Atlanta Braves vs. Texas Rangers Betting Picks – April 20th

Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Braves
Date: Saturday, April 20th, 7:20 ET
Location: Truist Park
TV: BSSW
Money Line: Rangers +134/Braves -160
Total Line: 9.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Atlanta Braves and the Rangers on Saturday, April 20th at Truist Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

At 7:20 PM from Truist Park in Atlanta, we have an interleague matchup between the Rangers and Braves. Heading into Saturday’s game, the Braves have the better record of 13-5, while the Rangers are 11-10. Texas is starting Nathan Eovaldi, and he is facing off against Charlie Morton for the Braves.

Atlanta comes into this one as the heavy favorite, with money line odds of -160, and the over/under line is at 9.5 runs. If you’re looking to watch this one on TV, it is being carried by BSSW.

Rangers vs. Braves Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Texas Rangers: 11-10 SU / OU 11-10 / Runline 10-11
Atlanta Braves: 13-5 SU / OU 11-6 / Runline 9-9

The most recent game o of this Braves vs Rangers series came right after the All-Star break. Atlanta went into the matchup as the heavy favorites at -207 on the money line and picked up an 8-3 win. Both teams scored one run in the first inning, and the Rangers could only muster two more runs in the 6th inning. As for the Braves, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 5th and broke things open with a four-run 6th.

Travis d’Arnaud and Michael Harris II were the two Braves hitters to have multi-hit games. d’Arnaud, Marcus Semien, and Adolis Garcia each drove in two runs for the Rangers’ offense.

Chris Sale made the start for the Braves and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued a rare walk. Jacob Latz got the start for the Rangers and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work.

Rangers Records & Recent Play

Texas currently leads the AL West on a record of 11-10. Their lead is just one game, as the Mariners are right behind them. So far, the Rangers have been the favorite in 10 of their games, and they have gone 4-6 in those contests. As the underdog, they have been much better at 7-4.

At home, the Rangers are just above .500 at 5-5, and they have a winning record of 6-5 on the road. Looking at their overall series record, Texas is 3-2-1, and their most recent series came vs the Tigers, which they won.

The Rangers have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 10-11 overall. They are 4-6 against the run line at home, but have been better on the road, going 6-5. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 7-4 against the run line, compared to just 3-7 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.0, while it drops to -3.3 in losses.

The Rangers’ over/under record for the season is 11-10, and their games have averaged 9.6 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game against the Braves is set at 9.5 runs, and the over has hit in three straight games for Texas. So far this season, the Rangers have played in four games with an over/under line of 9.5 runs, and the over has hit in two of those games.

Braves Records & Recent Play

With an overall record of 13-5, the Braves lead the NL East heading into today’s game vs. the Rangers. The Braves are currently on a five-game winning streak, closing out their series with the Astros with a win and picking up a win in the series opener with the Rangers. So far, the Braves have gone 8-3 on the road and 5-2 at home.

Looking at their series record, the Braves are 4-1-1 and have won each of their last two series. As the favorite, the Braves have a straight-up record of 13-5 this season.

When the Braves win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.1. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.8. Their overall run line record is 9-9, and they are 2-5 against the run line at home. They have a run line record of 7-4 on the road, and their average run margin away from home is 3.3. They are currently on a run line win streak as the favorite, and their run line record as the favorite is 9-9.

So far this season, the Braves have played 17 games, and their combined run average is 11.0. Their over/under record is 11-6, and the average over/under line in their games has been 9.0. When the over/under line has been set at 9.5, their record is 3-3. In the two games where the over/under line was set higher than 9.5, the over has hit both times. Overall, 55.6% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 9.5.

Pitching Matchup

After picking up a win in his first start of the season, Nathan Eovaldi has gone 5 2/3 innings and 6 innings in his last two starts, finishing with a no-decision and a loss. He will be on the road against the Braves today.

Charlie Morton is getting the start for the Braves today as they take on the Rangers. He has made two starts so far this season, and he is coming off a no-decision in his last outing against the Marlins. In that game, he gave up six runs in 5 2/3 innings. His first start of the year was a win over the White Sox, where he struck out six and didn’t allow a run.

Rangers vs. Braves Offense Outlook

For the Rangers, we like Adolis García as a strong candidate to hit a home run, as his home run projection is the best on the team and 2nd best in the league today. Marcus Semien has the 19th best total hits projection in the league, and his home run projection is 8th best in the league. Corey Seager has the 2nd best total hits projection on the team and the 5th best home run projection in the league today.

Marcell Ozuna is our top projected player to hit a home run in today’s Braves game, and his home run projection is the best in the league for today. He is also 4th on the team in terms of total hits. Ronald Acuña Jr. is our top projected Braves player in terms of total hits, and his total hits projection is 6th best in the league today. Matt Olson has the 2nd best home run projection on the team and 6th best in the league today. Michael Harris II is 2nd on the team in terms of total hits and his total hits projection is 9th best in the league today.

Free Rangers vs. Braves MLB Pick

For Saturday’s Braves vs Rangers matchup, the way we would be playing this one is for the Braves to pick up a win at home. And at -160, I see there still being some good value in taking them on the money line.

Looking at some of the projections for the starting pitchers, Charlie Morton is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the highest among all starters. As for Nathan Eovaldi, his projected strikeout total is five.