Bet the Total: Orioles vs. Yankees Pick

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the New York Yankees and the Orioles on Tuesday, May 23rd at Yankee Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Orioles vs. Yankees Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Baltimore Orioles: 31-16 SU / OU 24-20 / Runline 30-17
New York Yankees: 29-20 SU / OU 22-26 / Runline 28-21

On a record of 31-16, the Orioles are 2nd in the AL East. Currently, they are three games out of the division lead. Against the Yankees, they will be seeking their 4th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 16-8 while going 15-8 at home. Baltimore’s overall series record is 10-3.

• The Orioles have covered the runline in three straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.9.
• The Orioles have been favored in 51.1% of their games and have runline records of 12-11 and 18-6 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 55% of the Orioles’ 47 games at 24-20.

On a record of 29-20, the Yankees are 3rd in the AL East. Currently, they are six games out of the division lead. Against the Orioles, they will be seeking their 5th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 13-10 while going 16-10 at home. New York’s overall series record is 8-4.

• The Yankees have covered the runline in four straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.6.
• The Yankees have been favored in 71.4% of their games and have runline records of 14-12 and 14-9 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Yankees have an over/under record of just 22-26.

Pitching Matchup

Coming in with a record of 2-1, Kyle Bradish will get the start for the Orioles. Through seven appearances, he has an ERA of 3.90 and batting average allowed of .256. Opponents have walked 10 times vs. Bradish along with 29 strikeouts. Bradish’s WHIP stands at 1.30 with a SLG allowed of .392.

Bradish picked up the win in his most recent outing, as he gave up one earned run and four hits across 6 2/3 innings vs. the Angels. The Orioles won the game by a score of 3-1.

The Yankees will turn to starter Gerrit Cole who has an overall record of 5-0. Through 10 appearances his ERA stands at 2.01 with a K/9 figure of 1.1. So far, he has put together of FIP of 3.00 to go along with an OBP of .277.

Gerrit Cole took a no-decision in his last outing, tossing six innings and giving up zero runs. Despite picking up a quality start, the Yankees lost to the Blue Jays by a score of 3-0.

Orioles vs. Yankees Offense Outlook

This season, the Orioles have emerged as one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball, with a total of 58 home runs (10th). In addition, they have maintained an average of 5.1 runs per game, while their collective batting average stands at .254. Their slugging percentage at home is .417 compared to .425 on the road.

Baltimore Orioles Top Hitters vs. Righties

Baltimore Orioles Top Hitters: Last Five Games

So far this season, the Yankees have hit 73 home runs and are one of the top teams in baseball in this category (4th). They are averaging 4.6 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .236. The team’s slugging percentage is .433 at home and .391 on the road.

New York Yankees Top Hitters vs. Righties

New York Yankees Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

The New York Yankees’ roster has some strong metrics amassing a batting average of .280 and an on-base percentage (OBP) of .379 when facing Kyle Bradish albeit in just 25 at-bats. On the other side, the Baltimore Orioles lineup has a solid batting average of .268 and an on-base plus slugging percentage (OPS) of .716 over 112 at-bats against Gerrit Cole.
Both teams have been in great offensive form lately. The Orioles have scored five or more runs in five of their last six games, while the Yankees have managed to score four or more runs in nine out of their last ten games. Considering these strong offensive performances, along with the fact that the total runs line is set relatively low at 7.5, it leads me to favor the Over bet.