Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Free Pick

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Date: Friday, August 11th, 7:05 ET
Location: PNC Park
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Reds -120/Pirates +101
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Reds on Friday, August 11th at PNC Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Reds vs. Pirates Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Elly De La Cruz	1	SS
TJ Friedl	2	CF
Matt McLain	3	2B
Spencer Steer	4	LF
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	5	DH
Joey Votto	6	1B
Nick Senzel	7	3B
Tyler Stephenson	8	C
Will Benson	9	RF
Andrew Abbott	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Connor Joe	1	1B
Bryan Reynolds	2	LF
Andrew McCutchen	3	DH
Henry Davis	4	RF
Ke’Bryan Hayes	5	3B
Jack Suwinski	6	CF
Liover Peguero	7	SS
Alika Williams	8	2B
Jason Delay	9	C
Johan Oviedo	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Cincinnati Reds: 60-57 SU / OU 59-58 / Runline 71-46
Pittsburgh Pirates: 52-63 SU / OU 61-50 / Runline 57-58

Heading into their game vs. the Pirates, the Reds have a record of 60-57 and have dropped two straight games. In the NL Central, they are in 2nd place and have an overall series record of 17-14-4. At home, they have gone 29-31 and 31-26 on the road.

• The Reds have covered the runline in 60.7% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.2
• The Reds have been favored in 27.4% of their games and have runline records of 34-26 and 37-20 at home and on the road, respectively
• Through 117 games, the over has hit in half of the Reds’ games at 59-58.

The Pirates head into today’s game vs. the Reds with an overall record of 52-63. This mark has them sitting 4th in the NL Central. Currently, they are 9.5 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 3-2 and have a road and home record of 24-33 and 28-30, respectively. Pittsburgh’s overall series record sits at 11-20-4.

• The Pirates have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of -0.7.
• The Pirates have been favored in 19.1% of their games and have runline records of 27-31 and 30-27 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 55% of the Pirates’ 115 games at 61-50.

Pitching Matchup

 

Cincinnati starter Andrew Abbott enters with an overall record of 6-3 and ERA of 2.93. His ERA on the road is 4.13 and 3.03 when pitching at home. Abbott’s season-long WHIP comes in at 1.15 with a batting average allowed of .210. Opposing teams have put together a slugging percentage of .377 against him.

Abbott is coming off an outing in which he gave up six earned runs and nine hits in 5 2/3 innings of action. Cincinnati lost the game by a score of 7-3 to the Nationals.

 

Across 23 appearances, Johan Oviedo has a slugging percentage allowed of .384 and enters with a WHIP of 1.30. His overall record is 6-11 on an ERA of 4.18. For the season, he has a total of 117 K’s, and is averaging 8.02 strikeouts per nine innings. Oviedo’s record on the road is 3-6 and 3-5 at home. This includes an ERA of 5.87 (road) and 4.47 (home), respectively.

Pittsburgh is hoping that Johan Oviedo can help guide them to another win, as they defeated the Brewers (4-1) the last time he pitched. He finished the game with zero earned runs on two hits across seven innings.

Reds vs. Pirates Offense Outlook

With 4.8 runs per game, Cincinnati is ranked 7th in the league in terms of runs scored this season. So far, they have hit 137 home runs, placing them in the middle of the pack. Their current batting average of .250 is 11th in the league. While their home batting average ranks 19th, they rank 6th on the road.

Cincinnati Reds Top Bats

 

Cincinnati Reds Top Hitters: Last Five Games

 

At 4.2 runs per contest, Pittsburgh is currently ranked 21st in the league in terms of runs scored this season. Their home run count is around the league average, with 114 long balls hit so far. The team’s current batting average of .237 places them 16th in the league. On the road, the Pirates are 27th in batting average compared to 21st at home.

Pittsburgh Pirates Team Hitting Stats

 

Pittsburgh Pirates Top Hitters: Last Five Games

 

Free MLB Pick

The Reds have gone ice cold, losing eight out of last nine games. Cinci starter Andrew Abbott has shown flashes of brilliance this season, but has gotten shelled in his last two starts and could possibly be out of gas.

Bucs starter Johan Oviedo has allowed one earned run or less in four of his last five starts. The Pitt offense is scoring decently too, plating 7, 5, 6 and 7 runs over their last four games. And that those contests were against the Atlanta Braves!

I spy a tremendous value play where the Pirates aren’t getting the respect they deserve. I’m betting the Pittsburgh Pirates at -103.

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