Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Betting Predictions 4/28/23

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets
Date: Friday, April 28th, 7:10 ET
Location: Citi Field
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Braves -143/Mets +122 (Favorites cost less and underdogs pay more at BAS Sportsbook!)
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the New York Mets and the Braves on Friday, April 28th at Citi Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

	ML	RL	Total
	-143	-1.5	O 7.5 (-117)
	+122	+1.5	U 7.5 (-103)

Braves vs. Mets Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Ronald Acuña Jr.	1	RF
Matt Olson	2	1B
Austin Riley	3	3B
Sean Murphy	4	C
Ozzie Albies	5	2B
Vaughn Grissom	6	2B
Kevin Pillar	7	CF
Marcell Ozuna	8	LF
Sam Hilliard	9	CF
Max Fried	–	SP

	Batting Order	Position
Brandon Nimmo	1	CF
Starling Marte	2	CF
Francisco Lindor	3	SS
Pete Alonso	4	1B
Mark Canha	5	LF
Jeff McNeil	6	2B
Tommy Pham	7	LF
Eduardo Escobar	8	2B
Tomás Nido	9	C
David Peterson	–	SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Atlanta Braves: 17-9 SU / OU 16-9 / Runline 13-13
New York Mets: 15-11 SU / OU 11-14 / Runline 13-13

The Braves head into today’s game in first place in the NL East on a record of 17-9. Over their last five games, they have put together an above .500 record of 3-2. At home, Atlanta is 7-7 and 10-2 on the road. Their overall series record comes in at 5-2.

• The Braves have covered the runline in 50.0% of their games and have an average run margin of 1.5
• The Braves have been favored in 88.5% of their games and have runline records of 4-10 and 9-3 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 64% of the Braves’ 26 games at 16-9.

So far this season, the Mets have an overall record of 15-11, putting them 2nd in the NL East. Currently, they are two games out in the division. Across their last ten games, they are an even 5-5. On the road, they have gone 10-7 and 5-4 at home. The team’s series record is 5-1.

• The Mets have five straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.5.
• The Mets have been favored in 73.1% of their games and have runline records of 4-5 and 9-8 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Mets have an over/under record of just 11-14.

Pitching Matchup

The Braves will turn to starter Max Fried who has an overall record of 1-0. Through three appearances his ERA stands at .60 with a K/9 figure of 0.7. So far, he has put together of FIP of 2.47 to go along with an OBP of .255.

Max Fried took a no-decision in his last outing, tossing 6 2/3 innings and giving up zero runs. Despite picking up a quality start, the Braves lost to the Astros by a score of 5-2.

The Mets will turn to starter David Peterson who has an overall record of 1-3. After five appearances, his ERA is 7.36 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.2. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 5.60 and an OBP of .353.

After a loss against the Giants, David Peterson is coming off a performance where he gave up seven runs on six hits over five innings.

Braves vs. Mets Offense Outlook

The Braves have proven to be one of the best home run hitting teams this season, having hit 40 home runs (3rd). In terms of overall run production, Atlanta is averaging 5.2 runs per game on collective batting average of .255. At home, their slugging perfectage is .425 compared to .456 on the road.

Atlanta Braves Top Hitters On The Road

Atlanta Braves Top Hitters: Last Five Games

After 26 games, the Mets are ranked 10th in the league with an average of 4.7 runs per game. New York ranks 19th in home runs (27) while their overall batting average is .242. On the road, they have a BA of .238 and .230 at home.

New York Mets Team Hitting Stats

New York Mets Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

The Mets starter David Peterson has great back numbers against the Braves, but he’s not on his game right now getting smoked for 13 runs in his last two starts. Plus, the Braves have been killing lefties this season with a .303 BA and .378 OBP. New York is ice cold right now losing four straight while Atlanta is riding a three-game streak. Max Fried doesn’t have the best historical numbers against the Mets but the overall stats are a bit skewed by Jeff McNeil who has crushed him hitting .370 (10 for 27) and he comes in ultra sharp allowing zero runs in his last two starts.
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