Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Pick For 9/12/23

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Tuesday, September 12th, 6:40 ET
Location: Citizens Bank Park
TV: NSPPH
Money Line: Braves -126/Phillies +105 (Be smart! Bet using dimelines!)
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Braves on Tuesday, September 12th at Citizens Bank Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Braves vs. Phillies Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Atlanta Braves: 94-50 SU / OU 79-61 / Runline 77-67
Philadelphia Phillies: 79-65 SU / OU 65-70 / Runline 64-80

The Braves head into today’s game in first place in the NL East on a record of 94-50. Over their last five games, they have put together an above .500 record of 3-2. At home, Atlanta is 47-25 and 47-25 on the road. Their overall series record comes in at 32-10-3.

• The Braves have covered the runline in 53.5% of their games and have an average run margin of 1.7
• The Braves have been favored in 90.3% of their games and have runline records of 37-35 and 40-32 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 56% of the Braves’ 144 games at 79-61.

So far this season, the Phillies have an overall record of 79-65, putting them 2nd in the NL East. Currently, they are 15 games out in the division. Across their last ten games, they are an even 5-5. On the road, they have gone 36-36 and 43-29 at home. The team’s series record is 25-17-3.

• The Phillies have covered the runline in 44.4% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.5
• The Phillies have been favored in 68.8% of their games and have runline records of 31-41 and 33-39 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Phillies have an over/under record of just 65-70.

Pitching Matchup

Starter Max Fried comes in with an overall record of 7-1 for the Braves. Having made 12 appearances, his ERA is 2.70 and he has a K/9 figure of 9.04. Additionally, he has a FIP of 2.99 and an OBP of .287.

In his last outing, Max Fried finished with a quality start and picked up the win in a 8-5 victory over the Cardinals. Fried gave up three runs and six hits across six innings.

Zack Wheeler is scheduled to get the start for Philadelphia and will take the mound having pitched at least six innings in 11 consecutive games. For the season, he has an ERA of 3.49 and 11-6 record of. With a total of 192 strikeouts Wheeler enters with a WHIP of 1.05 and WOBA allowed of .271. In terms of walks, he has issued 32 free passes.

Wheeler picked up the win in his most recent outing, as he gave up zero earned runs and one hit across six innings vs. the Padres. The Phillies won the game by a score of 5-1.

Braves vs. Phillies Offense Outlook

The Braves have proven to be one of the best home run hitting teams this season, having hit 278 home runs (1st). In terms of overall run production, Atlanta is averaging 5.8 runs per game on collective batting average of .275. At home, their slugging percentagee is .506 compared to .469 on the road.

Atlanta Braves Team Hitting Stats

Atlanta Braves Top Hitters: Last Five Games

With a total of 191 home runs hit so far, the Phillies have established themselves as one of the leading home run hitting teams in baseball (10th). They are currently averaging 4.9 runs per game overall, with a collective batting average of .259. When playing on the road, their slugging percentage is .408 compared to .445 at home.

Philadelphia Phillies Top Bats

Philadelphia Phillies Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

Take Philadelphia +108