Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers ML Pick for July 19th

Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers
Date: Friday, July 19th, 8:05 ET
Location: Globe Life Field
TV: MASN
Money Line: Orioles -155/Rangers +130
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Texas Rangers and the Orioles on Friday, July 19th at Globe Life Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

At 8:05 PM ET, the Orioles and Rangers will square off in an AL matchup. Friday’s matchup is taking place at Globe Life Field in Arlington, and the Orioles are favored on the money line (-155). The money line odds for a Rangers win are sitting at +130.

Friday’s pitching matchup features Corbin Burnes for the Orioles and Nathan Eovaldi for the Rangers. Baltimore is 58-38, and they are 1st in the AL East, while the Rangers are 3rd in the AL West with a record of 46-50.

Orioles vs. Rangers Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Baltimore Orioles: 58-38 SU / OU 48-38 / Runline 52-44
Texas Rangers: 46-50 SU / OU 38-54 / Runline 44-52

Orioles Records & Recent Play

Heading into their last game vs. the Yankees, the Orioles closed out the series with a 6-5 win. Leading up to thethe game, they were the slight favorite at +101 on the money line. It was a three-run 3rd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Yankees could only score one run in the 4th to cut into the lead. Baltimore’s bullpen closed things out, and Craig Kimbrel picked up the save.

Dean Kremer got the start for the Orioles, going 4 2/3 innings, and picked up the win. He gave up just two runs on four hits and issued only two walks. Anthony Santander was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and a run scored. The Orioles also had a big game from Gunnar Henderson, who went 1/5 with a homer and two RBIs.

Baltimore kicks off their series vs. the Rangers on the road, leading the AL East by 1 game over the Yankees. The Orioles are 58-38 overall and are 20-9 against other teams in the AL East. The Orioles lost the final two games of their series vs. the Yankees.

So far, the Orioles have gone 30-22 at home compared to 28-16 on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles are 46-31 this year, and they are 19-11 as the favorite on the road. Baltimore’s overall series record is 20-8-3, and they have dropped two straight series.

When the Orioles are on the road, they have been a good bet to cover the run line, going 27-17. Their average run differential on the road is +1.2 runs per game, which has helped them cover the run line in 61% of their games. They have been especially good against the run line as an underdog, going 14-5.

The Orioles are on the road against the Rangers today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. Baltimore’s games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 48-38. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 10-5-3. Over 55% of their games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.

Rangers Records & Recent Play

Heading into their last game vs. the Astros, the Rangers closed out the series with a 4-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +107 on the money line. It was a big game for Josh Sborz, who picked up the win out of the bullpen, going two innings and not giving up a run. The Rangers also got a big performance from Josh Smith, going 2/4 with two homers.

Max Scherzer got the start for the Rangers, going four innings and giving up just one run on four hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and took the loss. The Rangers scored their other two runs in the 8th to close things out, and Kirby Yates picked up the save.

Texas is five games below .500 at 46-50 as they get set to host the Orioles today. The Rangers are 3rd in the AL West, five games behind the Mariners for the division lead. So far, they are 13-16 in AL West matchups. Texas has won two straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Astros with a win.

At home, the Rangers are 24-21 this season and 22-29 on the road. As the favorite, Texas has gone 28-23 and 18-27 as the underdog. Texas has won three straight games at home, and their overall series record is 14-16-1. They have won three straight series overall and have won two straight series on the road.

When betting the run line, the Rangers have been a better option on the road this season, going 22-29 compared to 22-23 at home. They have a positive run differential at home, averaging 0.9 more runs per game than their opponents, but they have been outscored by 0.6 runs per game on the road.

When the Texas Rangers play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The Rangers’ games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 38-54. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 5-11-2. This season, 65.6% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.

Pitching Matchup

Right-hander Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Rangers on the road. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 9-4 with a 2.43 ERA. Burnes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.04, and opponents are batting .206 off him this year. In his last outing, Burnes took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Burnes has been solid this year, with 15 quality starts and a BB/9 figure of 1.9.

Texas is sending Nathan Eovaldi to the mound today vs. the Orioles. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 6-3 with a 2.97 ERA. Eovaldi’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.04. The right-hander has turned in eight quality starts this year and is averaging 8.81 strikeouts per nine innings. Eovaldi’s last outing came on July 13th, where he finished with a no-decision, going seven innings and giving up one earned run on eight hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Orioles vs. Rangers Offense Outlook

Heading into today’s game, the Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league, and they are also 1st in team slugging percentage and isolated power. As a team, they are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 5th in the MLB. The Orioles have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest.

Shortstop Gunnar Henderson has been the Orioles’ top hitter this season, batting .286 with a team-leading 28 home runs and 63 RBIs. He is also on a three-game hitting streak and has two homers in his last 10 games. Anthony Santander has also homered twice in his last 10 games, going 10/38 (.263) in that stretch. For the season, he is batting just .237.

Over his last seven games, Marcus Semien has gone 10/27, and he is currently on a six-game hitting streak. Semien’s 13 home runs are 3rd on the team, and he is also the Rangers’ leader in RBIs, with 51. Corey Seager has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/27 in his last seven games with three homers and eight RBIs. Seager’s 18 homers are the most on the team and 11th in the league.

As a team, the Rangers are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. Their team batting average of .241 is 12th best in the MLB, and they are also one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts. Overall, they are 14th in home runs and have a collective slugging percentage of .382.

Free Orioles vs. Rangers MLB Pick

Baltimore starter Corbin Burnes comes into this one as the more heralded pitcher, as he was selected to start the All-Star game for the AL, but if you look at the numbers, Nathan Eovaldi has been right up there with Burnes and has actually been pitching better of late. Look for the Rangers to pick up a win in their first game back from the break. I like Texas on the money line.