Brewers vs. Braves Moneyline Pick for August 7th

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves
Date: Wednesday, August 7th, 7:20 ET
Location: Truist Park
TV: BSSO
Money Line: Brewers +134/Braves -159
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Atlanta Braves and the Brewers on Wednesday, August 7th at Truist Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Wednesday’s forecast in Atlanta calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-90s. First pitch from Truist Park is set for 7:20 PM ET. BSSO is carrying this game on TV.

The Braves are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, as they are -159 on the money line. The over/under line is currently 8 runs, and the Brewers have Freddy Peralta on the mound. Atlanta will be starting Chris Sale.

Brewers vs. Braves Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Milwaukee Brewers: 63-49 SU / OU 61-46 / Runline 58-54
Atlanta Braves: 60-52 SU / OU 40-67 / Runline 51-61

Atlanta had no answer for Milwaukee’s offense in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Braves by a score of 10-0. The Brewers had a huge 3rd inning, scoring seven of their ten runs. On the other side, the Braves had their best chance to score in the 4th, but could only muster two hits and left two runners stranded.

Colin Rea pitched well for the Brewers in this one, going seven innings and striking out nine without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Bryce Elder got tagged for seven runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work for the Braves.

Milwaukee’s two and three hitters, Willy Adames and William Contreras, combined for seven hits, two homers, and eight RBIs. Adames, Joey Ortiz, Rhys Hoskins, and Jackson Chourio each scored two runs for the Brewers’ offense.

Brewers Records & Recent Play

Milwaukee is 63-49 overall this season, putting them 1st in the NL Central. They currently lead the Cardinals by 6.0 games for the division lead. The Brewers are 23-13 against other teams in the NL Central. Milwaukee took the first game of this series vs. the Braves and, overall, they are 19-14-3 in series this year.

At home, the Brewers have gone 31-21 this season. On the road, they are 32-28 heading into today’s game. As the underdog, the Brewers are 27-22 this year and 21-15 as the underdog on the road. So far, they have gone 36-27 as the favorite.

When the Brewers win, they win big. Their average run margin in victories is +3.6, but when they lose, they lose by an average of -2.8 runs. Their overall run line record is 58-54, with a +0.8 run differential per game. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 33-27, compared to 25-27 at home.

The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road against the Atlanta Braves today. The over/under line for this game is set at 8 runs. The Brewers have a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 61-46, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 7-7-2. So far this season, 67 of their games have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs, which accounts for 59.8% of their games. In 29 games, the over/under line has been set at under 8 runs, which is 25.9% of their games.

Braves Records & Recent Play

With an overall record of 60-52, the Braves are 2nd in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 6.5 games. The Braves have dropped three straight games, and this losing streak includes losing the series opener vs. the Brewers. So far, they are 18-16 in divisional matchups.

At home, the Braves are 32-24 this season while going 28-28 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves are 53-41 and 7-11 as the underdog. The Braves have an overall series record of 19-13-5 this year, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games overall.

When the Braves win, they do so by an average of 3.6 runs per game, and they are 51-61 on the run line this season. They have been favored in 94 games and have covered in 42 of them. They are 23-33 on the run line at home and have failed to cover in their last three games at home. Overall, they are 28-28 on the run line on the road.

The Braves have played in 70 games with an over/under line of 8 runs this season, and the over has hit in 10 of those contests. Their games have averaged 7.9 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 40-67. Today’s over/under line is set at 8 runs, which is the average line for their games this season.

Pitching Matchup

Freddy Peralta will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Braves, as he finished with a no-decision in his last start, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two homers. Looking back at his last four starts, Peralta has finished with a no-decision in three of them. He has allowed at least one homer in three straight outings. Peralta’s ERA for the season is 3.89, along with a record of 6-6. Opponents are batting .210 vs. Peralta this season. Out of his 22 starts, Peralta has nine quality starts and is averaging 11.14 strikeouts per nine innings.

Chris Sale gets the start for the Braves today and comes in with a record of 13-3 and ERA of 2.71. So far, he has made 20 starts, and opponents are batting .196 this season. Sale has made 11 quality starts and is averaging 11.34 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Sale finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The left-hander has been particularly tough at home, going 8-0 with a 3.40 ERA.

Brewers vs. Braves Offense Outlook

So far this season, the Brewers are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. At home, they are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is also 9th in the MLB. As a team, they are batting .255, which is the 6th best mark in the league. Milwaukee’s offense is also one of the best in the league at getting on base, as they have the 2nd best OBP in the league at .332.

Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins are tied for the team lead in home runs this season, with 19 apiece. Hoskins is batting just .223 for the season, but he is currently on an 11-game hitting streak. Adames has gone 6/20 in his last five games, with two homers and four RBIs. Jackson Chourio has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/25 in his last five games.

Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, batting .297 with a team-high 32 home runs and 86 RBIs. Matt Olson is also a power threat in the lineup, but he is batting just .228 this season. Over the team’s last eight games, Olson and Austin Riley have each hit three homers. Riley is batting .344 in this stretch, while Olson is at .250.

As a team, the Braves are 21st in scoring at 4.2 runs per game. They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are 8th in home runs and have a collective batting average of .238. Currently, Ronald Acuña Jr. is on a four-game hitting streak, and Michael Harris II has a hit in five straight games.

Free Brewers vs. Braves MLB Pick

The Brewers took it to the Braves last night to take game one, but I see the Braves taking this one and not only winning but covering the run line. Freddy Peralta has given up two homers in two straight games, his record in July was 0-2 with a 4.10 ERA. And even though the Braves offense was held scoreless last night, look for them to bounce back in a big way on Tuesday.