Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Moneyline Bet

by | Last updated Apr 18, 2023 | mlb

Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres
Date: Tuesday, April 18th, 9:40 ET
Location: PETCO Park
TV: BSSD
Money Line: Braves -139/Padres +119
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the San Diego Padres and the Braves on Tuesday, April 18th at PETCO Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
-139 -1.5 O 7.5 (-108)
+119 +1.5 U 7.5 (-112)

Braves vs. Padres Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Ronald Acuña Jr. 1 RF
Matt Olson 2 1B
Austin Riley 3 3B
Sean Murphy 4 C
Ozzie Albies 5 2B
Vaughn Grissom 6 2B
Marcell Ozuna 7 LF
Kevin Pillar 8 CF
Eli White 9 LF
Spencer Strider SP


Batting Order Position
Trent Grisham 1 CF
Manny Machado 2 3B
Juan Soto 3 RF
Xander Bogaerts 4 SS
Nelson Cruz 5 DH
Jake Cronenworth 6 2B
Austin Nola 7 C
Rougned Odor 8 2B
Ha-Seong Kim 9 SS
Blake Snell SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Atlanta Braves: 13-4 SU / OU 9-7 / Runline 9-8
San Diego Padres: 8-10 SU / OU 8-10 / Runline 7-11

The Braves take on the Padres in the middle of a seven game winning streak and are leading the NL East on an overall record of 13-4. So far, they are 9-1 on the road and 4-3 at home. Atlanta’s overall series record stands at 4-1.

  • The Braves have covered the runline in 52.9% of their games and have an average run margin of 1.5
  • The Braves have been favored in 82.4% of their games and have runline records of 1-6 and 8-2 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 56% of the Braves’ 17 games at 9-7.

Heading into their game vs. the Braves, the Padres have a record of 8-10 and have dropped two straight games. In the NL West, they are in 3rd place and have an overall series record of 1-2. At home, they have gone 4-7 and 4-3 on the road.

  • The Padres have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -0.2.
  • The Padres have been favored in 61.1% of their games and have runline records of 3-8 and 4-3 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Padres have an over/under record of just 8-10.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Spencer Strider 3 3 16 1-0 3.38 1.19 1

 

Starter Spencer Strider comes in with an overall record of 1-0 for the Braves. Having made three appearances, his ERA is 3.38 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.7. Additionally, he has a FIP of 2.26 and an OBP of .288.

Giving up three runs and four hits during his last appearance against the Reds, Spencer Strider did not factor into the decision. Yet, the Braves managed to win the game by a score of 5-4.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Blake Snell 3 3 13 0-2 6.92 2.15 3

 

The Padres will turn to starter Blake Snell who has an overall record of 0-2. Through three appearances his ERA stands at 6.92 with a K/9 figure of 1.2. So far, he has put together of FIP of 6.17 to go along with an OBP of .424.

Blake Snell is coming off an outing against the Mets in which he allowed four runs on six hits in five innings of work, taking the loss. The Padres lost the game by a score of 5-2.

Braves vs. Padres Offense Outlook

The Braves have played 17 games and currently hold the 5th spot in the league with an average of 5.2 runs per game. With 24 home runs, Atlanta is 5th in the league. The team’s batting average, including .271 on the road and .260 at home, is .271.

Atlanta Braves Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Ronald Acuña Jr. .389 .463 .583 11 3 7
Matt Olson .299 .405 .627 17 5 0
Austin Riley .317 .408 .540 11 4 0


Atlanta Braves Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Ronald Acuña Jr. .490 11 7 1 .750
Sean Murphy .350 6 3 2 .933
Austin Riley .363 6 5 2 .700
Matt Olson .230 5 4 1 .450
Ozzie Albies .270 6 3 1 .470

 

After 18 games, the Padres are ranked 22nd in the league with an average of 3.9 runs per game. San Diego ranks 6th in home runs (22) while their overall batting average is .228. On the road, they have a BA of .219 and .228 at home.

San Diego Padres Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Xander Bogaerts .462 3 .769 .553
Trent Grisham .233 2 .442 .338
Jake Cronenworth .258 1 .419 .358
Manny Machado .171 1 .268 .209
Juan Soto .212 3 .515 .383


San Diego Padres Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Jake Cronenworth .150 3 2 2 .450
Trent Grisham .230 5 2 1 .470
Xander Bogaerts .450 9 2 0 .450
Nelson Cruz .283 5 1 0 .333
Manny Machado .240 4 1 1 .390

 

Free MLB Pick

The Braves have been absolutely dominant on the road this season, boasting a remarkable 9-1 record and riding a seven-game winning streak into this matchup. Although San Diego has won three of the five games these teams have played this season, it’s worth noting that Atlanta did emerge victorious in their matchup on April 6th, a 7-6 win that featured tonight’s starters. Speaking of those starting pitchers, it’s clear that the Braves hold a significant advantage in this department. Spencer Strider looked solid in his last outing, pitching five innings and striking out nine while allowing just three runs on four hits. He did give up a home run to Matt Carpenter, but that was his only blemish on an otherwise strong performance. Moreover, Strider has a history of success against San Diego lineup albeit in a small sample size, holding them to a meager .147 batting average in 34 at-bats. Contrast that with Blake Snell, who has struggled mightily this season, posting an ERA of 6.92 and a WHIP of 2.15. Snell was chased in the fourth inning of his last outing against Atlanta after allowing four runs on six hits and four walks, and his career numbers against the Braves lineup are equally dismal, with a .407 batting average allowed over 41 at-bats.

In addition to the starting pitching matchup, the Braves also have the edge in several key statistical categories. Atlanta boasts a win percentage of .765, good for second in the league, while San Diego lags behind at just .444, placing them at 20th overall. The Braves also have a superior run differential of +26.0, compared to the Padres’ -4.0. Atlanta’s batting average of .271 ranks fourth in the league compared to San Diego’s anemic mark of .228, which is good for just 27th overall. The Braves also outpace the Padres in hits per game, on-base plus slugging percentage, and home runs per nine innings pitched.

All things considered, I recommend betting on the Atlanta Braves in this matchup. They have a clear edge in starting pitching, as well as several key statistical categories, and they are riding a hot streak that has seen them dominate on the road. Take Atlanta -133

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