Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Pick & Predictions | July 12

Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Date: Friday, July 12th, 8:15 ET
Location: Busch Stadium
TV: APLTV
Money Line: Cubs +163/Cardinals -196
Total Line: 8

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Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Cubs on Friday, July 12th at Busch Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

From Busch Stadium in St. Louis, we have the Cubs and Cardinals facing off in an NL Central matchup. The money line odds have the Cardinals at -196 compared to the Cubs at +163. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the forecasted temperature is 90 degrees with overcast clouds.

First pitch for this one is set for 8:15 PM ET, and APLTV will be carrying the TV coverage. Kyle Hendricks gets the start for the Cubs, and he is facing off against Sonny Gray. The Cubs are 45-49, and the Cardinals are 48-44, and the Cubs are 4-0 heading into the game.

Cubs vs. Cardinals Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Chicago Cubs: 45-49 SU / OU 40-50 / Runline 46-48
St. Louis Cardinals: 48-44 SU / OU 43-46 / Runline 46-46

Cubs Records & Recent Play

The Cubs’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Orioles, closing out their series with an 8-0 win. After scoring a run in the 3rd inning, the Cubs added three more in the 5th to break things open. Chicago went on to add another three runs in the 7th to put things out of reach. Going into the game, the Cubs were the slight underdog at +115.

Justin Steele put together a good start for the Cubs, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three hits and struck out four. Dansby Swanson was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

Chicago is on the road today vs. the Cardinals, and they are looking to pick up a win to get back to .500, as they are currently 45-49 overall. The Cubs have won four straight games, and they are 9.0 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. So far, they are just 10-19 in divisional games.

At home, the Cubs have gone 25-21 this year, and they are 20-28 on the road. As the underdog, the Cubs have gone 23-27 this year, and they are 14-22 as the road underdog. Chicago’s overall series record is 11-16-2, and they have won two straight series.

When the Cubs win, they win big, with an average run differential of +3.3 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run differential of -3.2 runs per game. Overall, the Cubs have a run differential of -0.1 runs per game, and they are 46-48 against the run line this season. They have been much better on the road, going 28-20 against the run line, and they have covered in three straight games.

Chicago is on the road against St. Louis today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The Cubs have played 90 games this season, and the over/under record is 40-50. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, the over/under record is 3-11-1. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.5 runs per game. The over/under line has been set at 8 runs in 47 of their games, which is 50.0% of their games. The under has hit in their last two games.

Cardinals Records & Recent Play

Led by a big game by Lars Nootbaar at the plate, the Cardinals are coming off a game in which they scored five runs on 10 hits. However, they still took the loss, as the Royals scored eight runs. St. Louis was the -120 favorite at home going into the game.

Gordon Graceffo got the start for the Cardinals and took the loss. He only lasted 3 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on four hits. Lars Nootbaar came on in relief and was hot right out of the gates, going 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

St. Louis is five games behind the Brewers in the NL Central as they host the Cubs today. The Cardinals are 48-44 overall and 13-12 against other teams in the division. They come into today’s game having dropped two straight, losing the final two games of their series vs. the Royals.

At home, the Cardinals are 24-20 this season and 24-24 on the road. As the favorite, St. Louis has gone 25-21 and 23-23 as the underdog. The Cardinals’ overall series record is 15-12-2, and they have won two straight series on the road.

When betting the run line on the St. Louis Cardinals, it’s been a coin flip this season, as they are 46-46 against the run line. They have been slightly better at home, going 24-20, compared to 22-26 on the road. As the favorite, they are just 17-29, while as the underdog, they are 29-17.

The St. Louis Cardinals are playing host to the Chicago Cubs today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The combined run average in Cardinals games this season is 8.6 runs, and their over/under record is 43-46. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 7-9-1. The over has hit in two straight games for the Cardinals.

Pitching Matchup

Right-hander Kyle Hendricks gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Cardinals on the road. This year, he has made 11 starts and has a record of 1-7 with a 7.53 ERA. Hendricks’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.58. In his last outing, he took the loss, going just 2 innings and giving up 2 earned runs on 4 hits. Looking back over his last three starts, he has given up at least one homer in each outing. Hendricks has allowed 13 homers this year. One positive note is that he has a quality start in his 16 appearances this year.

Sonny Gray gets the start for the Cardinals today and is coming off a rough outing vs. the Nationals. In that start, he gave up five earned runs in five innings of work. Gray finished with a no-decision in the outing. Before that, he had picked up the win in two straight starts. One of those wins was a seven-inning outing in which he gave up just one earned run. Gray’s ERA for the season is 3.30, along with a record of 9-5. Opponents are batting .201 off Gray this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 11.17 strikeouts compared to just 2.33 walks.

Cubs vs. Cardinals Offense Outlook

Over the past five games, Michael Busch has been on a tear for the Cubs, going 10/22 with two homers and six RBIs. He has also scored seven runs during this stretch. Busch is currently on an eight-game hitting streak heading into today’s game. Cody Bellinger comes into the game with a batting average of .269 and is 4th on the team with nine homers.

For the season, the Cubs are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. Their home run total of 91 is 16th in the league, and they are batting a collective .232. As a team, the Cubs are 11th in on-base percentage and 4th in the league in walks. Currently, they are 18th in slugging and 17th in OPS.

Heading into today’s game, the Cardinals are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the majors. This number is right in line with their season average, as they are also averaging 4.1 runs per game at home and on the road. As a team, the Cardinals are batting .244, which is 10th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .309 is 13th in the majors.

Alec Burleson has been swinging a hot bat for the Cardinals, hitting .317 over his last 10 games with three homers and 11 RBIs. This has helped him take over the team lead in RBIs for the season, as he has 48 RBIs to go along with a team-best 15 homers. Nolan Gorman is also near the top of the league in homers, but he is batting just .209 this season.

Free Cubs vs. Cardinals MLB Pick

So far, the Cubs’ season has been a big-time disappointment, as they came into the season expecting to compete for the NL Central title. But all of a sudden, they are playing much better, having just swept the Orioles and taking two of three from the Angels. They are still 9 back in the division, but a strong performance in this series vs. St. Louis could give them some momentum to get back in the mix after the All-Star Break. In today’s NL-Central showdown, I like the Cubs to continue their hot play, and am going after them on the money line which comes with a nice payout of +163.

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