Chicago White Sox vs. New York Mets Prediction & Analysis

by | Last updated Jul 18, 2023 | mlb

Chicago White Sox vs. New York Mets
Date: Tuesday, July 18th, 7:10 ET
Location: Citi Field
TV: SNY
Money Line: White Sox -102/Mets -118 (Save money by wagering at reduced odds at BAS!)
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the New York Mets and the White Sox on Tuesday, July 18th at Citi Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
CHW -102 +1.5 O 9 (-107)
NYM -118 -1.5 U 9 (-114)

White Sox vs. Mets Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Andrew Benintendi 1 LF
Tim Anderson 2 SS
Luis Robert Jr. 3 CF
Eloy Jiménez 4 DH
Andrew Vaughn 5 1B
Jake Burger 6 3B
Zach Remillard 7 2B
Oscar Colás 8 RF
Seby Zavala 9 C
Lucas Giolito SP

 

Batting Order Position
Brandon Nimmo 1 CF
Tommy Pham 2 LF
Francisco Lindor 3 SS
Pete Alonso 4 1B
Daniel Vogelbach 5 DH
Starling Marte 6 RF
Jeff McNeil 7 2B
Francisco Alvarez 8 C
Luis Guillorme 9 2B
Carlos Carrasco SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Chicago White Sox: 40-55 SU / OU 42-48 / Runline 47-48
New York Mets: 43-50 SU / OU 38-49 / Runline 36-57

On a record of 40-55, the White Sox are 4th in the AL Central. Currently, they are eight games out of the division lead. Against the Mets, they will be seeking their 3rd straight win. On the road, they have a record of 19-30 while going 21-25 at home. Chicago’s overall series record is 9-19-2.

 

  • The White Sox have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of -0.7.
  • The White Sox have been favored in 37.9% of their games and have runline records of 22-24 and 25-24 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the White Sox have an over/under record of just 42-48.

Heading into today’s action, the Mets’ record of 43-50 has them sitting 4th in the NL East. Currently, they are 18.5 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 1-4 and have a road and home record of 22-29 and 21-21, respectively. New York’s overall series record sits at 10-16-4.

 

  • The Mets have five straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -0.1.
  • The Mets have been favored in 65.6% of their games and have runline records of 16-26 and 20-31 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Mets have an over/under record of just 38-49.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Lucas Giolito 19 19 112 6-5 3.44 1.14 17

 

Lucas Giolito is scheduled to get the start for Chicago and will take the mound having pitched at least six innings in four consecutive games. For the season, he has an ERA of 3.44 and 6-5 record of. With a total of 117 strikeouts Giolito enters with a WHIP of 1.14 and WOBA allowed of .295. In terms of walks, he has issued 34 free passes.

Despite throwing seven innings and allowing only two runs in his last appearance, Lucas Giolito did not factor in the decision. In the game, the White Sox still lost to the Cardinals by a score of 4-3.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Carlos Carrasco 12 12 61 3-3 5.16 1.43 12

 

Entering with a record of 3-3, Carlos Carrasco is making his 13th appearance of the season. So far, he has an ERA of 5.16 on a batting average allowed of .249. On the road, he is 2-2 with a 4.54 ERA and 1-1 at home on an ERA of 8.13. For the season, teams have a slugging percentage of .448 against him.

New York is hoping that Carlos Carrasco can help guide them to another win, as they defeated the Diamondbacks (9-0) the last time he pitched. He finished the game with zero earned runs on three hits across eight innings.

White Sox vs. Mets Offense Outlook

The White Sox have played 96 games this season and currently hold a 24th position in the league with an average of 4.2 runs per game. In terms of home runs, they have gone deep 106 times, putting Chicago 13th in the league. Their batting average stands at .239, including .220 on the road and .240 at home.

Chicago White Sox Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
White Sox 96 4.2 (24th) 106 (13th) .239 (14th) .296 (21st) .296 (21st)

 

Chicago White Sox Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Luis Robert Jr. .346 6 2 1 .642
Andrew Benintendi .483 7 4 0 .550
Jake Burger .250 4 2 2 .688
Elvis Andrus .333 3 2 0 .445
Oscar Colás .167 2 3 0 .250

 

The Mets have played 94 games and are currently ranked 20th in the league, averaging 4.4 runs per game. New York ranks 10th in home runs, (115) and have a collective batting average of .237, including .235 on the road and .218 at home.

New York Mets Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Francisco Lindor .232 .316 .464 60 19 13
Pete Alonso .207 .306 .484 61 26 3
Brandon Nimmo .263 .359 .444 43 14 3

 

New York Mets Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Brandon Nimmo .125 2 2 1 .375
Mark Canha .250 2 0 0 .375
Luis Guillorme .444 2 1 0 .889
Starling Marte .125 1 1 0 .125
Jeff McNeil .146 2 0 0 .208

 

Free MLB Pick

The New York Mets have scored two runs or less in five straight games. Things won’t get any easier for the Mets Tuesday as they’ll send Carlos Carrasco to the mound, who hasn’t pitched well in four of his five starts at Citi Field (7.23 ERA at home with SEVEN dingers allowed in only 23.1 innings). Ironically, right-handed bats have given the Mets righty the most trouble, and the Chicago White Sox can fill a pretty powerful lineup with them.

The Chicago White Sox are heating up, winners of their last two games, but these weren’t just any ordinary wins, they were against the Atlanta Braves. More importantly, they’ll feature Lucas Giolito, who has allowed only two earned runs or less in six of his last seven starts. It’s very likely we avoid having to deal with the Sox pen much as well, as Sox management usually lets Giolito go deep into games (7 innings/105 pitches). I’m betting the ChiSox at +104.

Bet all your games for FREE this week by scoring a 100% (or more) bonus at one of the top tier bookies on our sportsbook bonuses list!

 

MLB Betting Guide

New to betting on baseball? We've got you covered! Our comprehensive how to bet on baseball article explains all the different types of wagers offered at the sportsbooks including money lines, over/unders, run lines, parlays and more! Also get tips and strategies to increase your odds of beating the bookies!