Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox Recommended Bet 8/11/23
Date: Friday, August 11th, 7:10 ET
Location: Fenway Park
TV: NESN
Money Line: Tigers +135/Red Sox -160
Total Line: 9
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Boston Red Sox and the Tigers on Friday, August 11th at Fenway Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
| ML | RL | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET | +135 | +1.5 | O 9 (-120) |
| BOS | -160 | -1.5 | U 9 (-101) |
Tigers vs. Red Sox Projected Lineup
| Batting Order | Position | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Vierling | 1 | LF |
| Riley Greene | 2 | CF |
| Spencer Torkelson | 3 | 1B |
| Kerry Carpenter | 4 | RF |
| Javier Báez | 5 | SS |
| Jake Rogers | 6 | C |
| Miguel Cabrera | 7 | DH |
| Andy Ibáñez | 8 | 3B |
| Zack Short | 9 | 2B |
| Tarik Skubal | – | SP |
| Batting Order | Position | |
|---|---|---|
| Rob Refsnyder | 1 | LF |
| Justin Turner | 2 | 1B |
| Rafael Devers | 3 | 3B |
| Trevor Story | 4 | SS |
| Masataka Yoshida | 5 | DH |
| Adam Duvall | 6 | CF |
| Alex Verdugo | 7 | RF |
| Pablo Reyes | 8 | 2B |
| Connor Wong | 9 | C |
| Chris Sale | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
Detroit Tigers: 52-63 SU / OU 59-52 / Runline 61-54
On a record of 52-63, the Tigers are 3rd in the AL Central. Currently, they are seven games out of the division lead. Against the Red Sox, they will be seeking their 4th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 26-30 while going 26-33 at home. Detroit’s overall series record is 15-19-4.
- The Tigers have covered the runline in three straight games and have a season-long run margin of -0.9.
- The Tigers have been favored in 17.4% of their games and have runline records of 30-29 and 31-25 at home and on the road, respectively
- The over has hit in 53% of the Tigers’ 115 games at 59-52.
On a record of 60-55, the Red Sox are 4th in the AL East. Currently, they are 11 games out of the division lead. Against the Tigers, they will be seeking their 3rd straight win. On the road, they have a record of 27-28 while going 33-27 at home. Boston’s overall series record is 19-15-3.
- The Red Sox have covered the runline in 52.2% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.2
- The Red Sox have been favored in 47.8% of their games and have runline records of 31-29 and 29-26 at home and on the road, respectively
- The over has hit in 51% of the Red Sox’s 115 games at 58-55.
Pitching Matchup
| Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal | 6 | 6 | 27 | 2-1 | 3.67 | 1.04 | 0 |
Starter Tarik Skubal comes in with an overall record of 2-1 for the Tigers. Having made six appearances, his ERA is 3.67 and he has a K/9 figure of 11. Additionally, he has a FIP of 1.38 and an OBP of .271.
In Tarik Skubal’s previous game, he allowed one run and six hits against the Rays. Skubal added a win to his resume as the Tigers won by a score of 4-2.
| Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale | 11 | 11 | 59 | 5-2 | 4.58 | 1.19 | 8 |
Across 11 appearances, Chris Sale has a slugging percentage allowed of .421 and enters with a WHIP of 1.19. His overall record is 5-2 on an ERA of 4.58. For the season, he has a total of 71 K’s, and is averaging 10.83 strikeouts per nine innings. Sale’s record on the road is 4-2 and 1-0 at home. This includes an ERA of 5.75 (road) and 5.50 (home), respectively.
In his last appearance against the Reds, Chris Sale gave up one run on five hits while pitching 3 2/3 innings. Despite not factoring into the decision, Sale helped the Red Sox secure a 8-2 victory.
Tigers vs. Red Sox Offense Outlook
The Detroit offense comes into the game with just 107 home runs, ranking them 24th in the league. The team’s current batting average is .235, putting them 18th in all of baseball. In terms of OPS, they are 27th in the league (.673).
Detroit Tigers Team Hitting Stats
| Team | Games | Runs | HR | BA | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers | 116 | 4 (25th) | 107 (24th) | .235 (18th) | .300 (22nd) | .300 (22nd) |
Detroit Tigers Top Hitters: Last Five Games
| Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter | .513 | 10 | 7 | 1 | .713 |
| Spencer Torkelson | .233 | 4 | 5 | 2 | .600 |
| Riley Greene | .300 | 6 | 3 | 1 | .600 |
| Zach McKinstry | .317 | 6 | 1 | 0 | .483 |
| Matt Vierling | .325 | 6 | 2 | 0 | .425 |
In terms of offensive production Boston is currently ranked 8th in the league this season. The team has hit 128 home runs, which is 17th, and their batting average of .261 is ranked 4th in the league. When playing on the road, they rank 19th in batting average, compared to 1st when playing at home.
Boston Red Sox Top Hitters vs. Lefties
| Player | BA | HR | SLG | WOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers | .283 | 8 | .543 | .373 |
| Justin Turner | .287 | 6 | .546 | .392 |
| Rob Refsnyder | .345 | 1 | .440 | .411 |
| Masataka Yoshida | .290 | 3 | .450 | .362 |
| Alex Verdugo | .230 | 0 | .301 | .294 |
Boston Red Sox Top Hitters: Last Five Games
| Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pablo Reyes | .562 | 8 | 4 | 1 | .875 |
| Triston Casas | .283 | 5 | 4 | 2 | .683 |
| Alex Verdugo | .283 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .417 |
| Adam Duvall | .188 | 3 | 1 | 1 | .438 |
| Rafael Devers | .200 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .400 |
Free MLB Pick
I’m going to figure that they wouldn’t rush back Sale from the IL, so I’m expecting him to be ready to go a handful of innings or so. He’ll make his first start in two months on Friday against a team that is 9-18 versus left-handed pitching this season. Fellow lefty Tarik Skubal goes for the Tigers and he’s been inconsistent this season. He was lit up for six runs in his only career start at Fenway and brings a 11.42 road ERA (two starts) into tonight’s game. Take the Red Sox -1.5 +120.
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