Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Pick 7/27/23
Date: Thursday, July 27th, 7:45 ET
Location: Busch Stadium
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Cubs -110/Cardinals -108
Total Line: 9
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Cubs on Thursday, July 27th at Busch Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
| ML | RL | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHC | -110 | -1.5 | O 9 (-118) |
| STL | -108 | +1.5 | U 9 (-104) |
Cubs vs. Cardinals Projected Lineup
| Batting Order | Position | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Tauchman | 1 | DH |
| Nico Hoerner | 2 | SS |
| Ian Happ | 3 | LF |
| Cody Bellinger | 4 | CF |
| Seiya Suzuki | 5 | RF |
| Christopher Morel | 6 | 2B |
| Yan Gomes | 7 | C |
| Trey Mancini | 8 | 1B |
| Miles Mastrobuoni | 9 | 3B |
| Justin Steele | – | SP |
| Batting Order | Position | |
|---|---|---|
| Dylan Carlson | 1 | RF |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 2 | 1B |
| Nolan Arenado | 3 | 3B |
| Willson Contreras | 4 | C |
| Jordan Walker | 5 | DH |
| Paul DeJong | 6 | SS |
| Tyler O’Neill | 7 | LF |
| Nolan Gorman | 8 | 2B |
| Lars Nootbaar | 9 | CF |
| Miles Mikolas | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
Chicago Cubs: 50-51 SU / OU 53-43 / Runline 54-47
On a record of 50-51, the Cubs are 3rd in the NL Central. Currently, they are six games out of the division lead. Against the Cardinals, they will be seeking their 6th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 23-25 while going 27-26 at home. Chicago’s overall series record is 15-13-3.
- The Cubs have covered the runline in four straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.5.
- The Cubs have been favored in 50.5% of their games and have runline records of 27-26 and 27-21 at home and on the road, respectively
- The over has hit in 55% of the Cubs’ 101 games at 53-43.
Heading into today’s action, the Cardinals’ record of 46-57 has them sitting 4th in the NL Central. Currently, they are 11 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 2-3 and have a road and home record of 24-31 and 22-26, respectively. St. Louis’ overall series record sits at 12-16-3.
- The Cardinals have covered the runline in 50.5% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.2
- The Cardinals have been favored in 55.3% of their games and have runline records of 21-27 and 31-24 at home and on the road, respectively
- The over has hit in 53% of the Cardinals’ 103 games at 53-47.
Pitching Matchup
| Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Steele | 18 | 18 | 103 | 10-3 | 2.95 | 1.11 | 6 |
With an overall record of 10-3, Justin Steele gets the start for Chicago. His ERA stands at 2.95 with a K/9 figure of 8.33 after making 18 appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 2.96 and an OBP of .280.
Justin Steele finished with a quality start and a win in his last appearance, as the Cubs took down the Cardinals by final score of 4-3. Steele gave up two runs and six hits across 6 1/3 innings.
| Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Mikolas | 22 | 22 | 126 | 6-5 | 4.33 | 1.31 | 12 |
Across 22 appearances, Miles Mikolas has a slugging percentage allowed of .413 and enters with a WHIP of 1.31. His overall record is 6-5 on an ERA of 4.33. For the season, he has a total of 86 K’s, and is averaging 6.11 strikeouts per nine innings. Mikolas’ record on the road is 4-3 and 2-2 at home. This includes an ERA of 4.11 (road) and 5.27 (home), respectively.
Miles Mikolas finished with a no-decision in his last outing against the Cubs. He allowed five runs on 11 hits over five innings. The Cardinals went on to lose the game by a score of 8-6.
Cubs vs. Cardinals Offense Outlook
On offense, Chicago is 9th in the league with an average of 4.9 runs per game. When looking at their home run numbers, they are 16th, having hit 115 homers. Their overall batting average is .253, including .238 on the road and .254 at home.
Chicago Cubs Team Hitting Stats
| Team | Games | Runs | HR | BA | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | 101 | 4.9 (9th) | 115 (16th) | .253 (9th) | .331 (7th) | .331 (7th) |
Chicago Cubs Top Hitters: Last Five Games
| Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Hoerner | .567 | 9 | 6 | 1 | .842 |
| Dansby Swanson | .500 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1.062 |
| Ian Happ | .404 | 6 | 8 | 1 | .675 |
| Cody Bellinger | .233 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .633 |
| Seiya Suzuki | .200 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .200 |
This season, the Cardinals have proven to be one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball, with 142 home runs in total (6th). Currently, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .258. The team’s slugging percentage is .432 at home and .411 on the road.
St. Louis Cardinals Team Hitting Stats
| Team | Games | Runs | HR | BA | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals | 103 | 4.8 (10th) | 142 (6th) | .258 (6th) | .333 (5th) | .333 (5th) |
St. Louis Cardinals Top Hitters: Last Five Games
| Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lars Nootbaar | .400 | 7 | 6 | 2 | .750 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | .308 | 5 | 4 | 2 | .646 |
| Nolan Gorman | .275 | 5 | 3 | 3 | .762 |
| Brendan Donovan | .450 | 7 | 5 | 0 | .500 |
| Tyler O’Neill | .230 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .370 |
Free MLB Pick
Take the Cubs-117
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