Cincinnati Reds vs. Oakland A’s Betting Predictions 4/30/23
Date: Sunday, April 30th, 4:07 ET
Location: Oakland Coliseum
TV: NSPCA
Money Line: Reds -150/Athletics +128
Total Line: 8
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Oakland Athletics and the Reds on Sunday, April 30th at Oakland Coliseum. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
ML | RL | Total | |
---|---|---|---|
CIN | -150 | -1.5 | O 8 (-108) |
OAK | +128 | +1.5 | U 8 (-112) |
Reds vs. Athletics Projected Lineup
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
Jonathan India | 1 | 2B |
Spencer Steer | 2 | 3B |
Stuart Fairchild | 3 | RF |
Tyler Stephenson | 4 | C |
Kevin Newman | 5 | SS |
TJ Friedl | 6 | LF |
Nick Senzel | 7 | CF |
Jose Barrero | 8 | SS |
Curt Casali | 9 | C |
Nick Lodolo | – | SP |
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
Esteury Ruiz | 1 | LF |
Jordan Diaz | 2 | 3B |
Brent Rooker | 3 | LF |
Jesús Aguilar | 4 | 1B |
Carlos Pèrez | 5 | C |
Aledmys Díaz | 6 | 2B |
Shea Langeliers | 7 | C |
Kevin Smith | 8 | 3B |
Conner Capel | 9 | CF |
Ken Waldichuk | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
Cincinnati Reds: 12-15 SU / OU 14-13 / Runline 17-10
Oakland Athletics: 5-23 SU / OU 19-8 / Runline 11-17
On a record of 12-15, the Reds are 4th in the NL Central. Currently, they are 7.5 games out of the division lead. Against the Athletics, they will be seeking their 6th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 3-9 while going 9-6 at home. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 2-4.
- The Reds have covered the runline in 63.0% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.5
- The Reds have been favored in 25.9% of their games and have runline records of 9-6 and 8-4 at home and on the road, respectively
- The over has hit in 52% of the Reds’ 27 games at 14-13.
If the Athletics are going to climb out of last place in the AL West, they will need to turn things around with a win over the Reds. Heading into the game, the Athletics have lost five straight games and stand with an overall record of 5-23. On the road, the Athletics are 3-11 and 2-12 at home. The team’s overall series record is 0-8.
- The Athletics have covered the runline in 39.3% of their games and have an average run margin of -4.2
- The Athletics have been favored in 0.0% of their games and have runline records of 6-8 and 5-9 at home and on the road, respectively
- The over has hit in 70% of the Athletics’ 28 games at 19-8.
Pitching Matchup
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nick Lodolo | 5 | 5 | 25 | 2-1 | 6.31 | 1.87 | 6 |
The Reds will turn to starter Nick Lodolo who has an overall record of 2-1. After five appearances, his ERA is 6.31 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.4. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 4.91 and an OBP of .408.
In his most recent outing, Nick Lodolo faced the Rangers and allowed six runs on nine hits across four innings. Although he didn’t get the win or the loss, his team, the Reds, won the game by a score of 7-6.
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ken Waldichuk | 5 | 5 | 25 | 0-2 | 7.82 | 1.74 | 9 |
Ken Waldichuk has an overall record of 0-2, and will get the start for the Athletics. With five appearances, his ERA currently stands at 7.82, while his K/9 figure is 0.7. Additionally, he has a FIP of 8.09 and an OBP of .387.
Ken Waldichuk is coming off an outing against the Angels in which he gave up five runs and six hits across 5 1/3 innings. Even though he took a no-decision, the Athletics won by a score of 11-10.
Reds vs. Athletics Offense Outlook
The Reds have played 27 games and currently hold the 18th spot in the league with an average of 4.5 runs per game. With 18 home runs, Cincinnati is 28th in the league. The team’s batting average, including .233 on the road and .248 at home, is .245.
Cincinnati Reds Team Hitting Stats
Team | Games | Runs | HR | BA | OBP | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Reds | 27 | 4.5 (18th) | 18 (28th) | .245 (15th) | .329 (13th) | .329 (13th) |
Cincinnati Reds Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nick Senzel | .450 | 8 | 6 | 1 | .650 |
Jake Fraley | .500 | 6 | 4 | 1 | .950 |
Henry Ramos | .417 | 7 | 5 | 0 | .517 |
Jonathan India | .227 | 5 | 4 | 0 | .293 |
Tyler Stephenson | .363 | 7 | 3 | 0 | .470 |
This season, Oakland is ranked 23rd in the league for runs scored, averaging 3.9 runs per game. They have hit a combined total of 31 home runs, which puts them 16th in the MLB. Their current batting average of .227 is 23rd in the league. On the road, their batting average sits 23rd, compared to 29th at home.
Oakland Athletics Top Bats
BA | OBP | SLG | RBI | HR | SB | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brent Rooker | .333 | .451 | .727 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
Esteury Ruiz | .252 | .325 | .301 | 10 | 0 | 11 |
Shea Langeliers | .233 | .298 | .488 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
Oakland Athletics Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brent Rooker | .357 | 6 | 4 | 2 | .743 |
Shea Langeliers | .283 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .783 |
Esteury Ruiz | .213 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .213 |
Ryan Noda | .354 | 5 | 5 | 1 | .709 |
Kevin Smith | .200 | 4 | 2 | 1 | .350 |
Free MLB Pick
Undoubtedly, we are dealing with two of the less impressive teams in terms of OPS this season, as the Reds hold a .692 OPS and the Athletics trail just behind them at .681. However, recent performances should not be overlooked. Cincinnati has been on fire offensively, scoring five or more runs in four of their past five games. Oakland, too, has demonstrated offensive prowess, averaging over six runs per game in their last five encounters, despite a meager two-run display in their most recent matchup.
Furthermore, today’s starting pitchers have experienced their fair share of struggles throughout the season. Nick Lodolo of the Reds has an alarmingly high 6.31 ERA, while his counterpart on the Athletics, Ken Waldichuk, has fared even worse with a 7.82 ERA. The Okaland Coliseum can be a tough place for hitters, especially in day games, but considering the other factors, the Over 8 at -105 is what I’m betting.
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