Colorado Rockies vs. Texas Rangers Total Pick for May 11th

Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies
Date: Saturday, May 11th, 8:10 ET
Location: Coors Field
TV: None
Money Line: Rangers -166/Rockies +140
Total Line: 10.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Colorado Rockies and the Rangers on Saturday, May 11th at Coors Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

At 8:10 PM from Coors Field in Denver, we have an interleague matchup between the Rangers and Rockies. Texas comes in with a record of 22-18 and will be sending Andrew Heaney to the mound up against Ryan Feltner for the Rockies. Colorado is just 10-28 overall.

Looking at the money line odds, the over/under line is at 10.5 runs, and the Rangers are the favorite at -166. As for the Rockies, they are at +140. You can catch this one on TV on Bally Sports Southwest.

Rangers vs. Rockies Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Texas Rangers: 22-18 SU / OU 17-22 / Runline 18-22
Colorado Rockies: 10-28 SU / OU 18-20 / Runline 18-20

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Rockies vs Rangers series. Colorado went into the matchup as +159 underdogs and squeaked out a 4-2 win. The Rockies offense only had two more hits than the Rangers and struck out 10 times, but still picked up a win.

Jon Gray only went six innings for the Rangers but gave up just one run and one hit. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued a costly walk. As for the Rockies, Austin Gomber gave them a good outing, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run.

At the plate, Corey Seager hit the game’s only home run while going 2/3 with two RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Brenton Doyle had a two-hit game for the Rockies, scoring one run and driving in another.

Rangers Records & Recent Play

Texas currently leads the AL West with a record of 22-18, and they are a half-game ahead of the Mariners for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 8-9 in divisional matchups. The Rangers are playing game two of their series vs. the Rockies, and they trail the series 0-1.

At home, the Rangers have gone 10-9 this year, and they have been a bit better on the road, coming in with a record of 12-9. As the favorite, Texas has gone 13-10, and they are 9-8 as the underdog this year. The Rangers have an overall series record of 7-4-1 this year and have won four straight series overall and two straight on the road.

The Texas Rangers have an average run margin of +0.7 runs per game this season, and they are 18-22 against the run line. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 10-11. They have a scoring margin of +0.2 runs per game on the road and +1.2 runs per game at home. They have been a better bet on the run line as an underdog, where they are 10-7.

The Texas Rangers have an over/under record of 17-22 this season, with an average combined run total of 9.4 runs per game. Their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line has been set at 10.5 runs is 0-1. So far this season, none of their games have had an over/under line set higher than 10.5 runs.

Rockies Records & Recent Play

With an overall record of 10-28, the Rockies are 15 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. So far, they have gone just 5-9 in divisional matchups. Colorado has won two straight games, and they are 3-7 over their last 10 games. At home, the Rockies are 7-12 compared to 3-16 on the road.

So far, the Rockies have really struggled as the underdog, going 10-28. As for how they have fared in night games, they are just 5-18 this season. Colorado’s overall series record is 0-11-1, and they have dropped four straight series.

When the Rockies win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.4 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of -3.9 runs per game. They have covered the run line in 18 of their 38 games this season, including 9 of 19 at home and 9 of 19 on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight games overall and as the underdog.

So far this season, the Rockies have played 38 games. Their average combined run total is 9.4 runs per game. Their over/under record is 18-20, and the average over/under line for their games is 10 runs. When the over/under line is set at 10.5 runs, the Rockies’ games have gone under in three of four instances. Overall, only 23.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 10.5 runs.

Pitching Matchup

Left-hander Andrew Heaney gets the start for the Rangers today as he faces off against the Rockies on the road. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 0-4 with an ERA of 4.50. Looking at his overall numbers, Heaney has a WHIP of 1.11 and opponents are batting .226 this year. He has turned in two quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing, he finished with seven strikeouts. He didn’t give up a homer in that outing, but before that, he had given up a homer in three straight starts.

Ryan Feltner is getting the start for the Rockies today and comes into the game with a record of 1-3 and ERA of 5.54. Looking back at his last outing, Feltner took the loss, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up five earned runs on eight hits. He did have a solid outing before that, going eight innings and giving up three earned runs. Feltner has made two appearances at home and has a record of 0-0 with a 5.25 ERA. On the road, his record is 1-3 with a 6.09 ERA.

Rangers vs. Rockies Offense Outlook

As a team, the Rangers are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.6 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .255 as a team (5th) and have the league’s 10th best home run total. Marcus Semien and Adolis Garcia are the team’s top home run hitters, with Semien batting .281 for the season and Garcia at .260.

Corey Seager has two homers in his last five games and is batting .316 over that stretch. Marcus Semien has also been swinging a hot bat, going 11/28 in his last six games, with two homers. Ezequiel Duran is currently on a three-game hitting streak.

Colorado comes into today’s game with a team batting average of .241, which is 12th in the league and are also the league’s top team in terms of BABIP. The Rockies are averaging just 3.7 runs per game (24th) and have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have the league’s 26th ranked strikeout rate.

Both Elias Diaz and Ryan McMahon have been swinging the bat well for the Rockies, with McMahon batting .286 and Diaz at .317. McMahon’s five home runs are the best mark on the team and 8th best in the league. Over his last five games, McMahon has gone 8/20 with five RBIs. Diaz has also been hot of late, going 8/20 with five RBIs in this stretch. Brenton Doyle has also been swinging the bat well, going 5/19 with a homer in his last five games.

Free Rangers vs. Rockies MLB Pick

Our predicted score for this one is 5-4 in favor of the Rangers, and with the money line payout for a Rangers win sitting at -166, this is the route we would recommend going if you’re looking for a straight-up pick.

However, we actually like the under in this matchup, with the line being set at 10.5 runs. We see there being a lot of value in taking the under at -118, as we have the Rangers winning by a score of 5-4.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we actually have Andrew Heaney finishing with the most strikeouts among all starters today, and his projections have him going five innings. As for Ryan Feltner, we have him finishing with five K’s and going seven innings.