Bet the Total: Jays vs. Mariners Free Pick

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners
Date: Saturday, July 6th, 4:10 ET
Location: T-Mobile Park
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Blue Jays +105/Mariners -124
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Seattle Mariners and the Blue Jays on Saturday, July 6th at T-Mobile Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

From T-Mobile Park in Seattle, we have the Blue Jays and Mariners facing off in an AL matchup. First pitch is at 4:10 PM ET, and MLBN is carrying this one on TV.

The Mariners are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -124 compared to the Blue Jays at +105. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and Emerson Hancock is starting for the Mariners, while the Blue Jays are going with Yariel Rodriguez. Toronto is 5th in the AL East, and the Mariners are 1st in the AL West.

Blue Jays vs. Mariners Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Toronto Blue Jays: 39-49 SU / OU 41-44 / Runline 40-48
Seattle Mariners: 49-41 SU / OU 36-49 / Runline 41-49

Seattle picked up a 2-1 win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a two-run 3rd inning and the Blue Jays scored their only run in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Mariners were favored at -135 on the money line.

Luis Castillo started for the Mariners and picked up the win, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued two walks. As for the Blue Jays, Kevin Gausman got the start and took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work.

Cal Raleigh and Luke Raley were the only two Mariners hitters to have more than one hit. Raleigh. Toronto’s top hitter was Kevin Kiermaier, who went 1/2 with a home run.

Blue Jays Records & Recent Play

Toronto is 5th in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by 17 games. Overall, the Blue Jays are 39-49 and have dropped three straight games. Their record in the AL East is 12-16 heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Mariners.

At home, the Blue Jays are 21-24 this season, and they are 18-25 on the road. So far, they have really struggled as the underdog, going 9-29 this season. Toronto’s overall series record is 9-13-6, and they are currently losing their series vs. the Mariners.

While the Blue Jays have a losing record on the run line overall, they have been a much better bet on the road, where they are 25-18. They have won four straight on the run line away from home. Their average run differential in games they have won is +3.3, while it is -3.9 in losses.

The Blue Jays are on the road against the Mariners today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Toronto’s games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 41-44. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 14-10-1. Over the course of the season, 38 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 43.2% of their games. They have gone under the total in their last two games.

Mariners Records & Recent Play

Seattle is 49-41 overall this season, and they lead the AL West by two games over the Astros. The Mariners have won two straight games, and both of these wins came at home. So far, they have been great against other teams in the AL West, putting together a record of 17-5.

At home, the Mariners are 30-16 this year compared to 19-25 on the road. As the home favorite, Seattle has gone 23-11 and 31-22 overall as the favorite. They have struggled a bit more as the underdog, going 18-19 this year. Looking at their series record, the Mariners are 13-13-2 and have dropped five straight series.

Seattle’s run line record is 41-49 this season, with a run differential of +0.1 runs per game. The Mariners are 22-24 against the run line at home, where they have a run differential of +0.7 runs per game. As the underdog, Seattle is 20-17 against the run line, while they are 21-32 as the favorite. In their wins, the Mariners are outscoring opponents by an average of 3.0 runs per game, while in losses, they are being outscored by an average of 3.4 runs per game.

The Mariners have played in 85 games this season, and 62.2% of those games have had an over/under line set at 8 runs or fewer. When the line has been set at 8 runs, the over/under record is 5-10-1. On the season, the over/under record is 36-49, and the average combined run average in their games is 7.5 runs per game.

Pitching Matchup

Right-hander Yariel Rodríguez gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Mariners on the road. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 0-3 with an ERA of 4.63. Opposing batters are hitting .247 this year off Rodríguez, and he has a WHIP of 1.54. The last time he took the mound, Rodríguez gave up one earned run in 6 2/3 innings of work. He took the loss in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts. So far, he has one quality start this year.

Seattle is sending right-hander Emerson Hancock to the mound today vs. the Blue Jays. He has made eight starts this year and has a record of 3-3 with an ERA of 4.79. So far, Hancock has turned in four quality starts, and his ERA at home is 2.92 compared to 10.7 on the road. In his last outing, Hancock finished with a no-decision, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. He only issued one walk in that outing. Hancock’s ERA for June is 3.38.

Blue Jays vs. Mariners Offense Outlook

So far this season, the Blue Jays are averaging just 4 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the majors. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 3.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .233, which is 14th in the league, and their collective slugging percentage of .372 is 21st. However, the Blue Jays do have the league’s top home run hitter in Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who is batting .293 with 13 homers and 50 RBIs.

George Springer has been on fire for the Blue Jays over his last 10 games, going 14/31 with four homers and 13 RBIs. Overall, he is batting .452 in this stretch. Daulton Varsho is second on the team with 11 homers but is batting just .198 for the season.

So far this season, the Mariners are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 27th in the league. They have been even worse at home, putting up just 3.6 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .217, which is the worst mark in the league. However, they do have the 11th most home runs in the league.

Cal Raleigh has been a bright spot in terms of power for the Mariners, as his 15 home runs is the best mark on the team and 11th in the league. However, he is batting just .203 for the season. Julio Rodriguez has hit eight homers and is batting .247. Over his last five games, Rodriguez has gone 5/21, and Raleigh has gone 4/19.

Free Blue Jays vs. Mariners MLB Pick

For today’s Mariners and Blue Jays matchup, I’m liking the under at 8 runs. Aside from putting up 7 runs on July 2nd, the Blue Jays offense has really struggled. The same goes for the Mariners, whose offense just has one big game under their belt this week. Look for this to be another low-scoring game, just like yesterday’s matchup between the teams.