Cincinnati Reds vs. Kansas City Royals Best Bet

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Kansas City Royals and the Reds on Monday, June 12th at Kauffman Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Reds vs. Royals Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Cincinnati Reds: 31-35 SU / OU 37-29 / Runline 39-27
Kansas City Royals: 18-47 SU / OU 27-36 / Runline 22-43

On a record of 31-35, the Reds are 3rd in the NL Central. Currently, they are four games out of the division lead. Against the Royals, they will be seeking their 3rd straight win. On the road, they have a record of 14-17 while going 17-18 at home. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 8-9-3.

• The Reds have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of -0.5.
• The Reds have been favored in 21.2% of their games and have runline records of 20-15 and 19-12 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 56% of the Reds’ 66 games at 37-29.

If the Royals are going to climb out of last place in the AL Central, they will need to turn things around with a win over the Reds. Heading into the game, the Royals have lost six straight games and stand with an overall record of 18-47. On the road, the Royals are 9-24 and 9-23 at home. The team’s overall series record is 3-17-1.

• The Royals have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -1.6.
• The Royals have been favored in 18.5% of their games and have runline records of 8-24 and 14-19 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Royals have an over/under record of just 27-36.

Pitching Matchup

Across his nine outings, Luke Weaver has a record of 1-2 and ERA of 6.28. One thing to note, is that he has given up a home run in each of his last two appearances. As he takes the mound, his WHIP sits at 1.42 with an OBP allowed of .335. Weaver’s strikeout to walk ratio is 46/11.

Giving up seven runs and six hits during his last appearance against the Dodgers, Luke Weaver did not factor into the decision. Yet, the Reds managed to win the game by a score of 9-8.

Zack Greinke heads into the game with an overall record of 1-6 and an ERA of 4.59. In his seven appearances on the road, he has an ERA of 6.71 and record of 0-4. At home, he has put together a mark of 1-2 and ERA of 2.91. His season-long WHIP stands at 1.11, accompanied by a batting average allowed of .251. Teams facing him have amassed a slugging percentage of .413.

Zack Greinke is coming off an outing against the Marlins in which he allowed five runs on four hits in 4 1/3 innings of work, taking the loss. The Royals lost the game by a score of 6-1.

Reds vs. Royals Offense Outlook

The Reds have played 66 games and currently hold the 9th spot in the league with an average of 4.6 runs per game. With 52 home runs, Cincinnati is 23rd in the league. The team’s batting average, including .257 on the road and .246 at home, is .255.

Cincinnati Reds Team Hitting Stats

Cincinnati Reds Top Hitters: Last Five Games

This season, Kansas City is ranked 24th in the league in terms of runs scored, averaging 3.7 runs per game. Although they are not at the top of the league in home runs, they have hit 62 long balls so far. The team’s batting average stands at .230, which ranks 21st in the league. On the road, their batting average is 26th compared to 29th at home.

Kansas City Royals Team Hitting Stats

Kansas City Royals Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

Although I was tempted to support the Kansas City Royals in this matchup, the statistical advantage of Zack Greinke against Luke Weaver on paper wasn’t convincing enough. The Royals have struggled offensively, scoring only eight runs in their last five games. While Weaver hasn’t been at his best in recent outings, it’s important to note that he faced strong offenses such as the Los Angeles Dodgers, New York Yankees, and Boston Red Sox.

On the other hand, Zack Greinke, the starting pitcher for the Kansas City Royals, had a bit of a rough outing in his last game, allowing five runs over 4 1/3 innings against the Miami Marlins. However, he had previously held his opponents to two runs or fewer in four consecutive starts.

Considering these factors, it seems likely that this game will have a limited number of runs. Therefore, it would be a sensible choice to bet on the total runs scored being under 9, listed at -117 odds at SportsBetting.ag.