Braves vs. Padres Free Pick & Analysis for 4/19/23

Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres
Date: Wednesday, April 19th, 4:10 ET
Location: PETCO Park
TV: BSSD
Money Line: Braves -119/Padres +101 (Bet on MLB games for cheaper at BAS Sportsbook!)
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the San Diego Padres and the Braves on Wednesday, April 19th at PETCO Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

	ML	RL	Total
	-119	-1.5	O 8.5 (-121.0)
	+101	+1.5	U 8.5 (+100.0)

Braves vs. Padres Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Ronald Acuña Jr.	1	RF
Matt Olson	2	1B
Austin Riley	3	3B
Sean Murphy	4	C
Eddie Rosario	5	LF
Ozzie Albies	6	2B
Vaughn Grissom	7	2B
Marcell Ozuna	8	LF
Sam Hilliard	9	CF
Charlie Morton	–	SP

	Batting Order	Position
Trent Grisham	1	CF
Manny Machado	2	3B
Juan Soto	3	RF
Xander Bogaerts	4	SS
Nelson Cruz	5	DH
Jake Cronenworth	6	2B
Austin Nola	7	C
Rougned Odor	8	2B
Ha-Seong Kim	9	SS
Nick Martinez	–	SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Atlanta Braves: 14-4 SU / OU 10-7 / Runline 10-8
San Diego Padres: 8-11 SU / OU 9-10 / Runline 7-12

The Braves take on the Padres in the middle of a eight game winning streak and are leading the NL East on an overall record of 14-4. So far, they are 10-1 on the road and 4-3 at home. Atlanta’s overall series record stands at 4-1.

• The Braves have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of 1.8.
• The Braves have been favored in 83.3% of their games and have runline records of 1-6 and 9-2 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 59% of the Braves’ 18 games at 10-7.

Heading into their game vs. the Braves, the Padres have a record of 8-11 and have dropped three straight games. In the NL West, they are in 3rd place and have an overall series record of 1-2. At home, they have gone 4-8 and 4-3 on the road.

• The Padres have three straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -0.6.
• The Padres have been favored in 57.9% of their games and have runline records of 3-9 and 4-3 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Padres have an over/under record of just 9-10.

Pitching Matchup

With an overall record of 2-1, the Braves will give Charlie Morton the start. His ERA stands at 3.86 with a K/9 figure of 0.7 after making three appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.29 and an OBP of .380.

A quality start and a win were added to Charlie Morton’s record in his previous outing against the Royals. The Braves went on to win by a score of 10-3. Morton allowed three runs and six hits during six innings.

The Padres will turn to starter Nick Martinez who has an overall record of 0-1. Through three appearances, his ERA stands at 5.60 with a K/9 figure of 0.6. So far, he has put together of FIP of 6.71 to go along with an OBP of .321.

Nick Martinez earned a quality start in his most recent outing, pitching six innings and giving up three runs. Despite his solid performance, the Padres were unable to beat the Brewers and lost by a score of 4-3.

Braves vs. Padres Offense Outlook

This season, the Braves are one of the top power-hitting lineups in the league, with 27 home runs (3rd). This has led to an average of 5.4 runs per game and a collective batting average of .269. At home, their slugging percentage is .399, compared to .485 on the road.

Atlanta Braves Team Hitting Stats

Atlanta Braves Top Hitters: Last Five Games

With a total of 22 home runs hit so far, the Padres have established themselves as one of the leading home run hitting teams in baseball (8th). They are currently averaging 3.8 runs per game overall, with a collective batting average of .224. When playing on the road, their slugging percentage is .367 compared to .381 at home.

San Diego Padres Top Hitters vs. Righties

San Diego Padres Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

How can we not bet against a team that has scored a total of ONE run over their last three games? Could the anticipation of getting star player Fernando Tatis Jr. back in the lineup be derailing their focus on hitting the ball? Probably not, but whatever it is, it’s not likely that the flame gets rekindled Wednesday afternoon against the Braves and Charlie Morton who have been hitting like the Big Red Machine and cashed in eight wins in a row for bettors. I’m betting Atlanta at -120. Bankroll running low? Instead of re-depositing at your bookie and receiving NOTHING, consider using one of our sportsbook promo codes to grab a 100% real cash bonus (or more!)