Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Moneyline Pick

by | Last updated May 3, 2023 | mlb

Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees
Date: Wednesday, May 3rd, 7:05 ET
Location: Yankee Stadium
TV: AMZP
Money Line: Guardians -140/Yankees +120 (Bet on sports at discounted odds at BAS Sportsbook!)
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the New York Yankees and the Guardians on Wednesday, May 3rd at Yankee Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
CLE -140 -1.5 O 7.5 (-116)
NYY +120 +1.5 U 7.5 (-105)

Guardians vs. Yankees Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Steven Kwan 1 LF
Amed Rosario 2 SS
José Ramírez 3 3B
Josh Naylor 4 1B
Josh Bell 5 1B
Andrés Giménez 6 2B
Mike Zunino 7 C
Will Brennan 8 CF
Myles Straw 9 CF
Shane Bieber SP

 

Batting Order Position
Anthony Volpe 1 SS
DJ LeMahieu 2 3B
Anthony Rizzo 3 1B
Gleyber Torres 4 2B
Harrison Bader 5 CF
Willie Calhoun 6 LF
Aaron Hicks 7 CF
Oswaldo Cabrera 8 RF
Jose Trevino 9 C
Clarke Schmidt RP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Cleveland Guardians: 14-16 SU / OU 12-18 / Runline 12-18
New York Yankees: 16-15 SU / OU 10-20 / Runline 14-17

For the season, the Guardians have put together a record of 14-16, including going just 4-6 over their last ten games. In the AL Central standings, they are 2nd, trailing by three games. This year, they have gone 4-8 at home and 10-8 on the road with an overall series mark of 3-6.

 

  • The Guardians have covered the runline in 40.0% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.6
  • The Guardians have been favored in 63.3% of their games and have runline records of 4-8 and 8-10 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Guardians have an over/under record of just 12-18.

Heading into today’s action, the Yankees’ record of 16-15 has them sitting 5th in the AL East. Currently, they are 8.5 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 1-4 and have a road and home record of 6-7 and 10-8, respectively. New York’s overall series record sits at 5-3.

 

  • The Yankees have covered the runline in 45.2% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.1
  • The Yankees have been favored in 80.6% of their games and have runline records of 8-10 and 6-7 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Yankees have an over/under record of just 10-20.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Shane Bieber 6 6 37 2-1 3.11 1.14 2

Shane Bieber has an overall record of 2-1, and will get the start for the Guardians. With six appearances, his ERA currently stands at 3.11, while his K/9 figure is 0.7. Additionally, he has a FIP of 3.65 and an OBP of .289.

The last time Shane Bieber took to the mound, he secured a quality start and a win for his team, who won by a final score of 5-2 against the Red Sox. Bieber gave up two runs and five hits across seven innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Clarke Schmidt 6 6 25 0-3 6.84 1.68 7

The Yankees will turn to starter Clarke Schmidt who has an overall record of 0-3. After six appearances, his ERA is 6.84 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.3. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 5.55 and an OBP of .370.

Having allowed five runs on 10 hits in five innings against the Rangers, Clarke Schmidt is coming off a game that resulted in a loss for the Yankees.

Guardians vs. Yankees Offense Outlook

Through 30 games the Guardians are 26th in the league at 3.8 runs per game. In terms of home runs, Cleveland is 29th having gone deep 17 times. In terms of batting average, they have hit .227 including .224 on the road and .217 at home.

Cleveland Guardians Top Hitters On The Road

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
José Ramírez .296 2 .451 .364
Steven Kwan .274 0 .315 .296
Myles Straw .274 0 .306 .313
Andrés Giménez .239 2 .358 .307
Josh Bell .217 2 .417 .340

Cleveland Guardians Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
José Ramírez .367 7 4 0 .367
Josh Naylor .220 5 0 0 .310
Steven Kwan .300 7 4 0 .350
Josh Bell .207 3 1 1 .393
Andrés Giménez .157 3 1 1 .327

The Yankees are coming in as one of the better power hitting lineups in the league this season, with a total of 37 home runs (10th). They are currently averaging 3.9 runs per game overall, with a collective batting average of .227. When playing on the road, the Yankees have a slugging percentage of .361, while their slugging percentage at home is .385.

New York Yankees Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Gleyber Torres .245 .350 .422 10 4 5
Aaron Judge .261 .352 .511 14 6 2
Anthony Rizzo .282 .370 .464 14 5 0

New York Yankees Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Anthony Volpe .200 4 2 1 .400
Anthony Rizzo .250 4 2 0 .250
Willie Calhoun .183 3 1 1 .333
Jose Trevino .111 1 1 1 .444
DJ LeMahieu .150 3 0 0 .150

Free MLB Pick

Current form shows that the Guardians are a more formidable offensive force. Shane Bieber has demonstrated remarkable consistency this season, delivering quality starts in four out of his five appearances. Although Bieber’s historical performance against the Yankees’ roster may not be stellar, he has exhibited significant improvement in his last two encounters, allowing a mere four runs over 12 2/3 innings, resulting in a quality start victory this season.

In this matchup, Bieber will face a Yankees team that is missing Aaron Judge and has been struggling offensively, scoring four or fewer runs in their previous six games, and a paltry two or fewer runs in four of those games. The Yankees will be relying on Clarke Schmidt, who enters the game with a disappointing 0-3 record, a 6.84 ERA, and a 1.68 WHIP.

While the odds of Cleveland at -128 might be slightly higher than my usual preference, my confidence in their superior form and Beiber’s ‘recent performances compels me to back them. I recommend taking the Cleveland Guardians at -128. Place your MLB bets for FREE this week by scoring a 50% real cash bonus up to $250 in free bets at the bookie with the BEST live wagering platform on the web! —> Bovada Sportsbook!