Braves vs. Mets MLB Betting Preview, Odds, and Predictions – July 25th, 2024

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets
Date: Thursday, July 25th, 7:10 ET
Location: Citi Field
TV: BSSE
Money Line: Braves -131/Mets +110
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the New York Mets and the Braves on Thursday, July 25th at Citi Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

At 7:10 PM ET, the Braves and Mets face off in an NL East matchup. This one is taking place at Citi Field in New York, and the Braves are looking to snap a four-game losing streak. The money line odds have the Braves at -131 compared to the Mets at +110. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.

Chris Sale will start for the Braves, while the Mets are sending Luis Severino to the mound. The forecast for Thursday’s game in New York calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-80s. BSSE is carrying this one on TV.

Braves vs. Mets Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Atlanta Braves: 54-46 SU / OU 35-60 / Runline 45-55
New York Mets: 53-48 SU / OU 54-44 / Runline 48-53

Braves Records & Recent Play

The Braves will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Reds with a 9-4 loss. Atlanta was actually the slight favorite at -129 on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Reds scored four times in the first.

Atlanta’s offense scored their only four runs in the 2nd inning. The Braves added another three runs in the 3rd to take the lead but couldn’t hold on, as the Reds scored another four runs in the top of the 3rd. Orlando Arcia and Matt Olson each had two hits. Starter Allan Winans took the loss and only lasted 2 2/3 innings. He gave up seven earned runs.

Atlanta is on the road today to take on the Mets, having lost four straight games. Currently, they are nine games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead, and they are 54-46 overall. Their record includes a mark of 14-12 against other NL East teams.

So far, the Braves have gone 30-21 at home compared to 24-25 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves are 50-37 this year, and they are just 4-9 as the underdog. Atlanta’s overall series record is 17-13-3, and they have dropped two straight series.

When betting the Braves on the run line, it’s been a coin flip proposition this season with a 45-55 record. They are 24-25 on the run line on the road, and they have been favored in 87 games, going 39-48 against the run line. Their average run margin is +0.5 runs per game, and they have gone 21-30 on the run line at home.

When the Braves are on the road this season, the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs on 17 occasions, and the over has hit in 11 of those games. The Braves’ games have averaged 7.9 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 35-60. The average over/under line for a Braves game this season has been set at 8 runs.

Mets Records & Recent Play

The Mets’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Yankees, closing out their series with a 12-3 win. After allowing one run to the Yankees in the bottom of the first, the Mets responded with a run of their own. New York’s offense really broke things open with a six-run 4th inning. Looking at the betting lines going into the game, the Mets were at +145.

Sean Manaea got the start for the Mets, going 4 2/3 innings, and picked up the win. He also issued four walks and gave up three earned runs on just three hits. Francisco Lindor was hot at the plate, going 3/6 with two homers and five RBIs.

The Mets are at home today to take on the Braves, and they are looking to pick up a win to close the 10.5-game gap between them and the Phillies for the NL East lead. Currently, they are 53-48 overall and 3rd in the NL East. New York has won three straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Yankees with two straight wins.

So far, the Mets are 18-14 in divisional games. As the underdog, New York has won two straight games, and they are 21-22 as the underdog overall. At home, they are 6-10 as the underdog. Their overall home record is 26-26, and they are 27-22 on the road this year. New York’s overall series record is 16-12-6.

When the Mets win, they win by an average of 3.4 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.3 runs per game. Their run line record is 48-53 on the season, but they have been better on the road, going 27-22. They have covered the run line in two straight games as the underdog and are 26-17 on the run line as the underdog overall.

When the Mets are at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs today, which is below their season average of 8 runs per game. Their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 54-44. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 10-11. So far this season, 68.3% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.

Pitching Matchup

Chris Sale gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Mets on the road. So far this season, he has made 18 starts and has a record of 13-3. Sale’s ERA is an impressive 2.70, and he most recently pitched on July 14th, where he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up just one earned run. Looking back over his last three starts, Sale has given up just one earned run in each outing. Opponents are batting .196 off Sale this season, and his WHIP is .95. Sale has 10 quality starts this season and is averaging 11.45 strikeouts per nine innings.

Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. Against the Marlins on July 20th, he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just two hits. Looking back over his last three outings, Severino has been a bit up and down. He has one loss mixed in with two wins and has given up as many as seven earned runs in a start. This season, opponents are batting .217 off Severino, and his ERA is 3.58 to go along with a record of 7-3.

Braves vs. Mets Offense Outlook

Marcell Ozuna has been one of the best hitters in the league this season, as his 80 RBIs are 3rd in the MLB, and his 28 homers are also 3rd in the league. Ozuna has been even better of late, going 16/38 in his last 10 games with five homers. Austin Riley and Matt Olson have also had solid power seasons, as they are both tied for 2nd on the team with 13 homers.

As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They have been a below-average team in terms of drawing walks and are just 24th in the league in on-base percentage. Overall, they are 9th in the league in home runs and have the 12th best team batting average in the league.

Francisco Lindor has been on a tear of late, going 8/23 in his last five games with four homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is batting .259 with 21 homers, which is 9th in the league. Lindor also comes into the game with a nine-game hitting streak. Pete Alonso is also near the top of the league in homers, as his 20 long balls are 10th in the MLB. He is batting just .244 for the season.

As a team, the Mets are the 6th highest-scoring team in the league, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are 4th in home runs and have the 7th best team batting average in the league.

Free Braves vs. Mets MLB Pick

The Mets are riding high heading into this one, as they have won three straight, including a two-game sweep over the Yankees. As for the Braves, they have lost four straight and are looking for Chris Sale to get them back on track. Sale has won three straight starts, and I see him helping the Braves get back on track. I like Atlanta on the money line today.