Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick: Will Orioles Capitalize at Home?

Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles
Date: Sunday, August 25th, 7:10 ET
Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
TV: ESPN
Money Line: Astros -112/Orioles -107
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Baltimore Orioles and the Astros on Sunday, August 25th at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

The Astros and Orioles face off in an AL matchup at 7:10 PM ET on Sunday. This one is being played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, and the Orioles are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -107. The Astros have lost two straight and their record is 69-60, putting them first in the AL West.

ESPN is carrying TV coverage for Sunday’s game, and the over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs. Yusei Kikuchi will start for the Astros, while the Orioles are going with Dean Kremer.

Astros vs. Orioles Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Houston Astros: 69-60 SU / OU 51-74 / Runline 65-64Baltimore Orioles: 76-55 SU / OU 70-51 / Runline 72-59

Baltimore picked up a 3-2 win over the Astros in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a huge 6th inning, scoring all three of their runs. As for the Astros, they scored one run in the 1st inning and added their final run in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Orioles were the slight favorites at -111.

Albert Suarez got the start for the Orioles, going just 5 2/3 innings while giving up two runs and striking out three. Keegan Akin came out of the bullpen for the win, and Seranthony Dominguez got the save. Framber Valdez only went 5 2/3 innings for the Astros, giving up three runs on six hits.

At the plate, Adley Rutschman went 2/3 with an RBI, while Jackson Holliday also had a two-hit game and drove in three runs for Baltimore. Jose Altuve hit the game’s only home run, going 1/3 with three RBIs.

Astros Records & Recent Play

The Astros are 69-60 overall this season, and they lead the AL West by 4.5 games over the Mariners. Houston has dropped two straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Orioles 1-2. So far this season, they are 23-17-1 in series matchups.

At home, the Astros are 35-29 this season, and they are just above .500 at 34-31 on the road. As the road favorite, the Astros have gone 20-19 this season, and they are 52-43 when favored overall. Houston’s two-game losing streak as the road favorite came after winning three straight series on the road as the favorite.

When the Astros are on the road, they are 36-29 on the run line, with an average run margin of +0.2. They have covered the run line in four straight games as the favorite, but are just 23-11 on the run line as the underdog. Overall, their run line record is 65-64, with an average run margin of +0.5.

The Houston Astros are on the road today against the Baltimore Orioles, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Astros games this season is 8.6 runs, and their over/under record is 51-74. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Astros have a record of 16-26. So far this season, 37 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, accounting for 28.7% of their games.

Orioles Records & Recent Play

The Orioles are 76-55 overall and trail the Yankees by just a half-game for the AL East lead. Baltimore has gone 28-15 against other teams in the AL East. The Orioles have won two straight games, and they are 5-5 across their last 10 games.

At home, the Orioles are 39-29 this season, and they have gone 37-26 on the road. As the favorite, Baltimore is 62-42 and 14-13 as the underdog. This season, the Orioles’ series record is 23-12-6.

The Orioles have been a solid run line bet this season, going 72-59. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 39-24 against the run line. As an underdog, they are 20-7 against the run line. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.7, while it is -3.5 in losing games.

The Orioles have played in 40 games this season where the over/under line was set at 8.5 runs, and their record in those games is 21-17. Their combined run average for the season is 9.3 runs per game, and their over/under record for the year is 70-51. The average over/under line for their games is set at 8 runs, so the line for today’s game against the Astros is slightly higher than their season average.

Pitching Matchup

Left-hander Yusei Kikuchi gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 6-9 with an ERA of 4.37. Kikuchi’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.29. In his 26 appearances, he has turned in eight quality starts. Looking back at his last three outings, Kikuchi has come away with a no-decision in each of his last two starts. Most recently, he gave up one earned run in 5 2/3 innings of work vs. the Red Sox. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Dean Kremer will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win and gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing vs. the Mets, he only gave up two hits and issued three walks. Looking back over his last four outings, Kremer has given up at least one homer in each of those starts. His ERA for the season is 4.30, along with a record of 6-9. At home, he is 2-4 with a 5.50 ERA compared to 4-5 with a 4.35 ERA on the road. So far, he has made six quality starts this season.

Astros vs. Orioles Offense Outlook

Yainer Diaz has been one of the Astros’ top hitters this season, batting .302 with 15 homers and 71 RBIs. He has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/24 in his last six games with two homers. Yordan Alvarez and Alex Bregman have also been key run producers for the Astros, with Alvarez leading the team with 25 homers and Bregman is 2nd with 20 homers.

Overall, the Astros are 3rd in team batting average at .260 and are averaging 4.6 runs per game. They have been a good home run hitting team this season and are among the league leaders in fewest strikeouts per game. Houston has two players on good hitting streaks, with Kyle Tucker at three games and Yainer Diaz at eight games.

So far this season, the Orioles have been the best home run hitting team in the league, and they are also near the top of the league in runs scored, averaging 5 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .253, which is 6th in the MLB, and they also have the league’s top slugging percentage. Baltimore is also the top team in the league in terms of isolated power.

Anthony Santander has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 38 home runs are 3rd in the league. However, he has struggled in his last five games, going just 3/20. Gunnar Henderson comes into the game with a team-high 33 homers and is batting .284 for the season.

Free Astros vs. Orioles MLB Pick

Even though Yusei Kikuchi has had some issues with home runs, he also hasn’t given up more than 2 earned runs in any of his starts with the Astros. And Dean Kremer has looked good in his last two outings in what should be a good game; I am going with the Orioles to pick up the win at home and I like them on the money line.

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