Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies Game 2 Pick

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Tuesday, October 17th, 8:07 ET
Location: Citizens Bank Park
TV: TBS
Money Line: Diamondbacks +137/Phillies -163
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Diamondbacks on Tuesday, October 17th at Citizens Bank Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Corbin Carroll	1	RF
Ketel Marte	2	2B
Tommy Pham	3	LF
Christian Walker	4	1B
Gabriel Moreno	5	C
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	6	DH
Alek Thomas	7	CF
Evan Longoria	8	3B
Geraldo Perdomo	9	SS
Merrill Kelly	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Kyle Schwarber	1	DH
Trea Turner	2	SS
Bryce Harper	3	1B
Alec Bohm	4	3B
Bryson Stott	5	2B
J.T. Realmuto	6	C
Nick Castellanos	7	RF
Brandon Marsh	8	LF
Johan Rojas	9	CF
Aaron Nola	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Arizona Diamondbacks: 84-78 SU / OU 74-86 / Runline 93-75
Philadelphia Phillies: 90-72 SU / OU 78-80 / Runline 78-91

Heading into their game vs. the Phillies, the Diamondbacks have a record of 84-78 and have dropped four straight games. In the NL West, they are in 2nd place and have an overall series record of 31-21-3. At home, they have gone 43-38 and 41-40 on the road.

• The Diamondbacks have covered the runline in 55.4% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.0
• The Diamondbacks have been favored in 44.0% of their games and have runline records of 45-37 and 48-38 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Diamondbacks have an over/under record of just 74-86.

The Phillies head into today’s game vs. the Diamondbacks with an overall record of 90-72. This mark has them sitting 2nd in the NL East. Currently, they are 14 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 4-1 and have a road and home record of 41-40 and 49-32, respectively. Philadelphia’s overall series record sits at 31-19-4.

• The Phillies have covered the runline in eight straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.6.
• The Phillies have been favored in 67.5% of their games and have runline records of 39-47 and 39-44 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Phillies have an over/under record of just 78-80.

Pitching Matchup




Merrill Kelly has taken the mound 31 times this season and has a record of 12-8. Kelly is on a two game streak of not allowing a home-run. His current slugging percentage allowed sits at .358 and he has struckout a total of 187 batters. So far, his WHIP sits at 1.19.

The Diamondbacks picked up a win the last time Merrill Kelly took the mound, taking down the Dodgers by a score of 11-2. In 6 1/3 innings of work, he allowed three hits and zero earned runs while adding a W to his record.




The Phillies will turn to starter Aaron Nola who has an overall record of 12-9. After 34 appearances, his ERA is 4.46 and he has a K/9 figure of 9.39. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 4.03 and an OBP of .276.

Nola picked up the win in his most recent outing, as he gave up two earned runs and six hits across 5 2/3 innings vs. the Braves. The Phillies won the game by a score of 10-2.

Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Offense Outlook

With an average of 4.6 runs per game, Arizona is 14th in the league for runs scored this season. They have hit a combined total of 166 home runs, putting them 20th in the league. Their current batting average of .250 is 10th in baseball. When playing on the road, their batting average is ranked 17th, compared to 8th when playing at home.

Arizona Diamondbacks Top Hitters On The Road




Arizona Diamondbacks Top Hitters: Last Five Games




Through 170 games the Phillies are 8th in the league at 4.9 runs per game. In terms of home runs, Philadelphia is 7th having gone deep 220 times. Their batting average leading up to today’s game is .256, including .241 on the road and .258 at home.

Philadelphia Phillies Top Bats




Philadelphia Phillies Top Hitters: Last Five Games




Free MLB Pick

With Bryce Harper, Nick Castellanos, and Kyle Schwarber swinging the bats well, this Phillies lineup is dangerous. And with Aaron Nola on the mound, look for the Phillies to pick up yet another win in the NCLCS. I’m feeling good enough about it to take a hard look at them to cover the runline.