Blue Jays vs. Phillies Total Pick

by | Last updated May 10, 2023 | mlb

Vladimir Guerrero Jr Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Wednesday, May 10th, 4:05 ET
Location: Citizens Bank Park
TV: NSPPH
Money Line: Blue Jays -110/Phillies -108 (Odds always cost less at BAS Sportsbook!)
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Blue Jays on Wednesday, May 10th at Citizens Bank Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
TOR -110 -1.5 O 8.5 (-109)
PHI -108 +1.5 U 8.5 (-111)

Blue Jays vs. Phillies Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
George Springer 1 CF
Bo Bichette 2 SS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 3 1B
Matt Chapman 4 3B
Daulton Varsho 5 RF
Brandon Belt 6 1B
Whit Merrifield 7 2B
Danny Jansen 8 C
Kevin Kiermaier 9 CF
Kevin Gausman – SP

 

Batting Order Position
Bryson Stott 1 2B
Trea Turner 2 SS
Bryce Harper 3 RF
Nick Castellanos 4 RF
Kyle Schwarber 5 LF
J.T. Realmuto 6 C
Alec Bohm 7 3B
Brandon Marsh 8 CF
Edmundo Sosa 9 SS
Zack Wheeler – SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Toronto Blue Jays: 21-15 SU / OU 17-17 / Runline 18-18
Philadelphia Phillies: 17-19 SU / OU 17-18 / Runline 16-20

The Blue Jays head into today’s game vs. the Phillies with an overall record of 21-15. This mark has them sitting 3rd in the AL East. Currently, they are 7.5 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 3-2 and have a road and home record of 12-12 and 9-3, respectively. Toronto’s overall series record sits at 8-3.

 

  • The Blue Jays have covered the runline in 50.0% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.4
  • The Blue Jays have been favored in 72.2% of their games and have runline records of 6-6 and 12-12 at home and on the road, respectively
  • Through 36 games, the over has hit in half of the Blue Jays’ games at 17-17.

On a record of 17-19, the Phillies are 3rd in the NL East. Currently, they are eight games out of the division lead. Against the Blue Jays, they will be seeking their 3rd straight win. On the road, they have a record of 7-12 while going 10-7 at home. Philadelphia’s overall series record is 5-5.

 

  • The Phillies have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of -0.7.
  • The Phillies have been favored in 55.6% of their games and have runline records of 7-10 and 9-10 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Phillies have an over/under record of just 17-18.

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Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Kevin Gausman 7 7 42 2-3 3.86 1.19 5

 

Kevin Gausman has an overall record of 2-3, and will get the start for the Blue Jays. With seven appearances, his ERA currently stands at 3.86, while his K/9 figure is 1.4. Additionally, he has a FIP of 2.63 and an OBP of .286.

In Kevin Gausman’s last outing, the Blue Jays lost by a score of 11-5 to the Red Sox. In the game, he allowed eight runs on 10 hits over 3 1/3 innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Zack Wheeler 7 7 38 3-2 4.26 1.24 1

 

Starter Zack Wheeler comes in with an overall record of 3-2 for the Phillies. Having made seven appearances, his ERA is 4.26 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.2. Additionally, he has a FIP of 2.45 and an OBP of .311.

In Zack Wheeler’s last outing, the Phillies lost by a score of 5-3 to the Red Sox. In the game, he allowed five runs on seven hits over 5 1/3 innings.

Blue Jays vs. Phillies Offense Outlook

Through 36 games the Blue Jays are 9th in the league at 4.9 runs per game. In terms of home runs, Toronto is 14th having gone deep 41 times. In terms of batting average, they have hit .260 including .253 on the road and .259 at home.

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters On The Road

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Bo Bichette .330 5 .544 .398
Matt Chapman .337 4 .587 .429
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .352 7 .636 .451
Daulton Varsho .289 5 .533 .373
Kevin Kiermaier .338 1 .485 .379

 

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Bo Bichette .340 8 6 1 .640
Daulton Varsho .427 8 2 1 .653
Whit Merrifield .330 6 3 1 .500
Kevin Kiermaier .350 6 4 1 .613
Brandon Belt .479 6 5 0 .708

 

With 36 games under their belt, the Phillies are currently 16th in the league, averaging 4.4 runs per game. Philadelphia’s home run ranking is 19th, with the team having hit 39 long balls. The team’s batting average, including .250 on the road and .265 at home, is .266.

Philadelphia Phillies Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Phillies 36 4.4 (16th) 39 (19th) .266 (4th) .325 (13th) .325 (13th)

 

Philadelphia Phillies Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Nick Castellanos .350 7 5 1 .700
Bryce Harper .397 7 7 1 .583
Alec Bohm .350 6 4 0 .350
Trea Turner .267 6 3 1 .467
J.T. Realmuto .354 5 2 0 .562

 

Free MLB Pick

I’m betting the OVER 8.5 runs. Both clubs are hitting well and both pitchers have been blown up in a few recent starts. A great mix to go along with perfect baseball weather and a hitter’s venue in Citizen’s Bank Park. Question: Do you live bet games? If so, do yourself a favor and take a minute to check out the awesome live wagering platform at Bovada Sportsbook. All sports are listed on one page, transactions are seemless (unlike most clunky books software) and they offer good sized limits (unlike most other bookies). They also offer TONS of prop bets and a 50% real cash bonus! It’s where we bet! Click here to start betting with a better sportsbook!

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