Brewers vs. Mets Best Bet 6/26/23

Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets
Date: Monday, June 26th, 7:10 ET
Location: Citi Field
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Brewers +157/Mets -186 (Bet your games for FREE this week by scoring a 100% sportsbook bonus!)
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the New York Mets and the Brewers on Monday, June 26th at Citi Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Brewers vs. Mets Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Milwaukee Brewers: 40-37 SU / OU 33-42 / Runline 34-43
New York Mets: 35-42 SU / OU 35-39 / Runline 29-48

The Brewers head into today’s game vs. the Mets with an overall record of 40-37. This mark has them sitting 2nd in the NL Central. Currently, they are 0.5 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 3-2 and have a road and home record of 18-19 and 22-18, respectively. Milwaukee’s overall series record sits at 11-13.

• The Brewers have covered the runline in 44.2% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.3
• The Brewers have been favored in 53.2% of their games and have runline records of 16-24 and 18-19 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Brewers have an over/under record of just 33-42.

Heading into today’s action, the Mets’ record of 35-42 has them sitting 4th in the NL East. Currently, they are 15 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 1-4 and have a road and home record of 18-27 and 17-15, respectively. New York’s overall series record sits at 8-13-4.

• The Mets have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of -0.2.
• The Mets have been favored in 66.2% of their games and have runline records of 12-20 and 17-28 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Mets have an over/under record of just 35-39.

Pitching Matchup

The Brewers will turn to starter Colin Rea who has an overall record of 3-4. Through 13 appearances, his ERA stands at 4.88 with a K/9 figure of 0.9. So far, he has put together of FIP of 4.86 to go along with an OBP of .302.

Giving up five runs and seven hits during his last appearance against the Diamondbacks, Colin Rea did not factor into the decision. Yet, the Brewers managed to win the game by a score of 7-5.

Heading into today’s game, New York starter Justin Verlander has pitched at least six innings in two straight games. For the season, he has an ERA of 4.50 and record of 2-4. His total strikeout figure stands at 44, with a slugging percentage allowed of .428. Currently, Verlander has a WHIP of 1.21 and WOBA allowed of .307.

Even though Verlander finished with a quality start in his most recent outing, the Mets still lost to the Astros by a score of 4-2. For the game, he allowed eight hits, leading to four earned runs. This statline came across seven innings.

Brewers vs. Mets Offense Outlook

With an average of 4.1 runs per game, Milwaukee is ranked 24th in the league. In terms of power numbers, the Brewers have gone deep 85 times so far, placing them in the middle of the pack for home runs (17th). Their current batting average of .226 ranks 23rd in the league. While their home batting average is 29th, they rank 20th on the road.

Milwaukee Brewers Top Hitters vs. Righties

Milwaukee Brewers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

The Mets have played 78 games so far and are ranked 15th in the league with an average of 4.5 runs per game. In terms of home runs, they are 12th (92) and their overall batting average stands at .241. This includes a BA of .235 on the road and .227 at home.

New York Mets Team Hitting Stats

New York Mets Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

Colin Rea consistently pitches poorly on the road and has an ERA of over five in away games. Conversely, Jason Verlander has only allowed ONE earned run at home in each of his last three starts.

The Mets have lost four out of their last five games, but they were on the road and did score a fair amount of runs, so I’m discounting that, especially since it was against the Phillies and Astros.

The Brewers have only hit .197 as a team over the past seven days, and the bottom of their lineup has been ice cold. They’re just not getting on base. They’re have the second worst on base percentage at .261 over that spanl

As noted previously, the Mets found themselves in the loss column on their road trip, but did score decently in those games. I’m not excited to lay -185 today, but it’s definitely the most likely bet to win on today’s short MLB card. Note: This play is mostly predicated on the Mets starting pitcher. Check out Jerry’s take on handicapping starting pitchers.