Astros vs. Jays Total Pick 6/7/23

by | Last updated Jun 8, 2023 | mlb

Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Date: Wednesday, June 7th, 7:07 ET
Location: Rogers Centre
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Astros +131/Blue Jays -156
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Astros on Wednesday, June 7th at Rogers Centre. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
HOU +131 +1.5 O 9 (-120)
TOR -156 -1.5 U 9 (100)

Astros vs. Blue Jays Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Jose Altuve 1 2B
Jeremy Peña 2 SS
Yordan Alvarez 3 LF
Alex Bregman 4 3B
Kyle Tucker 5 RF
José Abreu 6 1B
Chas McCormick 7 CF
Jake Meyers 8 CF
Martín Maldonado 9 C
Ronel Blanco RP

 

Batting Order Position
George Springer 1 CF
Bo Bichette 2 SS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 3 1B
Brandon Belt 4 1B
Matt Chapman 5 3B
Whit Merrifield 6 2B
Daulton Varsho 7 RF
Alejandro Kirk 8 C
Kevin Kiermaier 9 CF
Chris Bassitt SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Houston Astros: 36-25 SU / OU 30-30 / Runline 32-29
Toronto Blue Jays: 34-28 SU / OU 29-31 / Runline 30-32

With an overall record of 36-25, the Astros are in 2nd place in the AL West, trailing by 4.5 games. Over their last ten games, they are above .500 at 6-4. On the road, the Astros have a mark of 18-11 while going 18-14 at home. Their overall series mark stands at 10-8-1.

 

  • The Astros have covered the runline in 52.5% of their games and have an average run margin of 1.0
  • The Astros have been favored in 72.1% of their games and have runline records of 15-17 and 17-12 at home and on the road, respectively
  • Through 61 games, the over has hit in half of the Astros’ games at 30-30.

The Blue Jays head into today’s game vs. the Astros with an overall record of 34-28. This mark has them sitting 4th in the AL East. Currently, they are 9.5 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 4-1 and have a road and home record of 18-17 and 16-11, respectively. Toronto’s overall series record sits at 12-7.

 

  • The Blue Jays have covered the runline in 48.4% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.5
  • The Blue Jays have been favored in 69.4% of their games and have runline records of 12-15 and 18-17 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Blue Jays have an over/under record of just 29-31.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Ronel Blanco 10 1 17 1-0 4.15 1.90 2

 

Starter Ronel Blanco comes in with an overall record of 1-0 for the Astros. Having made 10 appearances, his ERA is 4.15 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.2. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.26 and an OBP of .400.

The last time, Ronel Blanco took the mound, he gave up two runs on seven hits to the Angels. Blanco picked up the win, in the Astros’ 5-2 victory.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Chris Bassitt 12 12 74 6-4 3.40 1.05 11

 

With an overall record of 6-4, the Blue Jays will give Chris Bassitt the start. His ERA stands at 3.40 with a K/9 figure of 0.9 after making 12 appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.80 and an OBP of .275.

A quality start and a win were added to Chris Bassitt’s record in his previous outing against the Mets. The Blue Jays went on to win by a score of 3-0. Bassitt allowed zero runs and three hits during 7 2/3 innings.

Astros vs. Blue Jays Offense Outlook

With an average of 4.6 runs per game, Houston is 11th in the league so far this year. They have hit 68 home runs which is currently 13th in baseball. Their current batting average of .248 is ranked 11th in the league, while they have a .249 batting average on the road and .239 batting average at home.

Houston Astros Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Yordan Alvarez .274 .388 .574 53 16 0
Alex Bregman .250 .349 .392 36 8 1
Kyle Tucker .280 .350 .455 36 8 8

 

Houston Astros Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Yordan Alvarez .250 5 5 2 .550
Corey Julks .279 4 2 2 .617
Alex Bregman .407 5 1 1 1.007
Chas McCormick .287 5 3 1 .487
Yainer Diaz .650 6 2 1 1.350

 

This season, the Blue Jays are ranked 9th in the league with an average of 4.7 runs per game. Toronto is ranked 9th in home runs, with a total of 73 long balls. Their overall batting average is .265, including .257 on the road and .262 at home.

Toronto Blue Jays Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Blue Jays 62 4.7 (9th) 73 (9th) .265 (2nd) .333 (4th) .333 (4th)

 

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Daulton Varsho .333 6 4 3 .783
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .267 5 3 1 .517
George Springer .180 4 3 2 .480
Brandon Belt .300 4 2 1 .700
Whit Merrifield .367 6 1 0 .500

 

Free MLB Pick

I’m betting the total again in my second free MLB pick for today. The Astros send out Ronel Blanco to make his second career start. He allowed just two earned runs in his first start at home against the Angels, but he was in a lot of trouble allowing seven hits and three walks in 5 1/3 innings. Chris Bassitt gets the call for the Jays, and while he is off a sharp start, he has had an issue with the long ball at times. With the wind forecast to be going out to Center Field at 10 MPH, that could become an issue tonight. Take the OVER 9 -115.