Atlanta Braves vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction & Analysis

Atlanta Braves vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Date: Friday, May 12th, 7:07 ET
Location: Rogers Centre
TV: SNET
Money Line: Braves -158/Blue Jays +133
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Braves on Friday, May 12th at Rogers Centre. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Braves vs. Blue Jays Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Ronald Acuña Jr.	1	RF
Matt Olson	2	1B
Austin Riley	3	3B
Sean Murphy	4	C
Eddie Rosario	5	LF
Ozzie Albies	6	2B
Orlando Arcia	7	2B
Michael Harris II	8	CF
Kevin Pillar	9	CF
Spencer Strider	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
George Springer	1	CF
Bo Bichette	2	SS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3	1B
Matt Chapman	4	3B
Daulton Varsho	5	RF
Brandon Belt	6	1B
Whit Merrifield	7	2B
Danny Jansen	8	C
Kevin Kiermaier	9	CF
Chris Bassitt	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Atlanta Braves: 25-12 SU / OU 22-14 / Runline 18-19
Toronto Blue Jays: 21-16 SU / OU 17-18 / Runline 19-18

The Braves head into today’s game in first place in the NL East on a record of 25-12. Over their last ten games, they have put together an above .500 record of 7-3. At home, Atlanta is 10-9 and 15-3 on the road. Their overall series record comes in at 9-2.

• The Braves have covered the runline in 48.6% of their games and have an average run margin of 1.6
• The Braves have been favored in 86.5% of their games and have runline records of 5-14 and 13-5 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 61% of the Braves’ 37 games at 22-14.

Heading into their game vs. the Braves, the Blue Jays have a record of 21-16 and have dropped two straight games. In the AL East, they are in 4th place and have an overall series record of 8-3. At home, they have gone 9-3 and 12-13 on the road.

• The Blue Jays have covered the runline in 51.4% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.4
• The Blue Jays have been favored in 70.3% of their games and have runline records of 6-6 and 13-12 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Blue Jays have an over/under record of just 17-18.

Pitching Matchup




Atlanta starter Spencer Strider enters with an overall record of 4-0 and ERA of 2.70. His ERA on the road is 2.40 and 3.60 when pitching at home. Strider’s season-long WHIP comes in at .93 with a batting average allowed of .162. Opposing teams have put together a slugging percentage of .246 against him.

Spencer Strider is coming off an outing against the Orioles in which he gave up two runs and four hits across five innings. Even though he took a no-decision, the Braves won by a score of 5-4.




Toronto starter Chris Bassitt enters with an overall record of 4-2 and ERA of 4.28. His ERA on the road is 6.82 and 4.35 when pitching at home. Bassitt’s season-long WHIP comes in at 1.20 with a batting average allowed of .200. Opposing teams have put together a slugging percentage of .379 against him.

Toronto is hoping that Chris Bassitt can help guide them to another win, as they defeated the Pirates (4-0) the last time he pitched. He finished the game with zero earned runs on four hits across seven innings.

Braves vs. Blue Jays Offense Outlook

The Braves have played 37 games so far this season and are currently ranked 5th in the league with an average of 5.4 runs per game. In terms of home run hitting, Atlanta is 3rd, having hit the ball out of the park 60 times. Their overall batting average is .262, including .267 on the road and .248 at home.

Atlanta Braves Top Bats




Atlanta Braves Top Hitters: Last Five Games




This season, Toronto is ranked 10th in the league in terms of runs scored, averaging 4.8 runs per game. Although they are not at the top of the league in home runs, they have hit 42 long balls so far. The team’s batting average stands at .256, which ranks 11th in the league. On the road, their batting average is 8th compared to 7th at home.

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters vs. Righties




Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters: Last Five Games




Free MLB Pick

The Atlanta Braves have been tearing it up on the road this season, posting a crazy 15-3 record. But let’s be real, no team can keep up that kind of streak forever. On the other side, we’ve got the Toronto Blue Jays who aren’t just sitting ducks at home. They’ve racked up a pretty solid 9-3 record on their turf this season.

The pitchers are where things get interesting. Atlanta’s Spencer Strider has been throwing fire, with stats that look better than Toronto’s Chris Bassitt. But, if we forget about Bassitt’s first game of the season where he gave up 9 runs in just a few innings, the guy’s been on point, delivering five strong starts in his last six games.

With all this in mind, it looks like the smart money is on the home team. Considering Bassitt’s recent hot streak and the Jays’ record at home, backing Toronto at +144 could be a good bet. So, my tip? Put your money on Toronto +144.