Atlanta at Cleveland Betting Preview & Predictions

by | Last updated Jul 3, 2023 | mlb

Atlanta Braves vs. Cleveland Guardians
Date: Monday, July 3rd, 7:10 ET
Location: Progressive Field
TV: BSGL
Money Line: Braves -160/Guardians +134
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Cleveland Guardians and the Braves on Monday, July 3rd at Progressive Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
ATL -160 -1.5 O 9 (-103)
CLE +134 +1.5 U 9 (-118)

Braves vs. Guardians Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Ronald Acuña Jr. 1 RF
Ozzie Albies 2 2B
Austin Riley 3 3B
Matt Olson 4 1B
Sean Murphy 5 C
Marcell Ozuna 6 DH
Eddie Rosario 7 LF
Orlando Arcia 8 2B
Michael Harris II 9 CF
Bryce Elder SP


Batting Order Position
Steven Kwan 1 LF
Amed Rosario 2 SS
José Ramírez 3 3B
Josh Naylor 4 1B
Josh Bell 5 1B
Andrés Giménez 6 2B
Will Brennan 7 CF
Myles Straw 8 CF
Bo Naylor 9 C
Gavin Williams SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Atlanta Braves: 56-27 SU / OU 46-33 / Runline 43-40
Cleveland Guardians: 41-42 SU / OU 35-46 / Runline 40-43

The Braves take on the Guardians in the middle of a eight game winning streak and are leading the NL East on an overall record of 56-27. So far, they are 26-12 on the road and 30-15 at home. Atlanta’s overall series record stands at 20-5-2.

  • The Braves have covered the runline in six straight games and have a season-long run margin of 1.7.
  • The Braves have been favored in 86.7% of their games and have runline records of 22-23 and 21-17 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 58% of the Braves’ 83 games at 46-33.

The Guardians take on the Braves in the middle of a two game winning streak and are leading the AL Central on an overall record of 41-42. So far, they are 21-23 on the road and 20-19 at home. Cleveland’s overall series record stands at 11-14-1.

  • The Guardians have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of -0.1.
  • The Guardians have been favored in 56.6% of their games and have runline records of 17-22 and 23-21 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Guardians have an over/under record of just 35-46.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Bryce Elder 16 16 96 6-1 2.44 1.12 8


With an overall record of 6-1, Bryce Elder gets the start for Atlanta. His ERA stands at 2.44 with a K/9 figure of 0.8 after making 16 appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 3.78 and an OBP of .287.

The last time Bryce Elder took to the mound, he secured a quality start and a win for his team, who won by a final score of 6-2 against the Twins. Elder gave up two runs and four hits across six innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Gavin Williams 2 2 12 0-0 2.84 .71 1


As Gavin Williams gets the start, he has already made two appearances and has a record of 0-0. He’s allowed a batting average of .119 and has an ERA of 2.84. Furthermore, he’s given up one home run and has an OPS of .427.

Despite finishing with a quality start in his last outing, Gavin Williams did not factor into the decision in the Guardians’ 2-1 win over the Royals. He surrendered zero runs on one hit across seven innings of work.

Braves vs. Guardians Offense Outlook

With 84 games under their belt, the Braves are currently 3rd in the league, averaging 5.7 runs per game. Atlanta’s home run ranking is 1st, with the team having hit 158 long balls. The team’s batting average, including .252 on the road and .273 at home, is .272.

Atlanta Braves Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Ronald Acuña Jr. .336 .415 .604 54 21 39
Matt Olson .252 .356 .576 68 28 1
Ozzie Albies .259 .311 .506 59 20 6


Atlanta Braves Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Matt Olson .600 8 6 2 1.300
Ronald Acuña Jr. .528 5 5 2 1.222
Austin Riley .367 5 5 1 .717
Sean Murphy .500 3 3 1 1.167
Ozzie Albies .233 3 3 2 .800


The Guardians have played 83 games so far and have an average of 4 runs per game, putting them 24th in the league. Cleveland has hit 55 home runs, ranking them 26th in the MLB. Their overall batting average is .248, while hitting .242 on the road and .242 at home.

Cleveland Guardians Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
José Ramírez .311 8 .509 .382
Josh Naylor .288 7 .450 .332
Steven Kwan .230 2 .313 .276
Amed Rosario .225 1 .300 .252
Will Brennan .282 5 .425 .314


Cleveland Guardians Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Andrés Giménez .308 5 4 1 .558
Will Brennan .312 5 2 1 .562
Amed Rosario .275 5 2 0 .338
Josh Naylor .417 6 3 0 .483
José Ramírez .208 3 2 0 .208


Free MLB Pick

Bruce Elder has been very good in his first full season, with a stellar 2.44 earned run average in 16 starts. Rookie Guardians starter Gavin Williams will make his third career start and he looked good in his latest, albeit against the Royals. Pitching seven shut-out innings and allowing just one hit and one walk. He certainly steps up big time here to take on the Braves, but a reasonable outing here probably leads to a low scoring game. Take the Under 9 -117

Need a sportsbook promo code? Click Here!

MLB Betting Guide

New to betting on baseball? We've got you covered! Our comprehensive how to bet on baseball article explains all the different types of wagers offered at the sportsbooks including money lines, over/unders, run lines, parlays and more! Also get tips and strategies to increase your odds of beating the bookies!