Bet the Total: Jays vs. Rangers Pick

by | Last updated Jun 16, 2023 | mlb

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers
Date: Friday, June 16th, 8:05 ET
Location: Globe Life Field
TV: BSSW
Money Line: Blue Jays -137/Rangers +116
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Texas Rangers and the Blue Jays on Friday, June 16th at Globe Life Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
TOR -137 -1.5 O 9 (100)
TEX +116 +1.5 U 9 (-121)

Blue Jays vs. Rangers Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
George Springer 1 CF
Bo Bichette 2 SS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 3 1B
Matt Chapman 4 3B
Whit Merrifield 5 2B
Alejandro Kirk 6 C
Daulton Varsho 7 RF
Danny Jansen 8 C
Kevin Kiermaier 9 CF
Kevin Gausman SP


Batting Order Position
Marcus Semien 1 2B
Corey Seager 2 SS
Nathaniel Lowe 3 1B
Adolis García 4 RF
Josh Jung 5 3B
Jonah Heim 6 C
Robbie Grossman 7 LF
Josh H. Smith 8 3B
Leody Taveras 9 CF
Martín Pérez SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Toronto Blue Jays: 38-32 SU / OU 32-36 / Runline 32-38
Texas Rangers: 42-26 SU / OU 39-26 / Runline 42-26

So far this season, the Blue Jays have an overall record of 38-32, putting them 4th in the AL East. Currently, they are 11 games out in the division. Across their last ten games, they are an even 5-5. On the road, they have gone 19-19 and 19-13 at home. The team’s series record is 13-8.

  • The Blue Jays have covered the runline in 45.7% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.3
  • The Blue Jays have been favored in 70.0% of their games and have runline records of 13-19 and 19-19 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Blue Jays have an over/under record of just 32-36.

Even though the Rangers are in first place in the AL West, they have gone just 1-4 over their last five games. Texas’ overall record currently sits at 42-26, including going 20-14 on the road and 22-12 at home. Their series record stands at 15-5-1.

  • The Rangers have covered the runline in 61.8% of their games and have an average run margin of 2.1
  • The Rangers have been favored in 61.8% of their games and have runline records of 21-13 and 21-13 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 60% of the Rangers’ 68 games at 39-26.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Kevin Gausman 14 14 86 5-3 3.12 1.14 8

Kevin Gausman has an overall record of 5-3, and will get the start for the Blue Jays. With 14 appearances, his ERA currently stands at 3.12, while his K/9 figure is 1.4. Additionally, he has a FIP of 2.57 and an OBP of .277.

Kevin Gausman is coming off an outing against the Twins in which he gave up six runs and seven hits across 4 2/3 innings. Even though he took a no-decision, the Blue Jays won by a score of 7-6.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Martín Pérez 13 13 71 6-2 4.67 1.56 11

The Rangers will turn to starter Martín Pérez who has an overall record of 6-2. After 13 appearances, his ERA is 4.67 and he has a K/9 figure of 0.7. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 4.90 and an OBP of .354.

Having allowed seven runs on 10 hits in 3 1/3 innings against the Rays, Martín Pérez is coming off a game that resulted in a loss for the Rangers.

Blue Jays vs. Rangers Offense Outlook

The Blue Jays are proving to be one of the best home run hitting teams in baseball this season, having hit 81 home runs (10th). Overall, they are averaging 4.6 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .265. The team’s slugging percentage is .428 on the road and .400 at home.

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters vs. Lefties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Matt Chapman .413 2 .652 .465
Bo Bichette .327 3 .571 .400
Whit Merrifield .289 1 .422 .309
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .333 0 .359 .358
Daulton Varsho .262 0 .286 .283

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Cavan Biggio .375 4 4 2 .938
George Springer .297 6 5 1 .537
Whit Merrifield .467 8 1 0 .583
Daulton Varsho .367 7 1 0 .467
Matt Chapman .207 4 2 1 .407

On offense, Texas is 1st in the league with an average of 6.1 runs per game. When looking at their home run numbers, they are 6th, having hit 90 homers. Their overall batting average is .271, including .252 on the road and .278 at home.

Texas Rangers Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Marcus Semien .283 .350 .472 53 10 7
Adolis García .258 .323 .484 55 15 6
Nathaniel Lowe .275 .354 .439 40 8 0

Texas Rangers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Corey Seager .303 6 4 2 .663
Leody Taveras .270 6 2 1 .460
Nathaniel Lowe .338 6 2 1 .550
Josh Jung .180 4 4 0 .280
Marcus Semien .130 3 2 1 .300

Free MLB Pick

The Jays haven’t been hitting scoring well managing just three or fewer runs in five of their last eight games. They have, however, historically hit Rangers starter Martin Perez well with the roster holding a .294 average over 109 at-bats. The same goes for Toronto starter Kevin Gausman. The Texas roster has a combined .286 batting average over 70 at-bats. Both starters are also coming off poor performances and while they could rebound, I’m looking the other way. Take the Over 8.5 -120. Bet your MLB predictions for FREE this weekend by scoring a 50% cash bonus on your first deposit of $50 to $500 at Bovada Sportsbook! This betting shop is the BEST! Their live wagering platform is head and shoulders above the competition and they’ve got a huge betting menu, unlike any other sportsbook! It’s where we wager!

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