Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Total Pick

by | Last updated Sep 9, 2023 | mlb

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
Date: Saturday, September 9th, 4:10 ET
Location: Fenway Park
TV: NESN
Money Line: Orioles +125/Red Sox -150
Total Line: 10

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Boston Red Sox and the Orioles on Saturday, September 9th at Fenway Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
BAL +125 +1.5 O 10 (-103)
BOS -150 -1.5 U 10 (-118)

Orioles vs. Red Sox Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Adley Rutschman 1 DH
Ryan Mountcastle 2 1B
Anthony Santander 3 RF
Austin Hays 4 LF
Gunnar Henderson 5 3B
Cedric Mullins 6 CF
Jordan Westburg 7 2B
James McCann 8 C
Jorge Mateo 9 SS
Jack Flaherty SP


Batting Order Position
Alex Verdugo 1 RF
Rafael Devers 2 3B
Justin Turner 3 DH
Triston Casas 4 1B
Adam Duvall 5 CF
Masataka Yoshida 6 LF
Trevor Story 7 SS
Enmanuel Valdez 8 2B
Connor Wong 9 C
Chris Sale SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Baltimore Orioles: 89-51 SU / OU 74-57 / Runline 86-54
Boston Red Sox: 72-69 SU / OU 76-62 / Runline 71-70

The Orioles take on the Red Sox in the middle of a six game winning streak and are leading the AL East on an overall record of 89-51. So far, they are 47-25 on the road and 42-26 at home. Baltimore’s overall series record stands at 29-12-3.

  • The Orioles have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.9.
  • The Orioles have been favored in 48.6% of their games and have runline records of 34-34 and 52-20 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 56% of the Orioles’ 140 games at 74-57.

Heading into their game vs. the Orioles, the Red Sox have a record of 72-69 and have dropped three straight games. In the AL East, they are in 4th place and have an overall series record of 22-19-4. At home, they have gone 36-34 and 36-35 on the road.

  • The Red Sox have three straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.1.
  • The Red Sox have been favored in 48.2% of their games and have runline records of 34-36 and 37-34 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 55% of the Red Sox’s 141 games at 76-62.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Jack Flaherty 25 25 134 8-8 4.84 1.54 15


Across his 25 outings, Jack Flaherty has a record of 8-8 and ERA of 4.84. One thing to note, is that he has given up a home run in each of his last four appearances. As he takes the mound, his WHIP sits at 1.54 with an OBP allowed of .357. Flaherty’s strikeout to walk ratio is 135/64.

Giving up four runs and six hits during his last appearance against the Diamondbacks, Jack Flaherty did not factor into the decision. Yet, the Orioles managed to win the game by a score of 8-5.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Chris Sale 16 16 82 6-3 4.46 1.16 11


Starter Chris Sale comes in with an overall record of 6-3 for the Red Sox. Having made 16 appearances, his ERA is 4.46 and he has a K/9 figure of 11. Additionally, he has a FIP of 3.67 and an OBP of .289.

Chris Sale’s most recent appearance ended with him allowing zero runs allowed on two hits to the Royals. For the game, Sale picked up the win as the Red Sox won by a score of 7-3.

Orioles vs. Red Sox Offense Outlook

Offensively, the Orioles, come into the game ranked 7th in the league with an average of 5.1 runs per game. In the home run category, Baltimore is ranked 15th, with 163 deep shots. When it comes to batting average, they have collectively hit .258. This mark includes hitting .251 on the road and .254 at home.

Baltimore Orioles Top Hitters vs. Lefties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Ryan Mountcastle .353 12 .684 .446
Adley Rutschman .308 5 .476 .390
Austin Hays .272 5 .478 .341
Jorge Mateo .283 3 .433 .326
Anthony Santander .250 4 .419 .338


Baltimore Orioles Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Austin Hays .425 7 7 1 .738
Gunnar Henderson .275 6 3 1 .650
Anthony Santander .425 6 4 1 .675
Adley Rutschman .250 3 3 1 .438
Ryan Mountcastle .338 6 4 0 .338


This season, Boston is ranked 8th in the league in terms of runs scored, with an average of 5 runs per game. Although they are not at the top of the league in home runs, they have hit a combined 167 long balls. The team’s current batting average of .262 ranks 3rd in the league. On the road, their batting average ranks 16th compared to 2nd at home.

Boston Red Sox Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Red Sox 142 5 (8th) 167 (13th) .262 (3rd) .328 (8th) .328 (8th)


Boston Red Sox Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Triston Casas .271 4 2 1 .458
Connor Wong .444 3 2 1 1.167
Enmanuel Valdez .389 3 3 1 .722
Rafael Devers .146 3 2 0 .250
Justin Turner .183 3 1 0 .267


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