Braves vs. Brewers Betting Preview – Odds, Lineups, and Predictions

Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Monday, July 29th, 8:10 ET
Location: American Family Field
TV: BSSO
Money Line: Atl +105/Mil -123
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Braves on Monday, July 29th at American Family Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Colin Rea will be starting for the Brewers on Monday, and they are facing the Braves, who are on a two-game winning streak. However, the Braves are the slight underdog on the money line (+105), and their record of 56-48 has them in 2nd place in the NL East.

Monday night’s over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the forecast from Milwaukee calls for temperatures in the low 80s with a chance of thunderstorms. BSSO is carrying this game on TV. First pitch from American Family Field is set for 8:10 PM ET.

Braves vs. Brewers Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Atlanta Braves: 56-48 SU / OU 37-62 / Runline 47-57
Milwaukee Brewers: 60-45 SU / OU 56-44 / Runline 55-50

Braves Records & Recent Play

The Braves’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Mets, closing out their series with a 9-2 win. After allowing two runs to the Mets in the bottom of the first, the Braves responded with four runs of their own. Atlanta went on to add another four runs in the 4th inning.

Reynaldo Lopez put together a good start for the Braves, going three innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out two. Atlanta’s offense was carried by Austin Riley, who went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

Heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Brewers, the Braves have won two straight games, and they are 56-48 overall. The Braves are 8.5 games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead, and they are 2nd in the division. So far, they are 16-14 in divisional games.

At home, the Braves have gone 30-21 this season, and they are just above .500 at 26-27 on the road. As the underdog, the Braves are 6-10 this year, and they are 50-38 when favored. Atlanta’s series record is 18-13-4 this year, and they have dropped two straight series at home.

On the road, the Braves have a run line record of 26-27, with an average run differential of +0.7 runs per game. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 8-8 as an underdog. Their average run differential in wins is +3.7 runs per game, while in losses it is -3.1 runs per game.

When the Braves are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly higher than their season average of 8 runs per game. Atlanta’s games have averaged 7.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 37-62. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 10-18. Overall, 36 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 34.6% of their games.

Brewers Records & Recent Play

The Brewers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Marlins, closing out their series with a 6-2 win. After allowing one run to the Marlins in the top of the first, the Brewers responded with two runs of their own. Milwaukee went on to add another four runs in the 4th inning.

Starting for the Brewers was Jakob Junis, who picked up the win while tossing six innings of two-run ball. He also finished with nine K’s and issued just one walk. The Brewers’s offense was carried by Jake Bauers, who went 2/3 with a homer and two RBIs.

Milwaukee will host the Braves with a record of 60-45, putting them six games ahead of the Cardinals for the NL Central lead. So far, they have gone 23-13 in divisional games. The Brewers lost two of three in their series vs. the Marlins.

At home, the Brewers are 30-19 this year and have gone 30-26 on the road. As the favorite, Milwaukee is 34-24 and 26-21 as the underdog. The Brewers’ overall series record is 19-12-3, and they have won two straight series on the road while dropping three straight at home.

When betting the Brewers on the run line, it’s been better to take them as the underdog, as they are 32-15 in that role compared to 23-35 as the favorite. Their overall run line record is 55-50, and they have a run differential of +0.8 runs per game.

When the Milwaukee Brewers are at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season. The Brewers have gone over the line in 56 of their 100 games this season, and their games have had an average line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 23 of those 40 games. Overall, 20% of their games have had a higher line than 8.5 runs, while 42% have had a lower line.

Pitching Matchup

Right-hander Grant Holmes will be making the start for the Braves today as he faces the Brewers on the road. So far, he has made 10 appearances and has an ERA of 2.70 to go along with a record of 0-0. Opponents are batting .195 off Holmes this year, and his WHIP is currently .94. Holmes most recently pitched on July 24th, where he went 3 1/3 innings out of the bullpen, giving up two earned runs on five hits. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Looking back at his last four appearances, Holmes has finished with a no-decision in each outing.

Right-hander Colin Rea gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Braves at home. Rea has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 9-3 with a 3.60 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Rea has a WHIP of 1.21 and has turned in six quality starts. In his last outing, Rea went five innings and didn’t give up a run, finishing with a no-decision. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in four straight outings. Rea’s ERA at home is 3.86 compared to 3.63 on the road.

Braves vs. Brewers Offense Outlook

Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 30 home runs are 3rd in the league and the best mark on the Braves. He is also 2nd in the league with 82 RBIs. Ozuna has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/37 in his last 10 games with four homers. Ozuna also comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak. First baseman Matt Olson has 15 homers this season but is batting just .227.

As a team, the Braves are 20th in runs scored at 4.2 runs per game. They are also 20th in team batting average and have the league’s 8th ranked home run total. Overall, their team on-base percentage and walk numbers are both towards the bottom of the league rankings.

So far this season, the Brewers offense has been one of the league’s best, averaging 4.7 runs per game (9th) and batting a collective .254 (5th). They also have the 3rd best on-base percentage in the league and have been very good at avoiding strikeouts. One of the things that has held them back from being one of the league’s top offenses is their home run total, as they are just 16th in the league in homers.

Over his last seven games, Rhys Hoskins has gone deep three times while batting .300. This has pushed his season-long batting average to just .218, but he does lead the team with 17 homers. Willy Adames has also been a big power threat for the Brewers, as he has 16 homers and is batting .244 for the season.

Free Braves vs. Brewers MLB Pick

The Braves are going with Grant Holmes, who has made 10 appearances this year but will be making his first start of the season. Colin Rea is far from a household name, but he has quietly put together a really good season for the Brewers. But even though the Brewers appear to have the advantage on the mound, they dropped two of three from the Marlins and appear to be reeling a bit after Christian Yelich’s injury news. I like Atlanta on the money line for this one.

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