Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Free Pick

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees
Date: Tuesday, July 4th, 1:05 ET
Location: Yankee Stadium
TV: YES
Money Line: Orioles +103/Yankees -122
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the New York Yankees and the Orioles on Tuesday, July 4th at Yankee Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Orioles vs. Yankees Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Cedric Mullins	1	CF
Adley Rutschman	2	C
Anthony Santander	3	RF
Ryan O’Hearn	4	1B
Austin Hays	5	LF
Gunnar Henderson	6	SS
Aaron Hicks	7	CF
Adam Frazier	8	2B
Ramón Urías	9	3B
Kyle Gibson	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Jake Bauers	1	LF
Gleyber Torres	2	2B
Anthony Rizzo	3	1B
Giancarlo Stanton	4	DH
Harrison Bader	5	CF
Josh Donaldson	6	3B
Billy McKinney	7	RF
Anthony Volpe	8	SS
Kyle Higashioka	9	C
Clarke Schmidt	–	RP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Baltimore Orioles: 49-34 SU / OU 42-36 / Runline 49-34
New York Yankees: 47-38 SU / OU 36-45 / Runline 46-39

For the season, the Orioles have put together a record of 49-34, including going just 4-6 over their last ten games. In the AL East standings, they are 2nd, trailing by six games. This year, they have gone 26-18 at home and 23-16 on the road with an overall series mark of 15-9-2.

• The Orioles have covered the runline in 59.0% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.2
• The Orioles have been favored in 49.4% of their games and have runline records of 21-23 and 28-11 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 54% of the Orioles’ 83 games at 42-36.

With an overall record of 47-38, the Yankees are in 3rd place in the AL East, trailing by nine games. Over their last ten games, they are above .500 at 6-4. On the road, the Yankees have a mark of 21-19 while going 26-19 at home. Their overall series mark stands at 15-8-4.

• The Yankees have covered the runline in 54.1% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.4
• The Yankees have been favored in 64.7% of their games and have runline records of 22-23 and 24-16 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Yankees have an over/under record of just 36-45.

Pitching Matchup




Starter Kyle Gibson comes in with an overall record of 8-5 for the Orioles. Having made 17 appearances, his ERA is 4.66 and he has a K/9 figure of 0.8. Additionally, he has a FIP of 3.88 and an OBP of .322.

In Kyle Gibson’s last game, he threw 4 2/3 innings for the Orioles. While allowing six runs on nine hits, he took a no-decision. The team lost the game to the Reds with a score of 11-7.




Clarke Schmidt has taken the mound 17 times this season and has a record of 3-6. Schmidt is on a three game streak of not allowing a home-run. His current slugging percentage allowed sits at .447 and he has struckout a total of 79 batters. So far, his WHIP sits at 1.42.

Clarke Schmidt’s most recent appearance ended with him allowing three runs allowed on five hits to the Athletics. For the game, Schmidt picked up the win as the Yankees won by a score of 10-4.

Orioles vs. Yankees Offense Outlook

After 83 games played, the Orioles are 11th in the league with an average of 4.7 runs per game. In terms of home runs, the club is 12th, on a total of 96 homers. The team’s overall batting average, including .242 on the road and .248 at home, is .250.

Baltimore Orioles Team Hitting Stats




Baltimore Orioles Top Hitters: Last Five Games




This season, the Yankees have proven to be one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball, with 120 home runs in total (4th). Currently, they are averaging 4.4 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .232. The team’s slugging percentage is .413 at home and .384 on the road.

New York Yankees Top Bats




New York Yankees Top Hitters: Last Five Games




Free MLB Pick

Kyle Gibson has a 4.66 ERA this season, and while he does have a positive 8-5 W/L record, that can be attributed to a high level of run support. He comes in ice-cold going 0-2 with a 9.22 ERA and 1.83 WHIP over his last three. While he did look good in his only start versus the Yankees this season, a 3-1 Baltimore victory, his overall back numbers against this lineup are not strong, with a .368 OBP and .937 OPS.
Clarke Schmidt was on the losing end of the aforementioned Orioles win, but he pitched adequately, allowing one run over five frames. He’s one of those pitchers that gives his team a chance to win nearly every start and Schmidt currently has a streak of eight starts allowing three or fewer runs. Today he’ll be facing a Baltimore team that has scored three or fewer runs in five of its last six games. Schmidt is just 3-6 on the season, but unlike Gibson, he isn’t getting run support. The Yankee bats though have been hot scoring six or more runs in four of their last six games and four or more in five of the last six lay the small number. Take the NY Yankees – 120