Braves vs. Marlins Moneyline Pick for May 4th

Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins
Date: Thursday, May 4th, 4:10 ET
Location: loanDepot Park
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Braves -113/Marlins -105 (Deposit $100 and get $100 FREE with code PREDICT100 at MyBookie!)
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Miami Marlins and the Braves on Thursday, May 4th at loanDepot Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Braves vs. Marlins Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Ronald Acuña Jr.	1	RF
Matt Olson	2	1B
Austin Riley	3	3B
Ozzie Albies	4	2B
Sean Murphy	5	C
Vaughn Grissom	6	2B
Michael Harris II	7	CF
Marcell Ozuna	8	LF
Kevin Pillar	9	CF
Dylan Dodd	–	SP

	Batting Order	Position
Jon Berti	1	3B
Luis Arraez	2	2B
Jorge Soler	3	RF
Bryan De La Cruz	4	CF
Yuli Gurriel	5	1B
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	6	CF
Jean Segura	7	SS
Nick Fortes	8	C
Garrett Hampson	9	SS
Jesús Luzardo	–	SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Atlanta Braves: 21-10 SU / OU 18-12 / Runline 16-15

Miami Marlins: 16-15 SU / OU 13-16 / Runline 12-19The Braves take on the Marlins in the middle of a two game winning streak and are leading the NL East on an overall record of 21-10. So far, they are 14-3 on the road and 7-7 at home. Atlanta’s overall series record stands at 7-2.

• The Braves have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of 1.8.
• The Braves have been favored in 87.1% of their games and have runline records of 4-10 and 12-5 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 60% of the Braves’ 31 games at 18-12.

Heading into their game vs. the Braves, the Marlins have a record of 16-15 and have dropped two straight games. In the NL East, they are in 3rd place and have an overall series record of 6-3. At home, they have gone 10-8 and 6-7 on the road.

• The Marlins have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -1.6.
• The Marlins have been favored in 35.5% of their games and have runline records of 6-12 and 6-7 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Marlins have an over/under record of just 13-16.

Pitching Matchup

 

The Braves will turn to starter Dylan Dodd who has an overall record of 1-1. After two appearances, his ERA is 7.71 and he has a K/9 figure of 0.6. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 5.19 and an OBP of .405.

Dylan Dodd took the loss after allowing seven runs on 10 hits in his previous outing against the Padres. In the game, the Braves fell 10-2.

 

Jesús Luzardo has an overall record of 2-1, and will get the start for the Marlins. With six appearances, his ERA currently stands at 3.48, while his K/9 figure is 1.1. Additionally, he has a FIP of 3.72 and an OBP of .326.

Despite finishing with a quality start in his last outing, Jesús Luzardo did not factor into the decision in the Marlins’ 3-2 win over the Cubs. He surrendered two runs on five hits across 6 1/3 innings of work.

Braves vs. Marlins Offense Outlook

The Braves have hit 52 home runs this season, making them one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball (3rd). In addition to their impressive home run stats, they are averaging 5.5 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .260. At home, their slugging percentage is .425, compared to .481 on the road.

Atlanta Braves Team Hitting Stats

 

Atlanta Braves Top Hitters: Last Five Games

 

The Marlins have played 31 games so far this season and are currently ranked 29th in the league with an average of 3.4 runs per game. In terms of home run hitting, Miami is 24th, having hit the ball out of the park 27 times. Their overall batting average is .249, including .235 on the road and .251 at home.

Miami Marlins Team Hitting Stats

 

Miami Marlins Top Hitters: Last Five Games

 

Free MLB Pick

Atlanta Braves’ star Ronald Acuna Jr. has been scorching hot lately, hitting two home runs, accumulating 13 total bases, 5 RBIs, and 5 runs in his last 13 at-bats. The key for today’s game will be to either halt or significantly hinder his performance. The Miami Marlins will be sending Jesus Luzardo to the mound, a pitcher who has historically dominated the Braves, holding their roster to a mere .184 batting average across 49 at-bats. In his most recent encounter with Atlanta on October 3, 2022, Luzardo was simply outstanding, delivering six scoreless innings, allowing just four hits, and striking out 12 batters. Notably, Acuna Jr. was rendered hitless, going 0 for 4 with two strikeouts.

On the other hand, the Braves will be starting rookie Dylan Dobbs, who is set to make his third MLB appearance of the season. While he showed promise in his debut, his subsequent start saw him struggle mightily, getting pulled from the game in the fifth inning after surrendering seven runs on ten hits over just 4 1/3 innings. Considering the recent performances and match-ups, I’m leaning towards the Miami Marlins at -115. Question: When you bet on MLB games, is there a 20-cent difference between the favorite and underdog? If the answer is yes, you’re overpaying for your odds! Do yourself a favor and consider switching to a dimeline sportsbook! You’ll save a ton of loot! Money you could be spending on beer, better seats at the game or pissing away on your lady!