Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins Value Bet

Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins
Date: Wednesday, August 30th, 1:10 ET
Location: Target Field
TV: BSN
Money Line: Guardians +136/Twins -162
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Minnesota Twins and the Guardians on Wednesday, August 30th at Target Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Guardians vs. Twins Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Steven Kwan	1	LF
José Ramírez	2	3B
Kole Calhoun	3	DH
Oscar Gonzalez	4	1B
Andrés Giménez	5	2B
Will Brennan	6	RF
Gabriel Arias	7	SS
Bo Naylor	8	C
Myles Straw	9	CF
Tanner Bibee	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Edouard Julien	1	2B
Jorge Polanco	2	DH
Carlos Correa	3	SS
Max Kepler	4	RF
Matt Wallner	5	LF
Royce Lewis	6	3B
Ryan Jeffers	7	C
Donovan Solano	8	1B
Michael A. Taylor	9	CF
Sonny Gray	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Cleveland Guardians: 63-70 SU / OU 56-74 / Runline 67-66
Minnesota Twins: 69-64 SU / OU 64-62 / Runline 64-69

For the season, the Guardians have put together a record of 63-70, including going just 4-6 over their last ten games. In the AL Central standings, they are 2nd, trailing by six games. This year, they have gone 33-33 at home and 30-37 on the road with an overall series mark of 17-21-3.

• The Guardians have covered the runline in 50.4% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.1
• The Guardians have been favored in 49.6% of their games and have runline records of 31-35 and 36-31 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Guardians have an over/under record of just 56-74.

Currently, the Twins are first in the AL Central with a record of 69-64. Over their last ten games, Minnesota has gone .500 at 5-5. On the road, they have put together a record of 29-36 and are 40-28 at home. The clubs overall series record stands at 20-17-4.

• The Twins have covered the runline in 48.1% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.4
• The Twins have been favored in 67.7% of their games and have runline records of 31-37 and 33-32 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 51% of the Twins’ 133 games at 64-62.

Pitching Matchup

 

Across his 21 outings, Tanner Bibee has a record of 10-3 and ERA of 3.01. One thing to note, is that he has given up a home run in each of his last two appearances. As he takes the mound, his WHIP sits at 1.20 with an OBP allowed of .290. Bibee’s strikeout to walk ratio is 117/37.

The last time Tanner Bibee took to the mound, he secured a quality start and a win for his team, who won by a final score of 5-2 against the Blue Jays. Bibee gave up two runs and six hits across six innings.

 

Sonny Gray has an overall record of 7-6, and will get the start for the Twins. With 26 appearances, his ERA currently stands at 3.06, while his K/9 figure is 9.06. Additionally, he has a FIP of 2.86 and an OBP of .289.

The last time Sonny Gray took to the mound, he secured a quality start and a win for his team, who won by a final score of 12-2 against the Rangers. Gray gave up one run and six hits across seven innings.

Guardians vs. Twins Offense Outlook

With 102 home runs, the Guardians ranks just 28th in the league. However, their batting average is strong, ranking 12th in the MLB at .249. The team’s current OPS stands at .691.

Cleveland Guardians Top Bats

 

Cleveland Guardians Top Hitters: Last Five Games

 

With a total of 187 home runs hit so far this season, the Twins are among the top home run hitting teams in baseball (5th). This has translated to an average of 4.5 runs per game and a collective batting average of .240. When playing on the road, their slugging percentage is .378 compared to .446 at home.

Minnesota Twins Top Hitters vs. Righties

 

Minnesota Twins Top Hitters: Last Five Games

 

Free MLB Pick

Sonny Gray’s numbers are not great against Cleveland allowing a .280 batting average and .344 OBP over 143 at-bats and the numbers could be considered skewed with Kole Calhoun .200 and Jose Ramirez .200 contributing 80 of those at-bats. Additionally, he has three career starts against Cleveland all coming in the last two seasons and the team has lost all three with Gray pitching a combined 13 2/3 innings allowing 10 runs on 19 hits. The Guardians’ starter Tanner Bibee hasn’t allowed more than three runs in 12 consecutive starts. His ERA for August is 2.70 and 1.78 in July. I’m betting on the visitor +141.

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