Astros vs. Mariners Betting Odds, Stats & Free ML Pick

Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
Date: Saturday, July 20th, 9:40 ET
Location: T-Mobile Park
TV: RSNW
Money Line: Astros +100/Mariners -118
Total Line: 7

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Seattle Mariners and the Astros on Saturday, July 20th at T-Mobile Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

From T-Mobile Park in Seattle, we have the Astros and Mariners facing off in an AL West matchup. First pitch for this one is 9:40 PM ET. RSNW will be televising this one, and the money line odds have the Astros at +100 and the Mariners at -118.

The forecast for Saturday’s game in Seattle calls for partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. Framber Valdez gets the start for the Astros, and he will be facing off against George Kirby. The Astros are 1st in the AL West, while the Mariners are 2nd. Houston is currently on a 4-game winning streak.

Astros vs. Mariners Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Houston Astros: 51-46 SU / OU 38-55 / Runline 51-46
Seattle Mariners: 52-47 SU / OU 41-53 / Runline 44-55

Houston picked up a 3-0 win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Astros had a three-run 3rd inning and didn’t score another run after that. As for the Mariners, they had scoring opportunities in the 4th and 5th innings but couldn’t push across a run.

Seattle actually outhit the Astros in the game 4 to 6. Victor Robles went 2/3 with a double, but the rest of the Mariners lineup combined for just two hits. Yainer Diaz had the big hit for Houston, going 1/3 with a two-run double.

Hunter Brown pitched well for the Astros in this one, going six innings and striking out five without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Josh Hader got the save. Luis Castillo had a rough outing for the Mariners, taking the loss.

Astros Records & Recent Play

The Astros are on the road today, taking on the Mariners with both teams tied for the AL West lead. So far, the Astros lead the series 1-0. Houston is 51-46 overall and has gone 17-14 against other teams in the AL West.

At home, the Astros have gone 28-21 this year, and they are just under .500 at 23-25 on the road. As the favorite, the Astros are 38-33 this year and 13-13 as the underdog. Houston’s overall series record is 17-12-1 this season.

When the Astros are on the road, they have a run line record of 25-23, and their average run differential is 0.5 runs per game. They have covered the run line in two straight games and have a scoring margin of -0.2 runs per game on the road.

The Houston Astros are on the road against the Seattle Mariners today. The over/under line for the game is set at 7 runs. The combined run average for Astros games this season is 8.9 runs per game. Houston has a 38-55 over/under record this season, and the average over/under line for their games is 9 runs. When the over/under line is set at 7 runs, the Astros have an 0-4 record. So far this season, 95.9% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7 runs.

Mariners Records & Recent Play

Seattle is looking to snap a four-game losing streak today, which has them at 52-47 overall. The Mariners are in 2nd place in the AL West, and they trail the Astros by five games for the division lead. So far, they have gone 18-9 against other teams in the AL West.

At home, the Mariners are 30-19 this year, but they have gone just 22-28 on the road. One thing to note about the Mariners is that they have won two straight games when listed as the underdog. As the favorite, the Mariners are 33-28 and 19-19 as the underdog. Seattle’s overall series record is 13-15-2, and they have dropped three straight at home in series.

Seattle has been a strong run line bet as the underdog this season, going 21-17. They have also been a good run line bet at home, going 22-27. The Mariners’ average run differential on the season is +0.2 runs per game, with a +0.5 run differential in home games and a -0.2 run differential on the road. Seattle has won four straight run line bets at home, but they have lost their last two as the underdog.

Seattle has played to the over in 67.7% of their games this season, and the over/under line for today’s game is set at 7. The Mariners have gone 8-15-4 in games with an over/under line of 7 runs, and their games have averaged 7.5 runs per game this season. Seattle has hit the under in each of their last three games, and their over/under record for the season is 41-53.

Pitching Matchup

Framber Valdez gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Mariners on the road. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 8-5 with a 3.66 ERA. Valdez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.28, and he has a batting average allowed of .258. In his last outing, Valdez went seven innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. Looking back further, he has won three straight starts. Valdez has turned in 10 quality starts this season and has a complete game.

Seattle is sending right-hander George Kirby to the mound today vs. the Astros. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 7-7 with a 3.29 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Kirby has a WHIP of .99 and has issued just 0.99 walks per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 11 home runs. In his last outing, Kirby gave up two earned runs in six innings of work and took the loss. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss. One of those was a win, and the other two were no-decisions.

Astros vs. Mariners Offense Outlook

For the season, the Astros are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They come into the game with the best team batting average in the league at .262. Houston is also near the top of the league in slugging percentage and on-base percentage. At home, they are averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is 4th in the league.

Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker are both in the top 10 in the league in home runs, and both are hitting the ball well right now. Over his last 10 games, Alex Bregman is hitting .333 with three homers and 10 RBIs. Yainer Diaz is also hitting the ball well right now, going 14/41 in his last 10 games.

Julio Rodríguez and Cal Raleigh have been two of the Mariners’ most consistent hitters this season, but they come into the game going in opposite directions. Over the team’s last 10 games, Rodríguez is hitting .483, while Raleigh is also swinging a hot bat, hitting .317. Raleigh has five homers in this stretch, and Rodriguez has two. For the season, Raleigh leads the team with 61 RBIs and is 12th in the league in that category.

Overall, the Mariners are batting just .218 as a team, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in runs per game (3.8) and have the most strikeouts in the MLB. As a team, they are averaging 10 strikeouts per game. Currently, they are 10th in home runs and have the league’s 8th-worst on-base percentage.

Free Astros vs. Mariners MLB Pick

Even though George Kirby has just a 2.95 ERA in his three starts in July, he is 0-2 so far for the month. This includes taking the loss despite giving up just one earned run vs. the Angels in his last start. On the other side, Framber Valdez struck out 10 in his last outing, and he will be facing a Mariners lineup that is prone to strikeouts. I like Houston to pick up the win tonight, and I will be taking them on the money line.