Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Total Pick 6/19/23

Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins
Date: Monday, June 19th, 7:40 ET
Location: Target Field
TV: BSN
Money Line: Red Sox +115/Twins -135
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Minnesota Twins and the Red Sox on Monday, June 19th at Target Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Red Sox vs. Twins Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Alex Verdugo	1	LF
Masataka Yoshida	2	LF
Justin Turner	3	DH
Rafael Devers	4	3B
Adam Duvall	5	CF
Triston Casas	6	1B
Christian Arroyo	7	2B
Connor Wong	8	C
Enrique Hernández	9	SS
James Paxton	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Donovan Solano	1	SS
Carlos Correa	2	SS
Byron Buxton	3	DH
Kyle Farmer	4	SS
Joey Gallo	5	RF
Willi Castro	6	SS
Alex Kirilloff	7	1B
Ryan Jeffers	8	C
Michael A. Taylor	9	CF
Pablo López	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Boston Red Sox: 37-35 SU / OU 39-32 / Runline 36-36
Minnesota Twins: 36-36 SU / OU 30-37 / Runline 37-35

As they take on the Twins, the Red Sox have an overall record of 37-35 and are currently last in the AL East. However, they have rattled off four straight wins. At home, Boston has a mark of 21-18 compared to 16-17 on the road. Their series record sits at 12-9-1.

• The Red Sox have covered the runline in four straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.2.
• The Red Sox have been favored in 43.1% of their games and have runline records of 19-20 and 17-16 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 55% of the Red Sox’s 72 games at 39-32.

Even though the Twins are in first place in the AL Central, they have gone just 2-3 over their last five games. Minnesota’s overall record currently sits at 36-36, including going 15-19 on the road and 21-17 at home. Their series record stands at 10-10-2.

• The Twins have covered the runline in 51.4% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.5
• The Twins have been favored in 61.1% of their games and have runline records of 17-21 and 20-14 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Twins have an over/under record of just 30-37.

Pitching Matchup




James Paxton is scheduled to get the start for Boston and will take the mound having pitched at least six innings in two consecutive games. For the season, he has an ERA of 3.09 and 2-1 record. With a total of 44 strikeouts Paxton enters with a WHIP of 1.16 and WOBA allowed of .289. In terms of walks, he has issued 10 free passes.

Even though Paxton finished with a quality start in his last outing, the Red Sox still lost to the Rockies by a score of 4-3, and Paxton finishing with a no-decision. In the game, he pitched six innings while allowing zero earned runs on four hits.




Today will be Pablo López’s 15th appearance this season, and he has an overall record of 3-3. His current ERA stands at 4.27 and OBP allowed of .284. So far, he struckout 101 batters and has a WHIP of 1.11. On the road, his ERA is 2.97 compared to 6.34 at home.

The Twins won the last time Pablo López toed the rubber, taking down the Brewers by a score of 7-5. Even though López picked up a quality start, tossing six innings while giving up three earned runs, he did not finish with the W and took a no-decision.

Red Sox vs. Twins Offense Outlook

The Red Sox have played 72 games so far and have an average of 5.0 runs per game, putting them 7th in the league. Boston has hit 76 home runs, ranking them 16th in the MLB. Their overall batting average is .263, while hitting .224 on the road and .286 at home.

Boston Red Sox Top Bats




Boston Red Sox Top Hitters: Last Five Games




The Twins have played 72 games and currently hold the 18th spot in the league with an average of 4.3 runs per game. With 90 home runs, Minnesota is 8th in the league. The team’s batting average, including .212 on the road and .234 at home, is .230.

Minnesota Twins Top Bats




Minnesota Twins Top Hitters: Last Five Games




Free MLB Pick

The Red Sox come in hot riding a four game win streak pounding out 31 runs across the four games. In comes James Paxton has been sharp in his last three outings and he has been okay in his five starts this season. However, I’m on the fence about his ability . He hasn’t faced all that much since his return, and he does have a weak historical record versus this roster .323 BA, .382 OBP and .834 SLG. I can definitely see a regression tonight. The Twins are going with Pablo Lopez who brings a dismal 5.88 home ERA into this match. Lopez can come up with a good one as witnessed in his seven frames of one run ball against the Rays, but he can also look like a low level pitcher allowing four or more runs in five of his last ten starts. Take the Over 8 -110.