Astros vs. Phillies Game 3 Total Pick

Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Tuesday November 1st, 08:03 ET
Location: Citizens Bank Park
TV: FOX
Money Line: Astros -123 / Phillies +103
Total Line: 7.5

STARTING PITCHING

Houston: Lance McCullers Jr. (4-2, 2.27)
Philadelphia: Ranger Suarez (10-7, 3.65)

Astros Projected Lineup

Trey Mancini 1B
Chas McCormick LF
Kyle Tucker RF
Yuli Gurriel 1B
Alex Bregman 3B
Martín Maldonado C
Yordan Alvarez LF
Jose Altuve 2B
Jeremy Peña SS
Cristian Javier P

Phillies Projected Lineup

Brandon Marsh CF
Jean Segura 2B
Nick Castellanos RF
Alec Bohm 3B
Bryson Stott SS
J.T. Realmuto C
Bryce Harper RF
Kyle Schwarber LF
Rhys Hoskins 1B
Ranger Suarez P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Houston Astros: 106-56-0 SU / OU 63-98-10 / Run Line W/L 91-80-0
Philadelphia Phillies: 87-75-0 SU / OU 90-79-6 / Run Line W/L 90-85-0

The Philadelphia Phillies host the Houston Astros on Tuesday November 1st at Citizens Bank Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 08:03 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Houston as the favorite (-123), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

Houston looks to keep things rolling after taking down Philadelphia by the score of 5-2. On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 2 runs on 6 hits. The Astros lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 7 hits, leading to 5 runs. Heading into their last game, Houston was the betting favorite at -140.0. So far, the team has been the favorite in 148 of their games, winning at a rate of 69.0%. In the game, the Astros and Philadelphia combined to match the over-under betting line of 7.0 runs. At 63-98-10, Houston has combined to stay below the over-under betting lines in over half of their games.

The Astros are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 4-1 over their last 5 games. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +9. Overall, Houston is averaging 4.55 runs per game. Over their last 5 contests, they have been producing at a similar rate, at 4.55. So far, Houston has won over half of their 56 series played, going 36-13-7.

Philadelphia is coming off a 3-run loss to the Astros. Dropping the game 5-2. In the game, the team’s pitching staff allowed a total of 7 hits, leading to 5 runs. The Phillies’ offense ended the game with just 2 runs on 6 hits. Leading into Philadelphia’s loss, they were the underdogs, getting 130.0 on the moneyline. So far, the team has gone into 62 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 47.0%. Combined, the Phillies and the Astros matched the over-under total of 7.0. On the season, Philadelphia’s overall over-under record sits at 90-79-6.

Across their last 5 contests, the Phillies are above .500, going 4-1. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +5. Philadelphia has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 5.2 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 4.64. On the season, Philadelphia has won more than half of their series, going 27-22-6.

Pitching Matchup

Houston will roll with Lance McCullers Jr. (4-2) as their starter. In his previous outings, Jr. has lasted an average of 5.9 innings, putting together an ERA of just 2.27. Hits have been hard to come by against the right-hander, as his batting average allowed is just .214. Not only does Jr. have a strong batting average allowed, but he has also avoided giving up home runs. In his previous outings, opponents are averaging just 0.76 HR/9 This season, he has struck out 26.0 of the batters he has faced. This has led to a per-game average of 6.25. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 4.15 walks per outing.

Ranger Suarez gets the start for the Phillies, with an overall record of 10-7. To date, Suarez has an ERA of 3.65 while lasting an average of 5.35 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of .249. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Suarez, as he is allowing just 0.87 per 9 innings. On the season, Ranger Suarez has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 19.0%. This has led to an average of 4.45 K’s per game. Suarez comes into the game hoping to improve his walk numbers, as he is averaging 3.36 free passes per outing.

Houston vs Philadelphia History

For the season, the Houston Astros and Philadelphia Phillies will be playing their 6th game of the season. So far, Houston is leading the season series, 3-2. Through 5 games, the series over-under record is 2-2, with the average run total sitting at nan runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 3.6 runs.

Betting Trends

• Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
• Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 playoff road games.
• Phillies are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Houston Astros at Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

Free MLB Pick: OVER 7.5 Runs