Arizona vs. San Francisco: MLB Betting Preview, Odds, and Picks

by | Last updated Sep 23, 2024 | mlb

San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Date: Monday, September 23rd, 9:40 ET
Location: Chase Field
TV: None
Money Line: Giants +145/Diamondbacks -172
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Giants on Monday, September 23rd at Chase Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
SF +145 +1.5 O 9 (-115)
ARI -172 -1.5 U 9 (-106)

At 9:40 PM ET, the Giants and Diamondbacks face off in an NL West matchup. This one is being played at Chase Field in Phoenix and has seen the Diamondbacks open as heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -172 compared to the Giants at +145. The over/under line is at 9 runs.

Hayden Birdsong is starting for the Giants, and he is facing off against Eduardo Rodriguez for the Diamondbacks. San Francisco is 77-79 this season, and they are 4th in the NL West, while the Diamondbacks are 3rd in the division with a record of 87-69.

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Projected Lineup

Player Batting Order Position
Tyler Fitzgerald 1 SS
Mark Canha 2 1B
Heliot Ramos 3 CF
Matt Chapman 4 3B
Jerar Encarnacion 5 DH
Patrick Bailey 6 C
Mike Yastrzemski 7 RF
Michael Conforto 8 LF
Brett Wisely 9 2B
Hayden Birdsong SP


Player Batting Order Position
Corbin Carroll 1 RF
Ketel Marte 2 2B
Joc Pederson 3 DH
Christian Walker 4 1B
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 5 LF
Jake McCarthy 6 CF
Eugenio Suárez 7 3B
Gabriel Moreno 8 C
Geraldo Perdomo 9 SS
Eduardo Rodriguez SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

San Francisco Giants: 77-79 SU / OU 79-71 / Runline 79-77
Arizona Diamondbacks: 87-69 SU / OU 89-60 / Runline 82-74

Giants Records & Recent Play

Heading into their last game vs. the Royals, the Giants closed out the series with a 2-0 win. This was especially big, as they were the slight favorite at -107 on the money line. It was a good start to the game for the Giants, as they scored two runs in the 2nd inning and then closed things out with their bullpen. San Francisco’s offense was carried by Blake Snell, who went six innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out nine Royals batters.

Ryan Walker picked up the save out of the Giants bullpen, and San Francisco’s offense scored their only two runs. The Giants also had just three hits but didn’t hit a home run.

San Francisco is 77-79 overall and 16 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Giants are 4th in the division and have gone 24-25 in divisional games this year. They have won three straight games, closing out their series vs. the Royals with a win and taking the first two games of this series vs. the Diamondbacks.

As the road team today, the Giants are 36-42 this season compared to 41-37 at home. As the underdog, the Giants are 31-47 this year, and they are 46-32 when favored. San Francisco’s overall series record is 24-21-4, and they have won two straight series overall and three straight series on the road.

San Francisco has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 79-77 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, where they are 45-33. The Giants have covered the run line in three straight games and are 46-32 as an underdog this season.

The over/under line for the San Francisco Giants’ game against the Arizona Diamondbacks is set at 9 runs. The Giants have played in 150 games this season, and the average over/under line for their games has been 8 runs. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 79-71. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, their record is 7-2. Only 6.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.

Diamondbacks Records & Recent Play

The Diamondbacks will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Brewers with a 10-9 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a seven-run lead after a big 3rd inning. However, the Brewers scored 10 runs in the 4th to really turn things around, and the Diamondbacks couldn’t close things out, as they lost Justin Martinez in the 8th.

Jordan Montgomery got the start for the Diamondbacks and took the loss. He only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on six hits. Eugenio Suarez had a big game at the plate, going 2/5 with a homer and scoring three runs. The Diamondbacks also had a seven-run 3rd inning but didn’t have another run until the 8th.

Arizona is currently six games behind the Dodgers in the NL West, and they are 87-69 overall. The Diamondbacks are 26-20 against other teams in the NL West. Arizona is coming off winning their series vs. the Brewers, taking three of four games. At home, the Diamondbacks are 42-33 this season.

So far, the Diamondbacks have been good as the favorite, going 51-30, and they are 36-39 as the underdog. Arizona has an overall series record of 26-19-4 this year, and they have won three straight games as the favorite.

When betting the run line on Arizona, the Diamondbacks have been a better bet on the road this season, going 48-33 compared to 34-41 at home. Arizona has been a run line underdog in most games this season, going 47-28 in those contests. The Diamondbacks have been favored in 81 games this season, going 35-46 on the run line. Arizona has a run differential of +0.7 runs per game this season.

Arizona has played in 24 games this season with an over/under line set at 9 runs, and the over has hit in 19 of those contests. The Diamondbacks’ games have averaged 10.4 runs per game this season, and they have a combined over/under record of 89-60. Their games have been given an average over/under line of 9 runs, and they have played in 63.5% of their games with a line set below 9 runs.

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Pitching Matchup

Right-hander Hayden Birdsong is on the mound for the Giants today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. Birdsong has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 4-5 with a 4.74 ERA. In his 14 appearances, he has only turned in one quality start. Birdsong’s ERA on the road is 7.62 compared to 4.0 at home. His most recent outing came on September 18th vs. the Orioles, where he picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight outings.

Eduardo Rodriguez gets the start for the Diamondbacks today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. Against the Rockies on September 18th, he went 6 1/3 innings, giving up just two earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Rodriguez has made eight starts, and his ERA is 5.09. Opposing batters are hitting .271 off the left-hander this year. Rodriguez has a record of 3-3 and a WHIP of 1.45. So far, he has turned in one quality start and is averaging 7.97 strikeouts per nine innings.

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Offense Outlook

San Francisco’s offense has been pretty average this season, as they are 17th in the league at 4.3 runs per game. The Giants have been slightly better on the road, averaging 4.4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .237, which is 16th in the league, and have the 13th most home runs in the MLB. San Francisco’s offense is led by Matt Chapman and Heliot Ramos, who have 26 and 21 homers, respectively.

San Francisco’s offense will be looking for a bounce-back performance from Mike Yastrzemski, who is just 5/27 in his last seven games. Over this stretch, he has three homers and six RBIs. As a team, the Giants don’t have any notable hitting streaks going on right now.

Arizona’s offense has been the best in the league this season, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.8 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks have been a very patient team at the plate, as they lead the league in on-base percentage (.337) and are 4th in walks. Not only do they lead the league in OBP, but they also have the top OPS in the league.

Arizona’s top two home run hitters are Ketel Marte and Eugenio Suarez. Marte is hitting .295 for the season and has gone deep 35 times, which is 8th in the league. Suarez is right behind him with 29 homers and has a batting average of .257. Marte has been hot of late, going 9/29 in his last nine games with four homers.

Free Giants vs. Diamondbacks MLB Pick

For tonight’s NL West matchup, I’m looking at the over/under line as the best bet. With Hayden Birdsong and Eduardo Rodriguez on the mound, I’m looking for this to be a higher scoring game than expected. My play is to take the over at 9 runs.

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