Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox Expert Play 8/12/23
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox
Date: Saturday, August 12th, 4:10 ET
Location: Fenway Park
TV: NESN
Money Line: Tigers +161/Red Sox -193 (Learn about reduced juice!)
Total Line: 9.5
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Boston Red Sox and the Tigers on Saturday, August 12th at Fenway Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
ML | RL | Total | |
---|---|---|---|
DET | +161 | +1.5 | O 9.5 (-117) |
BOS | -193 | -1.5 | U 9.5 (-105) |
Tigers vs. Red Sox Projected Lineup
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
Zach McKinstry | 1 | 2B |
Riley Greene | 2 | CF |
Spencer Torkelson | 3 | 1B |
Kerry Carpenter | 4 | DH |
Matt Vierling | 5 | RF |
Javier Báez | 6 | SS |
Akil Baddoo | 7 | LF |
Eric Haase | 8 | C |
Andy Ibáñez | 9 | 3B |
Matt Manning | – | SP |
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
Jarren Duran | 1 | CF |
Masataka Yoshida | 2 | LF |
Trevor Story | 3 | SS |
Rafael Devers | 4 | 3B |
Justin Turner | 5 | DH |
Triston Casas | 6 | 1B |
Alex Verdugo | 7 | RF |
Luis Urías | 8 | 2B |
Connor Wong | 9 | C |
Brayan Bello | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
Detroit Tigers: 52-64 SU / OU 59-53 / Runline 61-55
Boston Red Sox: 61-55 SU / OU 58-56 / Runline 61-55
So far this season, the Tigers have an overall record of 52-64, putting them 3rd in the AL Central. Currently, they are seven games out in the division. Across their last ten games, they are an even 5-5. On the road, they have gone 26-31 and 26-33 at home. The team’s series record is 16-19-4.
- The Tigers have covered the runline in 52.6% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.9
- The Tigers have been favored in 17.2% of their games and have runline records of 30-29 and 31-26 at home and on the road, respectively
- The over has hit in 53% of the Tigers’ 116 games at 59-53.
On a record of 61-55, the Red Sox are 4th in the AL East. Currently, they are 10 games out of the division lead. Against the Tigers, they will be seeking their 4th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 27-28 while going 34-27 at home. Boston’s overall series record is 20-15-3.
- The Red Sox have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.3.
- The Red Sox have been favored in 48.3% of their games and have runline records of 32-29 and 29-26 at home and on the road, respectively
- The over has hit in 51% of the Red Sox’s 116 games at 58-56.
Pitching Matchup
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Matt Manning | 10 | 10 | 53 | 3-4 | 5.06 | 1.18 | 10 |
Starter Matt Manning comes in with an overall record of 3-4 for the Tigers. Having made 10 appearances, his ERA is 5.06 and he has a K/9 figure of 6.58. Additionally, he has a FIP of 5.31 and an OBP of .298.
The last time, Manning took the mound, he lasted 5 2/3 innings, as the Tigers fell to the Rays (10-6). Individually, Manning gave up nine hits leading to six earned runs.
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brayan Bello | 19 | 19 | 108 | 8-6 | 3.64 | 1.23 | 15 |
The Red Sox will turn to starter Brayan Bello who has an overall record of 8-6. After 19 appearances, his ERA is 3.64 and he has a K/9 figure of 7.54. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 4.35 and an OBP of .299.
During Brayan Bello’s last outing, he finished with a quality start, allowing one run on six hits over 6 2/3 innings. Although he did not factor into the decision, the team was able to secure a 6-2 victory over the Royals.
Tigers vs. Red Sox Offense Outlook
The Detroit offense comes into the game with just 108 home runs, ranking them 25th in the league. The team’s current batting average is .234, putting them 22nd in all of baseball. In terms of OPS, they are 24th in the league (.670).
Detroit Tigers Top Hitters On The Road
Player | BA | HR | SLG | WOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
Spencer Torkelson | .232 | 11 | .436 | .313 |
Matt Vierling | .302 | 5 | .450 | .346 |
Javier Báez | .226 | 4 | .335 | .269 |
Riley Greene | .257 | 5 | .419 | .331 |
Zach McKinstry | .221 | 3 | .337 | .277 |
Detroit Tigers Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kerry Carpenter | .430 | 8 | 5 | 1 | .680 |
Riley Greene | .400 | 7 | 3 | 1 | .700 |
Spencer Torkelson | .100 | 2 | 3 | 2 | .400 |
Zach McKinstry | .317 | 6 | 1 | 0 | .483 |
Matt Vierling | .275 | 5 | 2 | 0 | .375 |
With 117 games under their belt, the Red Sox are currently 10th in the league, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Boston’s home run ranking is 17th, with the team having hit 129 long balls. The team’s batting average, including .230 on the road and .277 at home, is .262.
Boston Red Sox Top Hitters vs. Righties
Player | BA | HR | SLG | WOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
Masataka Yoshida | .309 | 9 | .488 | .363 |
Justin Turner | .285 | 11 | .450 | .344 |
Alex Verdugo | .291 | 8 | .479 | .354 |
Jarren Duran | .301 | 7 | .506 | .365 |
Rafael Devers | .256 | 18 | .505 | .352 |
Boston Red Sox Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pablo Reyes | .550 | 10 | 5 | 1 | .800 |
Triston Casas | .283 | 5 | 4 | 2 | .683 |
Alex Verdugo | .183 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .317 |
Adam Duvall | .150 | 3 | 1 | 1 | .350 |
Connor Wong | .444 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .611 |
Free MLB Pick
Matt Manning has gotten absolutely torched in his last three outings and Bello has been beaten up (7.25 ERA this season, 5.52 last year) in day games this season, so I’m betting the OVER 9.5.
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