Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox Pick for 4/29/23

Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox
Date: Saturday, April 29th, 4:10 ET
Location: Fenway Park
TV: NESN
Money Line: Guardians +115/Red Sox -136
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Boston Red Sox and the Guardians on Saturday, April 29th at Fenway Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Guardians vs. Red Sox Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Steven Kwan	1	LF
Amed Rosario	2	SS
José Ramírez	3	3B
Josh Naylor	4	1B
Josh Bell	5	1B
Andrés Giménez	6	2B
Mike Zunino	7	C
Will Brennan	8	CF
Myles Straw	9	CF
Zach Plesac	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Alex Verdugo	1	LF
Rafael Devers	2	3B
Justin Turner	3	3B
Masataka Yoshida	4	LF
Enrique Hernández	5	CF
Triston Casas	6	1B
Jarren Duran	7	CF
Reese McGuire	8	C
Christian Arroyo	9	2B
Brayan Bello	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Cleveland Guardians: 13-13 SU / OU 11-15 / Runline 10-16
Boston Red Sox: 13-14 SU / OU 18-9 / Runline 14-13

On a record of 13-13, the Guardians are 2nd in the AL Central. Currently, they are 2.5 games out of the division lead. Against the Red Sox, they will be seeking their 3rd straight win. On the road, they have a record of 9-5 while going 4-8 at home. Cleveland’s overall series record is 3-5.

• The Guardians have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of -0.4.
• The Guardians have been favored in 73.1% of their games and have runline records of 4-8 and 6-8 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Guardians have an over/under record of just 11-15.

If the Red Sox are going to climb out of last place in the AL East, they will need to turn things around with a win over the Guardians. Heading into the game, the Red Sox have lost two straight games and stand with an overall record of 13-14. On the road, the Red Sox are 6-7 and 7-7 at home. The team’s overall series record is 5-3.

• The Red Sox have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.2.
• The Red Sox have been favored in 44.4% of their games and have runline records of 6-8 and 8-5 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 67% of the Red Sox’s 27 games at 18-9.

Pitching Matchup

The Guardians will turn to starter Zach Plesac who has an overall record of 1-1. Through four appearances his ERA stands at 6.50 with a K/9 figure of 0.7. So far, he has put together of FIP of 4.02 to go along with an OBP of .379.

Zach Plesac took the loss after allowing three runs on 10 hits in his previous outing against the Marlins. In the game, the Guardians fell 3-2.

Starter Brayan Bello comes in with an overall record of 0-1 for the Red Sox. Having made two appearances, his ERA is 9.82 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.1. Additionally, he has a FIP of 6.35 and an OBP of .436.

Brayan Bello is coming off an outing against the Brewers in which he gave up three runs and five hits across 4 2/3 innings. Even though he took a no-decision, the Red Sox won by a score of 12-5.

Guardians vs. Red Sox Offense Outlook

This season, the Guardians are ranked 24th in the league with an average of 3.8 runs per game. Cleveland is ranked 29th in home runs, with a total of 15 long balls. Their overall batting average is .231, including .234 on the road and .217 at home.

Cleveland Guardians Top Hitters vs. Righties

Cleveland Guardians Top Hitters: Last Five Games

With 27 games under their belt, the Red Sox are currently 3rd in the league, averaging 5.5 runs per game. Boston’s home run ranking is 7th, with the team having hit 34 long balls. The team’s batting average, including .233 on the road and .259 at home, is .251.

Boston Red Sox Team Hitting Stats

Boston Red Sox Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

Cleveland’s starting pitcher Zach Plesac had a rough start to the season but has been turning things around in his last three starts, allowing three or fewer runs in each game. He’s got a solid track record against the Red Sox (.192 BA and .308 SLG), even though it’s based on just 26 at-bats. Plesac is up against a Red Sox lineup that’s dealing with injuries and has only managed two runs in each of their last couple of games.

On the other side, Boston’s starting pitcher Brayon Bello is getting another shot after being sent down to Triple-A Worcester on Monday. He’s had a late start to the season due to an injury and struggled in his first outing, giving up five runs in just 2 2/3 innings. However, in his next game, Bello showed some promise from his September form, allowing three runs in 4 2/3 innings. I’m expecting him to keep progressing in this start.

With the wind expected to blow in during the game, and both starting pitchers likely to improve their performances, I’m leaning towards the Under 9 at -120 odds. Bet your baseball predictions for FREE by scoring a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $500! Here’s how: Register for an account through this special link at Everygame Sportsbook (Oldest bookie on the web – Online since the 1990’s!). Deposit $100 to $500. Before placing your first bet, go to their “Special Offers” page. Enter bonus code PREDICTEM. Your balance will then be instantly credited with the bonus!