Cubs vs. Brewers Picks & Predictions 5/27/24

Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Monday, May 27th, 4:10 ET
Location: American Family Field
TV: MARQ
Money Line: Cubs +103/Brewers -122
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Cubs on Monday, May 27th at American Family Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

The money line odds for Monday’s Cubs vs. Brewers matchup have the Cubs at +103 compared to the Brewers at -122. This one is getting started at 4:10 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are currently on a four-game winning streak, which has them first in the NL Central.

Robert Gasser is starting for the Brewers, while the Cubs are going with Justin Steele. Chicago is 2nd in the NL Central with a record of 27-26.

Cubs vs. Brewers Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Chicago Cubs: 27-26 SU / OU 22-29 / Runline 28-25
Milwaukee Brewers: 30-22 SU / OU 29-23 / Runline 27-25

Cubs Records & Recent Play

The Cubs will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cardinals with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Cardinals scored two runs in the bottom of the 7th. Chicago was the +123 underdog on the road going into this matchup.

Offensively, the Cubs only had three fewer hits than the Cardinals but scored just three runs. Ian Happ had a big game, going 2/3 with two homers and three RBIs. However, the Cubs couldn’t get much else going, and Happ’s homers were wasted in the loss. Javier Assad got the start for the Cubs and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up four earned runs.

Chicago is on the road today vs. the Brewers, having lost four straight games, and they are 27-26 overall this season. The Cubs are 3.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central and are 5-7 in divisional games this year.

So far, the Cubs have gone 15-11 at home compared to 12-15 on the road. As the favorite, the Cubs are 12-9 this year and 15-17 as the underdog. The Cubs’ overall series record is 7-8-2, and they have dropped four straight series.

When the Cubs are on the road, they have been a good bet to cover the run line with a 17-10 record. Their average run margin in losing games is -3.4 runs per game, but they have covered the run line in three straight road games.

The Chicago Cubs are on the road today against the Milwaukee Brewers. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Cubs have a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season. Their over/under record for the season is 22-29, and their average over/under line is set at 8 runs per game. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 2-7. So far this season, 45.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs, while 37.7% of their games have had lines set at under 8 runs.

Brewers Records & Recent Play

The Brewers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Red Sox with a 2-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Red Sox scored their only two runs of the game. Milwaukee was the +122 underdog on the road going into this matchup.

Tobias Myers got the start for the Brewers and took the loss. He only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up just one earned run, but the Brewers offense couldnjsonly score one run. Gary Sanchez was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a double and a run scored. The Brewers’s only other hit was a single by Elvis Peguero.

Milwaukee is hosting the Cubs today with a 30-22 record, putting them 1st in the NL Central. Currently, they lead the Cubs by 3.5 games heading into today’s matchup. The Brewers closed out their series vs. the Red Sox with two straight wins and took the series 2-1.

So far, the Brewers have been solid both at home (12-9) and on the road (18-13). As the underdog, Milwaukee has gone 16-11 this year compared to 14-11 as the favorite. At home, they have gone 3-4 when they are the underdog. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 9-6-2, and they will be looking to improve upon their 5-5 mark over their last 10 games.

The Brewers have been a solid run line bet overall this season, going 27-25, but they have been much better on the road, where they are 19-12. They have been especially good as the underdog, going 19-8 against the run line. Their average run differential in wins is +3.6, while it is -2.9 in losses.

Today’s over/under line of 8 runs is right in line with the Brewers’ season average, as their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game. The over/under record for Milwaukee games this season is 29-23, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, the record is 2-3. The under has hit in four straight Brewers games.

Pitching Matchup

Justin Steele will be making his 5th start of the season for the Cubs, and it will be his 3rd road start. He has yet to pick up a win this season, with his most recent outing coming at home vs. the Braves, where he went 6 1/3 innings, giving up 5 earned runs. So far, he has 2 no-decisions and 2 losses.

Robert Gasser will be making his third start of the season for the Brewers, and it will be his first home start. He has a win and a no-decision in his first two starts, with the win coming against the Pirates. In that outing, he went 5 innings and struck out 6. In his most recent start, he went 6 innings and struck out 10 but gave up 5 runs.

Cubs vs. Brewers Offense Outlook

So far this season, the Cubs offense has been pretty average in terms of scoring runs, as they are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per game. As a team, the Cubs are batting just .228, and their team on-base percentage of .310 is 13th in the league. Chicago’s offense has been led by Christopher Morel and Michael Busch, who are 1st and 2nd on the team in home runs, respectively.

Over his last eight games, Ian Happ has two homers and is batting .250. Morel has been struggling of late, going just 2/14 in his last six games. Mike Tauchman has gone 8/28 in his last seven games, but he is still looking for his first home run with the Cubs. Seiya Suzuki comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak.

William Contreras has been one of the Brewers’ top hitters this season, batting .332 with a team-high 43 RBIs and eight homers. However, he has struggled a bit of late, going just 8/35 in his last eight games. Rhys Hoskins has also been a good power source for the Brewers, as he has nine homers but is batting just .233.

Overall, the Brewers have been one of the league’s best offensive teams, as they are 3rd in runs per game and have the 4th best team batting average in the league. They have also been good at avoiding strikeouts and are near the top of the league in both on-base percentage and slugging.

Free Cubs vs. Brewers MLB Pick

Today marks the return of Craig Counsell to American Family Field, were he was the long time manager of the Brewers. Chicago won the previous series between these two clubs, and I see them picking up a win in game one of this series. Robert Gasser has been good for the Brewers since being called up, but I see Milwaukee struggling against Justin Steele. I’m going with the Cubs on the moneyline.