Baltimore Orioles vs. San Diego Padres Best Bet 8/15/23

by | Last updated Aug 16, 2023 | mlb

Baltimore Orioles vs. San Diego Padres
Date: Tuesday, August 15th, 9:40 ET
Location: PETCO Park
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Orioles +116/Padres -139
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the San Diego Padres and the Orioles on Tuesday, August 15th at PETCO Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
BAL +116 +1.5 O 8.5 (-108)
SD -139 -1.5 U 8.5 (-113)

Orioles vs. Padres Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Adley Rutschman 1 C
Gunnar Henderson 2 SS
Anthony Santander 3 RF
Ryan O’Hearn 4 1B
Cedric Mullins 5 CF
Ryan Mountcastle 6 DH
Adam Frazier 7 2B
Austin Hays 8 LF
Ramón Urías 9 3B
Jack Flaherty SP


Batting Order Position
Ha-Seong Kim 1 2B
Fernando Tatis Jr. 2 RF
Juan Soto 3 LF
Manny Machado 4 3B
Xander Bogaerts 5 SS
Jake Cronenworth 6 1B
Gary Sánchez 7 C
Garrett Cooper 8 DH
Trent Grisham 9 CF
Michael Wacha SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Baltimore Orioles: 74-45 SU / OU 59-52 / Runline 74-45
San Diego Padres: 56-63 SU / OU 47-63 / Runline 56-63

The Orioles take on the Padres in the middle of a three game winning streak and are leading the AL East on an overall record of 74-45. So far, they are 38-22 on the road and 36-23 at home. Baltimore’s overall series record stands at 23-12-3.

 

  • The Orioles have covered the runline in three straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.6.
  • The Orioles have been favored in 43.7% of their games and have runline records of 30-29 and 44-16 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 53% of the Orioles’ 119 games at 59-52.

Heading into their game vs. the Orioles, the Padres have a record of 56-63 and have dropped three straight games. In the NL West, they are in 4th place and have an overall series record of 15-19-4. At home, they have gone 30-29 and 26-34 on the road.

 

  • The Padres have three straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.5.
  • The Padres have been favored in 76.5% of their games and have runline records of 28-31 and 28-32 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Padres have an over/under record of just 47-63.

.Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Jack Flaherty 22 22 120 8-7 4.33 1.52 11

 

Baltimore starter Jack Flaherty enters with an overall record of 8-7 and ERA of 4.33. His ERA on the road is 3.64 and 8.08 when pitching at home. Flaherty’s season-long WHIP comes in at 1.52 with a batting average allowed of .272. Opposing teams have put together a slugging percentage of .414 against him.

Having allowed three runs on six hits in five innings against the Astros, Jack Flaherty is coming off a game that resulted in a loss for the Orioles.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Michael Wacha 15 15 85 8-2 2.84 1.07 8

 

Coming in with a record of 8-2, Michael Wacha will get the start for the Padres. Through 15 appearances, he has an ERA of 2.84 and batting average allowed of .209. Opponents have walked 25 times vs. Wacha along with 73 strikeouts. Wacha’s WHIP stands at 1.07 with a SLG allowed of .358.

Wacha picked up the win in his most recent outing, as he gave up one earned run and five hits across five innings vs. the Reds. The Padres won the game by a score of 12-5.

Orioles vs. Padres Offense Outlook

With and average of 4.9 runs per game, Baltimore is 7th in the league so far this year. They have hit 137 home runs which is currently 16th in baseball. Their current batting average of .251 is ranked 12th in the league, while they have a .240 batting average on the road and .250 batting average at home.

Baltimore Orioles Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Anthony Santander .248 .325 .464 64 21 3
Adley Rutschman .268 .365 .427 58 16 0
Gunnar Henderson .237 .322 .459 55 19 6

 

Baltimore Orioles Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Ryan Mountcastle .297 6 2 1 .497
Ryan O’Hearn .250 4 2 1 .567
Adley Rutschman .140 3 2 1 .290
Cedric Mullins .188 2 2 1 .625
Gunnar Henderson .100 2 1 0 .150

 

With 151 home runs hit so far this season (10th), the Padres are showing why they are one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball. They are averaging 4.5 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .239. The team’s slugging percentage is .403 at home and .395 on the road.

San Diego Padres Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Padres 119 4.5 (13th) 151 (10th) .239 (15th) .326 (7th) .326 (7th)

 

San Diego Padres Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Fernando Tatis Jr. .358 6 3 0 .408
Xander Bogaerts .425 7 1 1 .625
Manny Machado .312 5 4 0 .500
Jake Cronenworth .287 5 1 1 .500
Juan Soto .163 3 2 0 .263

 

Free MLB Pick

The Padres have been on a downward spiral losing six of their past seven matches and while Wacha is a strong starter, he hasn’t started in the MLB since July 1 and may need a few outings to get sorted out. Additionally, the Orioles have owned him with .339 batting average over 112 at-bats. Baltimore starter Jack Flaherty has been pitching better in July and August after a rough May and June. He has decent historical numbers against the Padres’ lineup holding them to a .230 BA in 61 at-bats and has pitched better on the road this season than at home (3.51 ERA vs. 5.63). Take Baltimore +113.

 

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