Braves vs. Mets Predictions: Sale Set to Dominate in Crucial NL East Clash

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
Date: Wednesday, September 25th, 7:20 ET
Location: Truist Park
TV: SNY
Money Line: Mets +158/Braves -188 (Make sure you’re betting into dime lines!)
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Atlanta Braves and the Mets on Wednesday, September 25th at Truist Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

There appears to be a chance for moderate rain in Atlanta on Wednesday, where the Braves and Mets are facing off. The forecasted temperature is 77 degrees. David Peterson is starting for the Mets, and he will be facing off against Chris Sale. The Braves are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -188 compared to the Mets at +158. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.

First pitch from Truist Park is set for 7:20 PM ET, and SNY will be televising this NL East matchup. The Mets are 87-70, while the Braves have won three straight and are 3rd in the NL East with a record of 86-71.

Mets vs. Braves Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

New York Mets: 87-70 SU / OU 79-73 / Runline 80-77
Atlanta Braves: 86-71 SU / OU 58-93 / Runline 75-82

The most recent game o of this Mets and Braves series came right after the All-Star break. New York had a late rally in the 7th inning, scoring their only run, but the Braves held on for a 5-1 win. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -145 on the money line.

Atlanta got to Mets starter Luis Severino, scoring four runs off him in just four innings of work. On the other side, Spencer Schwellenbach put together a good outing for the Braves, giving up just one run across seven innings of work.

Michael Harris II and Marcell Ozuna each homered for the Braves, while Mark Vientos went deep for the Mets. Harris, Ozuna, and Vientos each had two RBIs.

Mets Records & Recent Play

The Mets are 87-70 overall and trail the Phillies by 5.5 games in the NL East. Currently, they lead the NL Wild Card race by one game over the Reds. New York is 29-21 against other teams in the NL East this season. The Mets are on a two-game winning streak in series and have an overall series record of 27-17-8 this year.

At home, the Mets are 46-35 this season, and they are just above .500 at 41-35 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets have gone 58-37 this year. They are an even 21-21 as the road underdog this season. Looking at their recent games, the Mets are 6-4 over their last ten and dropped their most recent game vs. the Braves.

When the Mets are on the road, they are 42-34 against the run line, with an average run margin of +0.4. As the underdog, they are 36-26 against the run line, and their average run margin in winning games is +3.7.

The Mets are on the road against the Braves today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Mets games this season is 9.1 runs per game, and their over/under record is 79-73. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 21-17. Overall, 67.5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s 7.5-run total, and their current under streak is at two games.

Braves Records & Recent Play

With an overall record of 86-71, the Braves are 3rd in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 6.5 games. Currently, they trail the Mets by one game for the 2nd Wild Card spot. The Braves have won three straight games, and they are 6-4 across their last 10.

At home, the Braves are 43-33 this season and 43-38 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves are 73-53 this year and 13-18 as the underdog. Atlanta has an overall series record of 28-16-7 and have won two straight series overall. Their most recent series win came on the road, and they have won two straight series on the road.

Atlanta has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 75-82 overall. They have been better on the road than at home, going 43-38 on the run line away from home. The Braves have been the favorite in 126 games this season, going 57-69 on the run line in those contests.

The Braves have been involved in a lot of high-scoring games this season, with their combined run average sitting at 8.2. Their over/under record is 58-93, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 13-20. Overall, 73.2% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.

Pitching Matchup

David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Braves on the road. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 9-3 with a 3.08 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .244 this season. In his 20 appearances, Peterson has turned in 11 quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.34 strikeouts and 3.39 walks. The left-hander’s last outing came on September 20th, where he took the loss, going 3 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs. Before that, he had gone 7 2/3 innings without giving up an earned run.

Chris Sale gets the start for the Braves today vs. the Mets and comes into the game with a record of 18-3 and an ERA of 2.38. This year, he has made 29 starts, and opponents are batting .210 vs. Sale this season. Currently, he is ranked first in the league in wins for a starter. Sale has made 18 quality starts this year and is averaging 11.4 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Sale went five innings, giving up two earned runs, and got the win. Before that, he had won three straight starts. The lefty has been especially tough at home, going 10-0 with a 2.75 ERA.

Mets vs. Braves Offense Outlook

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been the Mets’ top power threats this season, as Alonso’s 34 homers leads the team and is 9th in the league, while Lindor has gone deep 31 times. Lindor is also batting .271 for the season, and Alonso is batting .242. Lindor is on a four-game hitting streak, and Jose Iglesias has gone 16/38 over his last nine games.

Overall, the Mets are 7th in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, the Mets are batting .247, and their team on-base percentage of .321 is 5th in the league.

Marcell Ozuna and Matt Olson have been two of the Braves’ top power threats this season, as Ozuna’s 39 homers is 5th in the league and Olson has 29 home runs, which is 13th in the MLB. Ozuna comes into the game batting .310, and Olson is hitting .246. Ozuna also leads the team with 102 RBIs, which is 11th in the league. Olson is right behind him in this category, with 98 RBIs. Ozuna is currently on a seven-game hitting streak, and Michael Harris II has also been hot of late, going 19/45 in his last 10 games.

Overall, the Braves are averaging 4.4 runs per game, and they have been a better offensive team on the road this season. As a team, they are 4th in home runs and are batting a combined .244. So far, they have been a good team at avoiding strikeouts, but they are just 17th in walks.

Free Mets vs. Braves MLB Pick

The Braves picked up a huge win last night, putting them just a .5 game out of the Wild Card race, benefiting from a three-game losing streak from the Arizona Diamondbacks. Also working in their favor is the fact that they can also still overtake the Mets, as they are just one game behind them. And most importantly, they have Chris Sale on the mound tonight. For game two, I’m taking the Braves to not only win, but also cover the run line.

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