Bet the Runline: Tigers vs. Rangers Prediction

Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers
Date: Wednesday, June 28th, 8:05 ET
Location: Globe Life Field
TV: BSSW
Money Line: Tigers +193/Rangers -233
Total Line: 9.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Texas Rangers and the Tigers on Wednesday, June 28th at Globe Life Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Tigers vs. Rangers Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Zach McKinstry	1	2B
Spencer Torkelson	2	1B
Kerry Carpenter	3	RF
Javier Báez	4	SS
Matt Vierling	5	CF
Andy Ibáñez	6	3B
Miguel Cabrera	7	DH
Eric Haase	8	C
Jake Marisnick	9	CF
Joey Wentz	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Marcus Semien	1	2B
Corey Seager	2	SS
Nathaniel Lowe	3	1B
Adolis García	4	RF
Josh Jung	5	3B
Jonah Heim	6	C
Ezequiel Duran	7	2B
Robbie Grossman	8	LF
Leody Taveras	9	CF
Dane Dunning	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Detroit Tigers: 34-44 SU / OU 41-34 / Runline 42-36
Texas Rangers: 48-31 SU / OU 42-32 / Runline 49-30

So far this season, the Tigers have an overall record of 34-44, putting them 3rd in the AL Central. Currently, they are 4.5 games out in the division. Across their last ten games, they are an even 5-5. On the road, they have gone 16-23 and 18-21 at home. The team’s series record is 11-13-2.

• The Tigers have covered the runline in 53.8% of their games and have an average run margin of -1.0
• The Tigers have been favored in 11.5% of their games and have runline records of 20-19 and 22-17 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 55% of the Tigers’ 78 games at 41-34.

Even though the Rangers are in first place in the AL West, they have gone just 2-3 over their last five games. Texas’ overall record currently sits at 48-31, including going 23-17 on the road and 25-14 at home. Their series record stands at 17-7-1.

• The Rangers have covered the runline in 62.0% of their games and have an average run margin of 1.9
• The Rangers have been favored in 62.0% of their games and have runline records of 25-14 and 24-16 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 57% of the Rangers’ 79 games at 42-32.

Pitching Matchup




Today will be Joey Wentz’s 16th appearance this season, and he has an overall record of 1-8. His current ERA stands at 6.72 and OBP allowed of .342. So far, he has struckout 61 batters and has a WHIP of 1.58. On the road, his ERA is 9.86 compared to 8.03 at home.

After a loss against the Twins, Joey Wentz is coming off a performance where he gave up four runs on five hits over five innings.




As he prepares to take on the Tigers, Texas starter Dane Dunning has recorded a quality start in each of his last two outings. Overall, he has made 17 trips to the mound and has a recorded of 6-1 and ERA of 2.76. For the season, opponents have batting average of .236 against him, including an OPS of .630. Dunning’s strikeout total currently sits at 41 while issuing 21 this year.

Despite finishing with a quality start in his last outing, Dane Dunning did not factor into the decision in the Rangers’ 4-2 win over the Yankees. He surrendered two runs on five hits across seven innings of work.

Tigers vs. Rangers Offense Outlook

The Detroit offense comes into the game with just 70 home runs, ranking them 24th in the league. The team’s current batting average is .229, putting them 24th in all of baseball. In terms of OPS, they are 27th in the league (.662).

Detroit Tigers Top Hitters vs. Righties




Detroit Tigers Top Hitters: Last Five Games




The Rangers have played 79 games and are currently ranked 1st in the league, averaging 5.9 runs per game. Texas ranks 6th in home runs, (106) and have a collective batting average of .272, including .254 on the road and .279 at home.

Texas Rangers Top Hitters vs. Lefties




Texas Rangers Top Hitters: Last Five Games




Free MLB Pick

The Detroit Tigers have scored three runs or less in four of their last five games. It won’t get any easier for them Wednesday, as Dane “Stunning” Dunning will be on the hill for the Texas Rangers. The crafty righty is one of the most interesting pitchers in baseball. He doesn’t strike many out, he doesn’t walk many, he doesn’t give up a ton of hits and he doesn’t get too much of the plate. This style of pitching has worked out incredibly well for him this season. If you look at his game logs, you’ll see that he had a rough patch, but who wouldn’t after going on maternity leave and then having your sleep schedule fouled up? He even mentioned this in an interview I watched. It’s no coincidence that he’s back on track after a bit of recovery time.

Detroit will start lefty Joey Wentz, one of the worst starting pitchers in baseball this season. Wentz had a 6.45 ERA in April, 8.03 in May and 5.40 in June. The Tigers are just 1-7 in his last eight starts. Wentz looks the part of a stud pitcher, but just hasn’t put it together yet. He lacks command at times and in an effort to curtail his pitches, he ends up getting too much of the plate. He’s allowed seven balls to leave the yard in only 27.2 road innings. In time, he may end up having a nice career, but it’s not likely to happen in 2023.

More stats to support the Rangers as a play tonight include: Det is hitting .215 as a team on road this season, resulting in a last place ranking in MLB for runs scored on the road. There’s also been a power outage over the past week, as they’ve only hit four home runs over that span.

The Spencer Torkelson batting second experiment has failed miserably, yet they continue to keep batting him at the top of the order. This clearly indicates the team from the Motor City isn’t trying to win games this season. So does having Miguel Cabrera in the lineup!

Lastly, the Rangers are second in Major League Baseball in home batting average at .285.

Based on Dunning’s ability to keep runs to a minimum, Detroit not smashing balls lately and the Tiger’s lack of scoring runs on the road, I’m betting the Texas Rangers on the runline at -1.5 -115.