Baltimore Orioles vs. NY Yankees Free Pick for June 19

by | Last updated Jun 19, 2024 | mlb

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees
Date: Wednesday, June 19th, 7:05 ET
Location: Yankee Stadium
TV: AMZP
Money Line: Orioles +147/Yankees -174
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the New York Yankees and the Orioles on Wednesday, June 19th at Yankee Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
BAL +147 +1.5 O 8.5 (-107)
NYY -174 -1.5 U 8.5 (-114)

Wednesday’s matchup between the Orioles and Yankees is set to get started at 7:05 PM ET from Yankee Stadium in New York. The Orioles are +147 on the money line compared to the Yankees at -174. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.

The forecast for Wednesday’s game calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the upper 80s. AMZP will be televising this AL East matchup. Cade Povich is starting for the Orioles, and he is facing off against Gerrit Cole. The Yankees are 51-24, while the Orioles are 47-25.

Orioles vs. Yankees Projected Lineup

Player Batting Order Position
Gunnar Henderson 1 SS
Adley Rutschman 2 C
Ryan Mountcastle 3 1B
Ryan O’Hearn 4 DH
Anthony Santander 5 RF
Jordan Westburg 6 2B
Colton Cowser 7 LF
Cedric Mullins 8 CF
Ramón Urías 9 3B
Cade Povich SP


Player Batting Order Position
Anthony Volpe 1 SS
Juan Soto 2 RF
Aaron Judge 3 CF
Giancarlo Stanton 4 DH
Alex Verdugo 5 LF
Gleyber Torres 6 2B
DJ LeMahieu 7 3B
Jose Trevino 8 C
Oswaldo Cabrera 9 1B
Gerrit Cole SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Baltimore Orioles: 47-25 SU / OU 35-27 / Runline 44-28
New York Yankees: 51-24 SU / OU 35-38 / Runline 45-30

New York picked up a 4-2 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a two-run lead going into the 9th inning, and the Orioles could only muster two runs in the final frame. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -144 on the money line.

Nestor Cortes started for the Yankees and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but didn’t issue a walk. As for the Orioles, Albert Suarez got the start and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work.

Anthony Santander hit the game’s only home run while going 1/4 with two RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. DJ LeMahieu did a bit of everything for the Yankees, going 2/4 with a run scored while stealing three bases.

Orioles Records & Recent Play

With an overall record of 47-25, the Orioles are 2nd in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 2.5 games. Baltimore is 17-7 against other teams in the AL East. So far, they have been good at home, going 25-14, and they have gone 22-11 on the road.

As the favorite, the Orioles have put together a record of 39-20 this year, and they are 8-5 as the underdog. Baltimore has an overall series record of 16-4-3 and have won three straight series.

When the Orioles are on the road, they are a good bet to cover the run line, as they are 22-11 in that scenario. Their average run margin in all games is +1.6 runs per game, and they have a +1.8 run differential on the road. When they are the favorite, they are 34-25 against the run line, while they are 10-3 as the underdog.

The Baltimore Orioles have played 62 games this season, and their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game. Their over/under record is 35-27, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 12-8. So far this season, 17 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 23.6% of their games.

Yankees Records & Recent Play

The Yankees are 51-24 overall this year, and they lead the AL East by 2.5 games over the Orioles. New York took the first game of this series, and their AL East division record is 10-10 this year. The Yankees have been good at home, going 23-10, and they are 28-14 on the road.

As the favorite, the Yankees have gone 39-19 this year, and they are 12-5 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 17-4-2 this year, and they have won two straight games at home. So far, they are 22-9 as the home favorite. The Yankees have gone 6-4 over their last 10 games overall.

When the Yankees win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. Their run line record as the favorite is 31-27, and they have covered the run line in 45 of their 75 games overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 26-16 ATS, while their home run line record is 19-14. The Yankees have won two straight games against the run line at home.

When the New York Yankees play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 35-38. The average over/under line for their games is set at 8 runs, but when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 17-13. So far this season, 18 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 24.0% of their games.

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Pitching Matchup

Cade Povich will be making his 3rd start of the season for the Orioles, and he is coming off a no-decision in his first start of the year. He went 6 innings, striking out 6 and allowing 5 hits. Povich took the loss in his first start of the year, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up 6 hits and 2 earned runs.

Gerrit Cole is coming off a season in which he made 33 appearances and finished with a record of 15-4. His ERA for the season was 2.63, and he had a WHIP of .98. Cole made two complete games and two shutouts, while also recording 25 quality starts. Last season, he faced the Orioles twice and finished with an ERA of 1.8. For the season, Cole allowed 20 home runs and finished with a strikeouts-per-walk ratio of 4.6.

Orioles vs. Yankees Offense Outlook

So far this season, the Orioles are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Not only do they lead the league in home runs, but they also have the best isolated power figure in the league. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 7th in the league.

Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, with Rutschman’s 14 homers ranking 3rd on the team and Henderson’s 22 homers being the best mark in the league. Rutschman is also hitting .292, and Henderson comes into the game with a batting average of .273. Anthony Santander has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/26 in his last seven games with four homers.

As a team, the Yankees are 3rd in the league in scoring, averaging 5 runs per game. They are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league and have a team batting average of .252, which is 6th in the league. So far, they have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest.

Right fielder Juan Soto has been a huge addition to the lineup this season, as he is batting .313 with 18 home runs and 55 RBIs. Aaron Judge is leading the league in homers (26) and RBIs (64) while batting .302. Judge has been even better of late, going 12/34 with five homers over his last nine games. Alex Verdugo has also been swinging a hot bat, going 13/43 in his last 10 games.

Free Orioles vs. Yankees MLB Pick

Not many teams are going to be able to add a pitcher to the fold as good as Gerrit Cole in the middle of the season, but Cole will be making his season debut after an elbow injury. On the other side, Cade Povich was roughed up in his season debut, but had a really good outing vs. the Braves on June 12th. It’s tough to expect that much out of Cole in his debut, and I like the Orioles on the money line in this one, coming with a nice payout of +147.

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