Bet the Total: Pirates vs. Brewers

by | Last updated Aug 3, 2023 | mlb

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Thursday, August 3rd, 7:15 ET
Location: American Family Field
TV: FOX
Money Line: Pirates +110/Brewers -131 (Get a 125% bonus and FREE half point!)
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Pirates on Thursday, August 3rd at American Family Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
PIT +110 +1.5 O 8.5 (-115)
MIL -131 -1.5 U 8.5 (-107)

Pirates vs. Brewers Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Jack Suwinski 1 CF
Bryan Reynolds 2 LF
Andrew McCutchen 3 DH
Henry Davis 4 RF
Ke’Bryan Hayes 5 3B
Connor Joe 6 1B
Endy Rodriguez 7 C
Nick Gonzales 8 2B
Liover Peguero 9 SS
Mitch Keller SP

 

Batting Order Position
Christian Yelich 1 LF
William Contreras 2 C
Carlos Santana 3 1B
Willy Adames 4 SS
Sal Frelick 5 RF
Mark Canha 6 DH
Andruw Monasterio 7 3B
Brice Turang 8 2B
Joey Wiemer 9 CF
Adrian Houser SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Pittsburgh Pirates: 48-59 SU / OU 55-48 / Runline 51-56
Milwaukee Brewers: 58-51 SU / OU 46-60 / Runline 50-59

The Pirates head into today’s game vs. the Brewers with an overall record of 48-59. This mark has them sitting 4th in the NL Central. Currently, they are 9.5 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 3-2 and have a road and home record of 22-31 and 26-28, respectively. Pittsburgh’s overall series record sits at 12-19-2.

 

  • The Pirates have covered the runline in 47.7% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.7
  • The Pirates have been favored in 20.6% of their games and have runline records of 24-30 and 27-26 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 53% of the Pirates’ 107 games at 55-48.

Heading into today’s action, the Brewers’ record of 58-51 has them sitting 2nd in the NL Central. Currently, they are 0.5 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 1-4 and have a road and home record of 29-27 and 29-24, respectively. Milwaukee’s overall series record sits at 17-15-1.

 

  • The Brewers have covered the runline in 45.9% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.1
  • The Brewers have been favored in 50.5% of their games and have runline records of 21-32 and 29-27 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Brewers have an over/under record of just 46-60.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Mitch Keller 22 22 133 9-7 3.97 1.21 17

 

Across his 22 outings, Mitch Keller has a record of 9-7 and ERA of 3.97. One thing to note, is that he has given up a home run in each of his last three appearances. As he takes the mound, his WHIP sits at 1.21 with an OBP allowed of .293. Keller’s strikeout to walk ratio is 145/40.

Pittsburgh lost the last time Keller pitched, falling to the Phillies by a final score of 2-1. In the game, Keller went 5 2/3 innings and allowed two earned runs on six hits.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Adrian Houser 14 12 67 3-3 4.43 1.57 8

 

Across 14 appearances, Adrian Houser has a slugging percentage allowed of .430 and enters with a WHIP of 1.57. His overall record is 3-3 on an ERA of 4.43. For the season, he has a total of 52 K’s, and is averaging 6.99 strikeouts per nine innings. Houser’s record on the road is 2-2 and 1-1 at home. This includes an ERA of 4.86 (road) and 4.42 (home), respectively.

Houser is coming off an outing in which he gave up six earned runs and eight hits in four innings of action. Milwaukee lost the game by a score of 10-7 to the Braves.

Pirates vs. Brewers Offense Outlook

Pittsburgh has hit 101 home runs so far this season, ranking just 23rd in the league. Their batting average of .236 is 19th in the league, while their OPS ranks 21st on the road and 27th at home.

Pittsburgh Pirates Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Pirates 107 4.1 (26th) 101 (23rd) .236 (19th) .312 (18th) .312 (18th)

 

Pittsburgh Pirates Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Liover Peguero .271 4 2 2 .708
Endy Rodríguez .208 3 3 0 .562
Bryan Reynolds .388 7 3 1 .575
Josh Palacios .150 3 1 1 .350
Andrew McCutchen .250 4 1 0 .312

 

Milwaukee is currently ranked 22nd in the league in terms of runs scored, averaging 4.1 runs per game this season. Their home run count is around the league average, with 113 long balls hit so far. The Brewers’ current batting average of .232 places them 21st in the league, while they are 23rd on the road compared to 27th at home.

Milwaukee Brewers Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Christian Yelich .307 13 .530 .396
Carlos Santana .231 11 .425 .319
William Contreras .260 4 .383 .313
Willy Adames .210 13 .395 .290
Brian Anderson .241 7 .386 .309

 

Milwaukee Brewers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
William Contreras .330 7 2 1 .670
Christian Yelich .287 6 3 1 .527
Brice Turang .367 6 5 0 .367
Joey Wiemer .271 4 2 1 .458
Carlos Santana .100 2 1 1 .250

 

Free MLB Pick

Neither one of today’s starters Mitch Keeler or or Adrian Houser have been impressive this season Houser has just two quality starts in his last eight starts and Keller after a good June has just one in his last six games. Take the Over 8.5. Note: A KILLER sportsbook offer is coming to a close in a couple days. It’s probably the best offer you’ll ever see from an online sportsbook: “Deposit $25 and get $50 FREE”. In order to score this, you’ll need to register for an account through at Everygame through this special link. After you’ve made your deposit, you’ll need to go directly to their “Special Offers” page and enter bonus code ROOKIE200 (has to be done before placing your first bet) and you’re extra $50 will showup in your balance! Enjoy!

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