Baltimore Orioles vs. San Diego Padres Best Bet 8/15/23
Baltimore Orioles vs. San Diego Padres
Date: Tuesday, August 15th, 9:40 ET
Location: PETCO Park
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Orioles +116/Padres -139
Total Line: 8.5
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the San Diego Padres and the Orioles on Tuesday, August 15th at PETCO Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
ML | RL | Total | |
---|---|---|---|
BAL | +116 | +1.5 | O 8.5 (-108) |
SD | -139 | -1.5 | U 8.5 (-113) |
Orioles vs. Padres Projected Lineup
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
Adley Rutschman | 1 | C |
Gunnar Henderson | 2 | SS |
Anthony Santander | 3 | RF |
Ryan O’Hearn | 4 | 1B |
Cedric Mullins | 5 | CF |
Ryan Mountcastle | 6 | DH |
Adam Frazier | 7 | 2B |
Austin Hays | 8 | LF |
Ramón Urías | 9 | 3B |
Jack Flaherty | – | SP |
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
Ha-Seong Kim | 1 | 2B |
Fernando Tatis Jr. | 2 | RF |
Juan Soto | 3 | LF |
Manny Machado | 4 | 3B |
Xander Bogaerts | 5 | SS |
Jake Cronenworth | 6 | 1B |
Gary Sánchez | 7 | C |
Garrett Cooper | 8 | DH |
Trent Grisham | 9 | CF |
Michael Wacha | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
Baltimore Orioles: 74-45 SU / OU 59-52 / Runline 74-45
San Diego Padres: 56-63 SU / OU 47-63 / Runline 56-63
The Orioles take on the Padres in the middle of a three game winning streak and are leading the AL East on an overall record of 74-45. So far, they are 38-22 on the road and 36-23 at home. Baltimore’s overall series record stands at 23-12-3.
- The Orioles have covered the runline in three straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.6.
- The Orioles have been favored in 43.7% of their games and have runline records of 30-29 and 44-16 at home and on the road, respectively
- The over has hit in 53% of the Orioles’ 119 games at 59-52.
Heading into their game vs. the Orioles, the Padres have a record of 56-63 and have dropped three straight games. In the NL West, they are in 4th place and have an overall series record of 15-19-4. At home, they have gone 30-29 and 26-34 on the road.
- The Padres have three straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.5.
- The Padres have been favored in 76.5% of their games and have runline records of 28-31 and 28-32 at home and on the road, respectively
- So far, the Padres have an over/under record of just 47-63.
.Pitching Matchup
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jack Flaherty | 22 | 22 | 120 | 8-7 | 4.33 | 1.52 | 11 |
Baltimore starter Jack Flaherty enters with an overall record of 8-7 and ERA of 4.33. His ERA on the road is 3.64 and 8.08 when pitching at home. Flaherty’s season-long WHIP comes in at 1.52 with a batting average allowed of .272. Opposing teams have put together a slugging percentage of .414 against him.
Having allowed three runs on six hits in five innings against the Astros, Jack Flaherty is coming off a game that resulted in a loss for the Orioles.
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michael Wacha | 15 | 15 | 85 | 8-2 | 2.84 | 1.07 | 8 |
Coming in with a record of 8-2, Michael Wacha will get the start for the Padres. Through 15 appearances, he has an ERA of 2.84 and batting average allowed of .209. Opponents have walked 25 times vs. Wacha along with 73 strikeouts. Wacha’s WHIP stands at 1.07 with a SLG allowed of .358.
Wacha picked up the win in his most recent outing, as he gave up one earned run and five hits across five innings vs. the Reds. The Padres won the game by a score of 12-5.
Orioles vs. Padres Offense Outlook
With and average of 4.9 runs per game, Baltimore is 7th in the league so far this year. They have hit 137 home runs which is currently 16th in baseball. Their current batting average of .251 is ranked 12th in the league, while they have a .240 batting average on the road and .250 batting average at home.
Baltimore Orioles Top Bats
BA | OBP | SLG | RBI | HR | SB | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Anthony Santander | .248 | .325 | .464 | 64 | 21 | 3 |
Adley Rutschman | .268 | .365 | .427 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
Gunnar Henderson | .237 | .322 | .459 | 55 | 19 | 6 |
Baltimore Orioles Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ryan Mountcastle | .297 | 6 | 2 | 1 | .497 |
Ryan O’Hearn | .250 | 4 | 2 | 1 | .567 |
Adley Rutschman | .140 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .290 |
Cedric Mullins | .188 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .625 |
Gunnar Henderson | .100 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .150 |
With 151 home runs hit so far this season (10th), the Padres are showing why they are one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball. They are averaging 4.5 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .239. The team’s slugging percentage is .403 at home and .395 on the road.
San Diego Padres Team Hitting Stats
Team | Games | Runs | HR | BA | OBP | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Padres | 119 | 4.5 (13th) | 151 (10th) | .239 (15th) | .326 (7th) | .326 (7th) |
San Diego Padres Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fernando Tatis Jr. | .358 | 6 | 3 | 0 | .408 |
Xander Bogaerts | .425 | 7 | 1 | 1 | .625 |
Manny Machado | .312 | 5 | 4 | 0 | .500 |
Jake Cronenworth | .287 | 5 | 1 | 1 | .500 |
Juan Soto | .163 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .263 |
Free MLB Pick
The Padres have been on a downward spiral losing six of their past seven matches and while Wacha is a strong starter, he hasn’t started in the MLB since July 1 and may need a few outings to get sorted out. Additionally, the Orioles have owned him with .339 batting average over 112 at-bats. Baltimore starter Jack Flaherty has been pitching better in July and August after a rough May and June. He has decent historical numbers against the Padres’ lineup holding them to a .230 BA in 61 at-bats and has pitched better on the road this season than at home (3.51 ERA vs. 5.63). Take Baltimore +113.
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