Arizona Diamondbacks vs. LA Dodgers Best Bet 5/22/24

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Date: Wednesday, May 22nd, 10:10 ET
Location: Dodger Stadium
TV: None
Money Line: Diamondbacks +223/Dodgers -275
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Diamondbacks on Wednesday, May 22nd at Dodger Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

From Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, we have the Diamondbacks and Dodgers facing off in an NL West matchup. The forecast for Wednesday’s game calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. First pitch is set for 10:10 PM ET.

Arizona is 23-26, while the Dodgers are leading the NL West with a record of 33-18. Tyler Glasnow will go for the Dodgers, while the Diamondbacks are starting Ryne Nelson. Los Angeles is the heavy favorite, with money line odds of -275, while the Diamondbacks are at +223. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Arizona Diamondbacks: 23-26 SU / OU 23-24 / Runline 23-26
Los Angeles Dodgers: 33-18 SU / OU 28-23 / Runline 27-24

Arizona cruised to a 7-3 win over the Dodgers in the most recent game of this series. The Diamondbacks had a huge 3rd inning, scoring seven of their nine runs. As for the Dodgers, they scored their only three runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Diamondbacks were at +140 on the money line.

Brandon Pfaadt started for the Diamondbacks and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts and allowed just one home run. Gavin Stone got the start for the Dodgers and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work.

Joc Pederson and Christian Walker each homered for the Diamondbacks, while Eugenio Suarez went 2/4 with two RBIs. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. also had a two-hit game and drove in a run.

Diamondbacks Records & Recent Play

Arizona is 23-26 overall and trails the Dodgers by nine games for the NL West lead. So far, they are 10-9 in divisional matchups. The Diamondbacks are on the road today, and they are 11-13 on the road compared to 12-13 at home.

The Diamondbacks have an overall series record of 5-9-1 this year, and they are 12-10 as the favorite. Arizona has gone 11-16 as the underdog this season. They are also 5-5 in their last 10 games and are tied in their series vs. the Dodgers.

When the Diamondbacks win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.4 runs per game. When they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.9 runs per game. Their run line record is 23-26 overall, but they have been better on the road, going 13-11 against the run line. As the favorite, they are just 8-14 against the run line, while as the underdog, they are 15-12.

Arizona has been a strong over team this season, with a 23-24 over/under record. Their games have averaged 9.6 runs per game, and their last five games have all gone over the total. When the over/under line is set at 8.5, their games have gone over at an 8-7 clip. Overall, 42.9% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs.

Dodgers Records & Recent Play

Los Angeles is 33-18 overall and leads the NL West by eight games over the Padres. The Dodgers are 11-8 against other teams in the NL West. So far, they have been good at home, going 19-10, and they have gone 14-8 on the road. The Dodgers have been really good in night games this year, going 24-9.

As the favorite, the Dodgers have put together a record of 32-16 this year, and they are 18-10 when favored at home. Los Angeles’ overall series record is 11-6, and they have won two straight series.

Despite a run line record of 14-15 at home, the Dodgers have a run differential of 1.4 runs per game at Dodger Stadium this season. Their average run differential in all games is 1.6 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 27-24 overall. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 13-9, compared to 14-15 at home. As the favorite, they are 26-22 on the run line, while they are just 1-2 as the underdog. In their wins, they have an average run differential of 4.0 runs per game, while in their losses, they are getting outscored by an average of 2.8 runs per game.

The Dodgers are playing at home against the Diamondbacks today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their combined run average this season is 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 28-23. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 16-8. So far this season, 23.5% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and their current over streak is at 2 games.

Pitching Matchup

Ryne Nelson is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Tigers, as he gets the start for the Diamondbacks today. In that May 17th start, he gave up 8 earned runs in 4 innings of work. Nelson took the loss in that outing. Overall, he has made 7 starts and has a record of 2-3. Nelson’s ERA for the season is 7.06, along with a WHIP of 1.88. Looking at his home/road splits, Nelson has an ERA of 10.05 at home compared to 3.73 on the road.

Through 10 starts, Tyler Glasnow has a record of 6-2 and an ERA of 2.90. He has made seven quality starts this year and is averaging 11.76 strikeouts per nine innings. Overall, Glasnow has 81 strikeouts, which leads the league. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Opponents are batting .168 off the right-hander this year. At home, his ERA is 4.43 compared to 1.6 on the road.

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Offense Outlook

Arizona comes into the game as one of the league’s top offensive teams, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks have been good at avoiding strikeouts this season and are among the league leaders in walks. As a team, they are batting .247, which is 8th in the MLB.

Christian Walker and Ketel Marte are tied for the team lead with nine homers, with Walker also leading the team with 31 RBIs. Walker is looking to get back on track, as he has gone just 5/28 over his last eight games. Joc Pederson has been hot of late, going 10/23 in his last six games, including two homers and eight RBIs. Pederson is also on a six-game hitting streak.

Shohei Ohtani has been on fire of late for the Dodgers, going 11/30 in his last eight games with two homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .356 with 13 homers and 34 RBIs, which is 8th in the league. Teoscar Hernandez is also having a good season for the Dodgers, as he is 5th in the league with 37 RBIs and has 11 homers.

As a team, the Dodgers are the top scoring team in the league at 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 2nd ranked home run hitting team and have the best on-base percentage and OPS in the league.

Free Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers MLB Pick

Our predicted final score for this one is 6-5 in favor of the Dodgers. However, with the Dodgers being -275 on the money line, we would recommend taking the over at 8.5 runs, as there is some good value there with the payout sitting at -103.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Tyler Glasnow finishing with six strikeouts. He is projected to finish with the eighth most strikeouts among starters today. As for Diamondbacks starter Ryne Nelson, his strikeout total is at four, which is third worst among starters.