Buehler, and his ERA on the road is 8.22 compared to 4.92 at home. Buehler’s WHIP for the season is 1.64.

Right-hander Charlie Morton gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Dodgers at home. Morton has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 8-8 with a 4.11 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Morton has a WHIP of 1.31 and has allowed a total of 21 home runs. In his last outing, Morton took the loss, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Morton has made 15 starts at home, going 5-5 with a 4.85 ERA.

Dodgers vs. Braves Offense Outlook

Shohei Ohtani has been a force at the plate for the Dodgers this season, as he is batting .289 with a league-leading 47 home runs and 104 RBIs. Ohtani’s 47 homers are also the best mark in the league. Teoscar Hernandez is also having a strong season for the Dodgers, as he is batting .268 with 28 homers, which is the 13th best mark in the league. Hernandez also has the 2nd most RBIs on the team, with 87.

Tommy Edman has been swinging a hot bat for the Dodgers, going 11/36 in his last 10 games, including four home runs. Edman has also scored six runs and driven in nine during this stretch. Miguel Rojas comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak, while Teoscar Hernandez has a three-game streak going.

Marcell Ozuna has been a key power bat for the Braves this season, as his 37 homers are 5th most in the league and the top mark on the team. He is also 8th in the league with 98 RBIs. Ozuna is batting .305 for the season and has a team-best on-base percentage of .380. Matt Olson is also a power threat in the lineup, as he is 2nd on the team with 25 homers but is batting just .238 for the season.

Olson has been swinging the bat well of late, going 11/35 in his last nine games. During this stretch, he has driven in eight runs. Michael Harris II has also driven in seven runs in his last nine games, but he is batting just .220 during this stretch.

Free Dodgers vs. Braves MLB Pick

On Sunday night baseball, we have a good one, as the Dodgers and Braves face off in the final game of the series. So far, it’s been all Braves, including a laugher last night. However, I am really liking the Dodgers, and getting them at such a good price on the money line is a steal. My pick is to take LA to pick up the win to close out this series.